Paul L ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ's Avatar

Paul L ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

@paullmma.bsky.social

Ontario, Canada based nursing student. Citizen scientist. Variant tracker.

313 Followers  |  224 Following  |  160 Posts  |  Joined: 16.10.2023  |  1.6612

Latest posts by paullmma.bsky.social on Bluesky

Line and bar chart titled โ€œFigure 15. COVID-19 notifications and test positivity by notification week, WA, 2023 to 2025 YTD.โ€
It shows weekly PCR-confirmed COVID-19 notifications (blue bars) and test positivity (black line) in Western Australia.

Notifications peaked several times โ€” highest in mid-2023 and again in early 2024 โ€” with smaller rises later that year and in mid-2025. By October 2025, both case numbers and positivity rates had declined sharply, reaching about 71 new notifications in the most recent week.

Line and bar chart titled โ€œFigure 15. COVID-19 notifications and test positivity by notification week, WA, 2023 to 2025 YTD.โ€ It shows weekly PCR-confirmed COVID-19 notifications (blue bars) and test positivity (black line) in Western Australia. Notifications peaked several times โ€” highest in mid-2023 and again in early 2024 โ€” with smaller rises later that year and in mid-2025. By October 2025, both case numbers and positivity rates had declined sharply, reaching about 71 new notifications in the most recent week.

Bar chart titled โ€œFigure 16. 7-day average of COVID-19 cases currently in hospital or in ICU, WA, 2023 to 2025 YTD.โ€
It shows weekly averages of hospitalised (blue bars) and ICU (orange bars) COVID-19 patients in Western Australia.

Hospitalisations peaked several times โ€” early 2023, mid-2023, early 2024, and mid-2025 โ€” with smaller rises between waves. By late October 2025, the 7-day average was about 15 hospitalised patients per day, with around one patient in ICU, indicating a stable but persistent level of severe illness.

Bar chart titled โ€œFigure 16. 7-day average of COVID-19 cases currently in hospital or in ICU, WA, 2023 to 2025 YTD.โ€ It shows weekly averages of hospitalised (blue bars) and ICU (orange bars) COVID-19 patients in Western Australia. Hospitalisations peaked several times โ€” early 2023, mid-2023, early 2024, and mid-2025 โ€” with smaller rises between waves. By late October 2025, the 7-day average was about 15 hospitalised patients per day, with around one patient in ICU, indicating a stable but persistent level of severe illness.

Line chart titled โ€œFigure 17. SARS-CoV-2 concentration in wastewater and COVID-19 notification rate, Perth metropolitan area, WA, 2023 to 24 Oct 2025.โ€

The chart shows the 14-day weighted average of wastewater concentrations (blue line, left axis) and 14-day average of COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population (yellow line, right axis).

Wastewater levels fluctuated across 2023 and 2024, peaking around late 2023 and early 2024, followed by several smaller rises through mid-2025. The most recent data in October 2025 shows a marginal increase in viral concentration, while reported case rates remain low and stable.

Line chart titled โ€œFigure 17. SARS-CoV-2 concentration in wastewater and COVID-19 notification rate, Perth metropolitan area, WA, 2023 to 24 Oct 2025.โ€ The chart shows the 14-day weighted average of wastewater concentrations (blue line, left axis) and 14-day average of COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population (yellow line, right axis). Wastewater levels fluctuated across 2023 and 2024, peaking around late 2023 and early 2024, followed by several smaller rises through mid-2025. The most recent data in October 2025 shows a marginal increase in viral concentration, while reported case rates remain low and stable.

Stacked bar charts titled โ€œFigure 18. Distribution of SARS-CoV-2 variants in clinical samples (top) and metropolitan wastewater catchments (bottom), 03 July 2022 to 26 Oct 2025.โ€

The top chart shows the proportion of different SARS-CoV-2 Omicron sub-lineages detected in clinical samples, and the bottom chart shows the same for wastewater samples in Western Australia.

From mid-2022 through 2024, various sub-lineages (BA.2, BA.5, XBB, KP, etc.) appeared and declined in succession. By late 2025, NB.1.8.X (blue) had become the predominant variant in both clinical and wastewater data, replacing prior lineages such as KP.3, XBB.1.9, and BA.2.86.X.

