M. Nolan Gray πŸ₯‘'s Avatar

M. Nolan Gray πŸ₯‘

@mnolangray.bsky.social

the once and future city planner // YIMBY // AICP // kentuckian in california // #BBN // author of hit broadway musical arbitrary lines

21,545 Followers  |  487 Following  |  3,586 Posts  |  Joined: 01.05.2023
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Posts by M. Nolan Gray πŸ₯‘ (@mnolangray.bsky.social)

Every Google product has been turned into complete junk by AI, and it's coming for every software you use.

03.03.2026 08:17 β€” πŸ‘ 40    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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You best start believing in agglomeration economies...you're (hopefully) in one.

03.03.2026 04:09 β€” πŸ‘ 175    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 2
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A long-vacant lot turns into 68 homes over shops in Sacramento. (2015➑️2025)

02.03.2026 23:25 β€” πŸ‘ 103    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

Remember back in the day when you could just call a restaurant, place an order, and their guy would have it out within 30 minutes? We live in the ruins of a fallen civilization.

02.03.2026 19:39 β€” πŸ‘ 42    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

Literally every time I've ever ordered using Uber Eats, nearly always for work:

1. "Pay $4 extra for 11:30am arrival!"
2. *pay it*
3. "Your latest arrival time is 12:45pm. You can't change your order, by the way."

02.03.2026 19:37 β€” πŸ‘ 36    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

My read of the polling is that he remains far more likely to be able to beat Collins than Mills. I think Democrats should be optimizing around that.

02.03.2026 03:02 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 0
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Yet more SB 684-1123 projects starting entitlement in Sacramento. In this case, it's being uses to do the exact sort of thing intended by SB 9. Why did it work? Doesn't have the SB 9 owner-occupancy poison pill.

02.03.2026 01:12 β€” πŸ‘ 27    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, locals talk about "the grid," "living on the grid," "never leaving the grid," etc.

01.03.2026 21:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I do know this. It was all revealed to me in a dream

01.03.2026 20:32 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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As with all ice-based sports, I gather that the main constraint on producing more great athletes is ice availability. This class went from 9:30pm to 11:15pm on Saturday. The curlers tell me they get six hours on the ice a week, and it's straight into competitive play. New players are mentored.

01.03.2026 08:13 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Took a curling class tonight. It's not easy! I like the team dynamic.

01.03.2026 08:07 β€” πŸ‘ 42    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Secretly some of the best real, existing urbanism in the US. You can live in a nice apartment in a missing middle structure for rents that are less than a third of your income and walk or bicycle to all of your daily needs.

01.03.2026 03:16 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Their best case scenario is an Egypt-style tinpot, post-ideological authoritarian regime that's dependent on US backing.

01.03.2026 03:13 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I think it depends on Israel's assessment of whether Saudi Arabia and her Gulf client states will play ball. If yes, a liberal democratic Iran a nightmare, because it's a be an appealing and increasingly wealthy alternative that will undermine their rule. If no, it's unclear.

01.03.2026 03:13 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The thing that all decent people would likeβ€”a liberal Iranβ€”is the worst case scenario for our "allies." Such a state still would hate Israel, though with more moral authority and a stronger economy, and would mature into a geopolital-religious competitor to Saudi Arabia and her Gulf client states.

01.03.2026 03:05 β€” πŸ‘ 34    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Neither Israel and Saudi Arabia, in whose service today's strikes were conducted wants to see a liberal, prosperous Iran, for different reasons. They want an Iran that is a house-broken, post-ideological, poor authoritarian client states, though will also accept a descent into violent chaos.

01.03.2026 03:01 β€” πŸ‘ 38    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

I sympathize with Iranians in their struggle for freedom. But today's strikes did not help it. If anything, it will set it back: there will be a "rally around the flag" effect, and the existing regime will be able to negotiate for an easing of sanctions in exchange for minor concessions.

01.03.2026 02:57 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Regime change in Iran would be a headache, as there's no scenario where it isn't another Libya. To the extent anyone in Trump's orbit is thinking strategically, they want the current authoritarian regime, but more deference to Israel and Saudi Arabia, and token shipment of oil to claim a "win."

01.03.2026 02:54 β€” πŸ‘ 33    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

It's the Venezuela playbook: They don't actually want regime change. They just want a slightly more cooperative posture from the current regime.

01.03.2026 02:48 β€” πŸ‘ 200    πŸ” 26    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2
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The annexation history of Sacramento.

01.03.2026 02:45 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

If I lived in Vancouver, I'd be knocking on doors for Peter!

28.02.2026 20:48 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

It's a kitchen table issue

27.02.2026 23:16 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

No need to guess, California has already done this: you jack up every other tax and fee.

27.02.2026 22:11 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Is the applicant actually funding these improvements, or is this hypothetical?

27.02.2026 22:08 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Brand new. Finished after the station. Nutty!

27.02.2026 22:07 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

There's also a drive-thru focused Raising Cane's right next to Los Angeles' recently extended K Line. American land-use planning is a bit of a joke. We regulate all the wrong things.

27.02.2026 22:05 β€” πŸ‘ 41    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Phasing out property taxes gets you rapid cuts to local services (schools) followed by a state income and capital gains taxes and impact fees. Texas GOP's pro-business, middle-class base will put up with a lot of weird nonsense about Sharia law, but they won't put up with that.

27.02.2026 21:15 β€” πŸ‘ 27    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0
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Texas GOP speedrunning all the same policies that made the California GOP into a non-factor: breaking local government, embracing fringe social issues, and beating up on immigrants. It's a bold strategy, Cotton.

27.02.2026 21:15 β€” πŸ‘ 85    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 3

There was a guy spinning yarn at my airport gate today. These tariffs are completely out of control!

27.02.2026 06:35 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The ADU Bill is Back, Baby!! Will this be the year the Florida Legislature legalizes ADUs statewide?

ADUs are back on the menu in Florida! The state very nearly legalized them last session. H/t @cityjane.bsky.social
open.substack.com/pub/flhousin...

26.02.2026 16:54 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0