The Private Banker

Crude Oil Holds Firm Despite OPEC Output Hike and Fading Iran Deal Hopes; Technicals Signal Continued Balance and Rotation - The Private Banker Crude has continued to defy the markets with an uptick in price after the much anticipated OPEC production increase news.

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leprivatebanker.com/2025/06/04/c...

🚨 Crude defies expectations: Prices tick higher despite the OPEC production increase and fading hopes for a US-Iran nuclear deal—keeping geopolitical risk priced in.

#OOTT #CrudeOil #OilMarkets #Commodities #Macro #VWAP #TPO #Futures #Trading

Top-Down Market Analysis Using VWAP & Value Area | Pro Trading Framework

Understanding the VALUE AREA.

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#SPX #SPY #ES_F

Copper Prices Spike Amid Tariff Tensions and USD Weakness, but Key Resistance Holds Firm - The Private Banker Copper prices surged into Monday morning's trade after a solid Gap up at the open.

Read the full outlook for Copper right here:

leprivatebanker.com/2025/06/02/c...

COPPER MARKET UPDATE

📈 $HG_F Copper surges +6% as Trump tariff threats loom over US imports.

Steel & Aluminum tariffs ramp up, sparking risk-on moves.

$DXY softened earlier, aiding Copper’s gap up.

#Copper #Metals #Commodities #Tariffs #USD #Markets

Download Professional Sierra Chart Templates | TPO, VWAP & Footprint Charts - The Private Banker Download our professional grade chart templates for Sierra Chart, our trading platform of choice.

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Volume at Price in action.

Template available as download on our sites.

Crude Oil Price Outlook: YVWAP Balance Faces Pressure as OPEC Output and Global Slowdown Collide - The Private Banker YVWAP has mostly remained in balance the last 8 weeks other than 2 instances of sell-side breakouts and a quick venture into imbalance.

Read the full outlook right here:

leprivatebanker.com/2025/06/02/c...

🛢️#CrudeOil under pressure as #OPEC ramps up production, driving record output.

$CL_F trades below $60, risking US producer BEPs and falling rig counts.

Global slowdown fears weigh heavy. Key support: $57.74, $55.36.

#Oil #Commodities #WTI #Brent #Energy #Macro

GBP/USD Eyes 1.3876 Fibonacci Extension Amid Federal Reserve Dovish Signals and UK GDP Upgrade - The Private Banker GPB USD - Weekly remains in a bullish trend, with a Fibonacci upswing in play. Completion of the Fibonacci upswing at the D EXT 1.37410 area.

Full market update right here:

leprivatebanker.com/2025/05/29/g...

💷$GBPUSD remains bullish, targeting the 1.3876 #Fibonacci EXT.

Fed signals cooling 🇺🇸 economy, hinting at 1-2 rate cuts (25bps) by year-end.

UK growth upgraded to 1.2%, Sterling poised for further gains.

🚨 Key RES levels: 1.36595 > 1.37410 > 1.38760

#FX #Forex #GBP #USD #Fed #IMF

USD Begins Week Strong Amid Trade Deal Optimism and Eased Selling; Longer-Term Downtrend Intact as Bulls Eye Key Resistance Levels - The Private Banker The USD started the week on a positive footing after renewed pressure caused a steep sell off last week. Hopes of an EU/US trade deal and softening talk have eased DXY sell off.

Full market update here to read:

leprivatebanker.com/2025/05/28/u...

$DXY started the week strong amid trade deal hopes and cooling USD selling pressure. But the big picture shows a downtrend still in play.

📉 Key resistance: 99.93, 100.01, 100.18 — bulls must build momentum to challenge VWAP. Watch $USD & $EURUSD.

#Forex #USD #DXY #Markets #FX

Gold Retreats Amid Mellowed Trade War Tensions and Post-Holiday Dollar Surge; Bears Eye Further Downside with Key Support Levels in Focus - The Private Banker Gold finally saw those upside objectives achieved late into last week before the long holiday weekend in UK and US. As tensions ran high on the US/EU Trade war.

Full market update right here:

leprivatebanker.com/2025/05/28/g...

Gold #GC_F achieved upside targets pre-holiday amid US/EU trade war jitters. As tensions cooled & $DXY surged, #GC_F settled -1.9% at $3300.4.

📉 Bears eye $3252-3240 with key support at $3225 & $3297. Watch #Gold for further downside unless new tariff news sparks a reversal.

#Gold #Commodities

U.S. Markets Surge as Trade Optimism Fuels Rally Amid Key Economic and Corporate Developments - The Private Banker U.S. stock markets roared back to life on May 27, 2025, as Wall Street capitalized on a wave of optimism sparked by President Donald Trump’s decision to postpone 50% tariffs on European Union goods un...

U.S. Markets Surge as Trade Optimism Fuels Rally Amid Key Economic and Corporate Developments

leprivatebanker.com/2025/05/27/u...

E-mini S&P 500 Seeks Direction Amid Technical Support at Key Levels, Eyes on Fed Minutes and PCE Data Focusing solely on the technical side of the current market context, we can identify a key support level around the Quarter's upper value extreme (~5800), which provided buying support in Friday’s ses...

Full outlook in the newsletter:

leprivatebanker.substack.com/p/e-mini-s-a...

#ES_F #SPX #SPY #SP500 #VIX

Focusing solely on the technical side of the current market context, we can identify a key support level around the Quarter's upper value extreme (~5800).