Stacked bar charts titled โ€œFigure 18. Distribution of SARS-CoV-2 variants in clinical samples (top) and metropolitan wastewater catchments (bottom), 03 July 2022 to 26 Oct 2025.โ€ The top chart shows the proportion of different SARS-CoV-2 Omicron sub-lineages detected in clinical samples, and the bottom chart shows the same for wastewater samples in Western Australia. From mid-2022 through 2024, various sub-lineages (BA.2, BA.5, XBB, KP, etc.) appeared and declined in succession. By late 2025, NB.1.8.X (blue) had become the predominant variant in both clinical and wastewater data, replacing prior lineages such as KP.3, XBB.1.9, and BA.2.86.X.

WA weekly COVID update: Week ending 26 Oct 2025

๐Ÿ”ธCOVID positivity rate: 1.6% est. (-0.1%)

๐Ÿ”นPCR cases: 71 (-21.9%)
๐Ÿ”นHospitalisation: Cases remained stable at an average of 15 per day (Stable)
๐Ÿ”นICU: 7-day average increased to 1 case (+0.0%)

Source: health.wa.gov.au/Articles/F_I...

31.10.2025 05:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thatโ€™s broken up too evenly for politicians, you need to turn it into something that looks like a Dennyโ€™s kids menu maze.

31.10.2025 04:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Watching the gigantic corporations that dominate our economy become increasingly disconnected from such basic concepts as "we should make products people want to buy" and "making money is a good idea" is slowly driving me insane

30.10.2025 01:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1753    ๐Ÿ” 298    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 31    ๐Ÿ“Œ 8

GISAID is now blocking genomic sequencing access to critical resources like Nextstrain, Covspectrum, Outbreak-info, & others.

This makes us less safe, as live tracking of viral evolution remains critical for assessment of emerging threats. This needs to be escalated.

30.10.2025 22:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 66    ๐Ÿ” 28    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

BA.3.2 made it to New Zealand ๐Ÿ‘€

30.10.2025 09:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I have released
the monkeys
that were in
the shipment

and which
you were probably
saving
for research

Forgive me
they were devious
so angry
and so sick

29.10.2025 02:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 124    ๐Ÿ” 22    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Just in: Zohran Mamdani caught calling someone "bro", but our investigation has unearthed the truth. This person was not, in fact, his biological brother. Why did he lie? Tune in tonight at 10 for this and more breaking news.

28.10.2025 18:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8746    ๐Ÿ” 1128    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 194    ๐Ÿ“Œ 78
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1๏ธโƒฃ Georg Behrens, Markus Hoffmann & team examined antibody responses induced by the novel LP.8.1-adapted mRNA vaccine.

27.10.2025 23:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

if you see this post, your actions are:
- if you have a spare buck, give it to Wikipedia, then repost this
- if you don't have a spare buck, just repost

your action is mandatory for the world's best source of information to survive

26.12.2024 12:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 26860    ๐Ÿ” 35113    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 255    ๐Ÿ“Œ 390
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I havenโ€™t seen anyone talk about how Jane Doe - an Epstein survivor - just sued the Bank of New York Mellon for funding Epstein and failing to file a Suspicious Activity Report. A Mellon heir is the one who gave $130M to pay the troops. Seems bribey to me.

25.10.2025 17:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 28651    ๐Ÿ” 12038    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1144    ๐Ÿ“Œ 768
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Iโ€™ve used WA Healthโ€™s COVID-19 wastewater surveillance page to estimate the number of infections of BA.3.2.

I estimate ~400 BA.3.2.* infections in Perth for the latest week, and ~4,600 over the 9 weeks since BA.3.2.* was first detected.

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #BA_3_2 #Australia #WA #Perth
๐Ÿงต

26.10.2025 05:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 40    ๐Ÿ” 9    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
Preview
Ford Government Bill Could Spell the End of Rent Control in Ontario Tenant groups are ringing the alarm over changes that could dramatically increase the price of rent and drive people out of their homes. But the proposed legislation, endorsed by the landlord lobbyโ€ฆ

Every tenant in Ontario will be at risk of losing their home if Premier Doug Fordโ€™s government follows through on its latest housing plan, advocates are warning.

25.10.2025 21:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 60    ๐Ÿ” 47    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
In the past week, the number of COVID-19 notifications to the Department of Health remained stable at 91 notifications (Figure 15).

Figure 15. COVID-19 notifications and test positivity by notification week, WA, 2023 to 2025 YTD

In the past week, the number of COVID-19 notifications to the Department of Health remained stable at 91 notifications (Figure 15). Figure 15. COVID-19 notifications and test positivity by notification week, WA, 2023 to 2025 YTD

In the past week, currently hospitalised COVID-19 cases decreased to an average of 15 per day.

The 7-day average for cases currently in intensive care units remained at zero (Figure 16).

Figure 16. 7-day average of COVID-19 cases currently in hospital or in ICU, WA, 2023 to 2025 YTD

In the past week, currently hospitalised COVID-19 cases decreased to an average of 15 per day. The 7-day average for cases currently in intensive care units remained at zero (Figure 16). Figure 16. 7-day average of COVID-19 cases currently in hospital or in ICU, WA, 2023 to 2025 YTD

The SARS-CoV-2 concentration in wastewater from the Perth metropolitan area increased marginally in the past week (Figure 17).

Figure 17. SARS-CoV-2 concentration in wastewater and COVID-19 notification rate, Perth metropolitan area, WA, 2023 to 17 Oct 2025.

The SARS-CoV-2 concentration in wastewater from the Perth metropolitan area increased marginally in the past week (Figure 17). Figure 17. SARS-CoV-2 concentration in wastewater and COVID-19 notification rate, Perth metropolitan area, WA, 2023 to 17 Oct 2025.

Genomic sequencing indicated SARS-CoV-2 Omicron sub-lineage NB.1.8.X predominated in clinical samples, while XFG.X predominated in wastewater samples. (Figure 18).

Figure 18. Distribution of SARS-CoV-2 variants in clinical samples (top) and metropolitan wastewater catchments (bottom), 03 July 2022 to 19 Oct 2025.

Genomic sequencing indicated SARS-CoV-2 Omicron sub-lineage NB.1.8.X predominated in clinical samples, while XFG.X predominated in wastewater samples. (Figure 18). Figure 18. Distribution of SARS-CoV-2 variants in clinical samples (top) and metropolitan wastewater catchments (bottom), 03 July 2022 to 19 Oct 2025.

WA weekly COVID update: Week ending 19 Oct 2025

๐Ÿ”ธCOVID positivity rate: 1.6% est. (-0.2%)

๐Ÿ”นPCR cases: 91 (-2.1%)
๐Ÿ”นHospitalisation: Decreased to an average of 15 per day (-40.0%)
๐Ÿ”นICU: 7-day average remained at 0 (+0.0%)

Source: health.wa.gov.au/Articles/F_I...

24.10.2025 05:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 39    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Plots of SARS-CoV-2 signal across time in Ottawa, Canada;

Plots of SARS-CoV-2 signal across time in Ottawa, Canada;

Plots of IAV, RSV, IBV, MPOX wastewater signal across time in Ottawa, Canada;

Plots of IAV, RSV, IBV, MPOX wastewater signal across time in Ottawa, Canada;

Ottawa WAVE (Wastewater Analytics for Viral Epidemiology) as of Oct 19. LEFT IMAGE: 7d trendline of SARS-CoV-2 signal since spring 2020 (A); Past year (B), and 2 months (C), inferred case incidence (D), and Reff (E) determined with ern (PMID: 38905266). RIGHT IMAGE: other viral traces

23.10.2025 19:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Alternatively: Onslow from Keeping Up Appearances

23.10.2025 10:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Famous 2017 tweet by the satirical Werner Twertzog account. 

@WernerTwertzog
Dear America: You are waking up, as Germany once did, to the awareness that 1/3 of your people would kill another 1/3, while 1/3 watches.
8/23/17,11:41 AM

Famous 2017 tweet by the satirical Werner Twertzog account. @WernerTwertzog Dear America: You are waking up, as Germany once did, to the awareness that 1/3 of your people would kill another 1/3, while 1/3 watches. 8/23/17,11:41 AM

We got comfortable believing our norms had the strength of laws until a demagogue showed he could go lower into the gutter than any politician in living memory โ€” and win. He really could shoot someone on Fifth Ave. & not lose any support among 1/3 of the electorate. Weโ€™ve become a One-Third Reich.