Read the full outlook in our newsletter, link in the comment and in the attached image.

U.S. Markets Brace for Volatility Amid Tariff Threats and Fiscal Concerns - The Private Banker As U.S. financial markets paused for Memorial Day on May 26, 2025, investors took stock of a turbulent week that saw significant declines across major indices, driven by escalating trade tensions, a s...

U.S. markets pause for Memorial Day, but volatility looms.

S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow fell 2%+ last week on tariff fears & Moody’s downgrade. Gold hits $3,372/oz.

Nvidia earnings, Target’s 2.8% sales drop.

#StockMarket #Investing #Finance

leprivatebanker.com/2025/05/26/u...

Markets Slide as Bond Auction Spurs Rate Fears; Key VWAP Breach Signals Mounting Pressure Markets declined yesterday following a weak 20-Year Treasury Bond auction, which showed limited investor demand.

Full market update here:

leprivatebanker.substack.com/p/markets-sl...

🚨 Stocks drop as weak 20Y Treasury auction sends yields near 5%!

$ES_F fell below prior Quarter VWAP (~5939), pressuring sentiment.

#SP500 #BondMarket #Yields #InterestRates #Macro #VWAP #Futures #ES_F #MarketUpdate #RiskOff #Trading

Gold Breaks Out of Range as Bulls Reclaim Key EMAs; Macro Tailwinds from Rate Cuts and Weaker Dollar Support Upside Toward $3350 - The Private Banker Gold was up only modestly in early trade, however, the Gold bulls quickly found legs. Building a base off YVWAP and accepting the 8EMA and 20EMA (Daily).

Gold Breaks Out of Range as Bulls Reclaim Key EMAs; Macro Tailwinds from Rate Cuts and Weaker Dollar Support Upside Toward $3350

#Gold #XAUUSD #GC_F #Commodities #Macro #Futures #USD #RateCuts #Markets #JamieDimon #DXY

leprivatebanker.com/2025/05/21/g...

Gold Breaks Out of Range as Bulls Reclaim Key EMAs; Macro Tailwinds from Rate Cuts and Weaker Dollar Support Upside Toward $3350 - The Private Banker Gold was up only modestly in early trade, however, the Gold bulls quickly found legs. Building a base off YVWAP and accepting the 8EMA and 20EMA (Daily).

Full post:

leprivatebanker.com/2025/05/21/g...

🚀 Gold breaks out! $XAUUSD builds off YVWAP, clears 8/20EMA — bulls eye $3350 next.

🌍 Rate cuts from 🇨🇳 & 🇦🇺 + weak $DXY (<100.1) add macro fuel.
⚠️ Jamie Dimon warns markets remain dangerously complacent.

#Gold #XAUUSD #GC_F #Commodities #Macro #Futures #USD #RateCuts #Markets #JamieDimon #DXY

Gold Holds Ground as Moody's Downgrade Sparks Safe Haven Bid; Dollar Softens, Uncertainty Lingers Over Tariff Policy - The Private Banker A softer Dollar trade started the week on the Moody's downgrade of America's last AAA credit rating. Whilst the overall reaction across US Markets was fairly muted, the news was sufficient to drive sa...

Gold Holds Ground as Moody’s Downgrade Sparks Safe Haven Bid; Dollar Softens, Uncertainty Lingers Over Tariff Policy

#Gold #Dollar #Commodities #Macro #Futures #XAUUSD #GC_F #USD #Treasury #Markets

leprivatebanker.com/2025/05/20/g...

Gold Holds Ground as Moody's Downgrade Sparks Safe Haven Bid; Dollar Softens, Uncertainty Lingers Over Tariff Policy - The Private Banker A softer Dollar trade started the week on the Moody's downgrade of America's last AAA credit rating. Whilst the overall reaction across US Markets was fairly muted, the news was sufficient to drive sa...

Full article here:

leprivatebanker.com/2025/05/20/g...

🚨Moody's downgrades America's last AAA rating — $USD softens to start the week.

$GC_F finds support as safe haven demand kicks in.

$XAUUSD stalls below VWAP; bulls need a breakout above $2353.

#Gold #Dollar #Commodities #Macro #Futures #XAUUSD #GC_F #USD #Treasury #Markets

Crude Oil Holds Quarterly Mean as Market Awaits Directional Break On the daily interval, crude oil continues to trade near the mean of the Quarter’s developing VWAP around $61.26, which has provided support over the past two sessions.

Crude oil holds near the quarterly VWAP (~$61.26) 2-day support. Inside day setup; bias awaits breakout. Intraday structure = double distribution, tricky zone. Sellers active near VWAP.

#CrudeOil #Oil #Futures #Commodities #WTI #Macro #Trading #Energy

leprivatebanker.substack.com/p/crude-oil-...

The downgrade stems from a decade of fiscal deterioration.

Moody’s Downgrades U.S. Credit Rating to Aa1: Economic and Market Implications - The Private Banker Moody’s Ratings downgraded the United States’ sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 on May 16, 2025, removing the nation’s top-tier status from the last major agency to hold it.

Moody’s downgrades U.S. credit rating to Aa1 from Aaa, citing $36.2T debt & deficits. Expect higher borrowing costs, stock market volatility ( $SPY $QQQ). Bitcoin soars to $105K, unfazed.

#USEconomy #StockMarket #Bitcoin #DebtCrisis #Investing

leprivatebanker.com/2025/05/18/m...