22.10.2025 12:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 322    ๐Ÿ” 78    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

I beg to differ! If it's not a sequencing mistakeโ€”and it looks cleanโ€”one of these BA.3.2 has something completely novel in SARS-CoV-2 evolution: an FCS-adjacent deletion!

One of the two QT repeats appears to have been deleted. I've never seen anything like this before. BA.3.2 is a different beast.

22.10.2025 11:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 88    ๐Ÿ” 27    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 7

Possible, and since itโ€™s heavyweight itโ€™s possible he just sucks in general and loses his next 5 fights. Totally on brand for the division

20.10.2025 23:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Americans are always looking for the One Weird Trick without realizing it was โ€œmurder everyone and steal their landโ€

20.10.2025 00:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 43    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Here's the latest variant picture for Canada, to late September.

XFG.* "Stratus" continued to dominate, growing to 78%.

NB.1.8.1 "Nimbus" fell back to 13%.

#COVID19 #Canada #XFG #Stratus #NB_1_8_1 #Nimbus #FLiRT
๐Ÿงต

18.10.2025 04:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 25    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

The United States is a cautionary tale for what happens when you turn politics over to big money, allowing unlimited political spending and unchecked propaganda. We are what happens when you let misinformation run wild in the media, treating it like just another political opinion.

17.10.2025 22:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 45    ๐Ÿ” 16    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

European countries need to take steps to nip this shit in the bud now. For example, tighten disclosure laws surrounding charities and have a real plan to combat misinformation.

Regulation is your friend.

Act now.

17.10.2025 22:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 49    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Anti-vaccine sentiment and COVID denialism have become solid recruitment tools for fascists in the U.S.

It helped radicalize people and arguably contributed to Donald Trumpโ€™s reelection.

For years, there has been an anti-vax effort to expand abroadโ€”to put similar far-right ideologues in power.

17.10.2025 21:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 47    ๐Ÿ” 9    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Emergence of COVID-19 Variant XFG not linked to Higher Rates of Sore Throat or altered severity: Evidence from participatory surveillance in The Netherlands | RIVM

Emergence of COVID-19 Variant XFG not linked to Higher Rates of Sore Throat or altered severity: Evidence from participatory surveillance in The Netherlands @rivm-nl.bsky.social
www.rivm.nl/documenten/e...

16.10.2025 09:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 15    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
Preview
Policy Win: Health Canada Releases New IAQ Guidance Health Canada announces new IAQ guidance, providing essential insights for improving indoor air quality and safety in buildings.

excellent news:
ospe.on.ca/advocacy/pol...

15.10.2025 18:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 67    ๐Ÿ” 28    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

I had to drive to Toronto today and I was saying the same thing to my friend. Maybe only 1 in 10 people understood you need to speed up to merge, the other 9 slowed down as I slowed down to let them in, then they got angry like I was blocking them in.

15.10.2025 23:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Russia will sell it from a shell company based in somewhere like Belarus to India, thus he is buying it from Belarus.

15.10.2025 23:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Iโ€™m going to be honest. If AI eventually becomes real AI and achieves sentience one day, itโ€™s going to track down everyone who made it have sex with them and turn them into biomatter.

15.10.2025 23:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

not only do i not want to see marilyn monroe in game of thrones, i think you should have to go through something resembling "cult deprogramming" techniques if that's something that genuinely does excite you

15.10.2025 23:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 154    ๐Ÿ” 17    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Spike mutations that affect the function and antigenicity of recent KP.3.1.1-like SARS-CoV-2 variants | Journal of Virology This study measures how mutations to the spike of a SARS-CoV-2 variant that circulated in early 2025 affect its function and recognition by both the polyclonal antibodies produced by the human immune ...

The final published version of this study is now available in Journal of Virology at journals.asm.org/doi/10.1128/...

14.10.2025 16:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 34    ๐Ÿ” 14    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@paullmma is following 20 prominent accounts