Paweł Wójcik 🦋🇵🇱🇪🇺

Exclusive: Hezbollah elite fighters return to south Lebanon to fight Israeli troops, Lebanese sources say Hezbollah has deployed elite fighters to confront Israeli forces in southern Lebanon, sending them back into the border ​region from which they withdrew after a war in 2024, three Lebanese sources fam...

Exclusive: Hezbollah elite fighters return to south Lebanon to fight Israel, after the withdrawal in 2024 .

www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/hezbollah-elite-fighters-return-south-lebanon-fight-israeli-troops-lebanese-2026-03-05/

Kinda ok

A lot of people used to deny Iran is a threat to anyone, dismissing such fears, but the Arabs built up their arsenal in last decade purely for something this

This, missiles, drones, widespread and deliberate madness, external terrorism in Europe, US, LATAM, connected to what Saddam was accused of, but Iran is rightly being constantly watched for, is how it all looked like an enormous sword among the Arabs heads.

This is also what everyone in the Arab world feared every time Iranian Quds operatives were involved in genocides and no one could retaliate back, especially with US reluctant to do much in recent decades.
You had to fight them with one hand bound behind your back.

If anything, Aliyev is going to double down viciously.
This here, my fellow readers, is how you also involve Europe, now that the Gulf is as good as closed

Iranian Shaheed deliberately bombing an Azeri airport is one of those decisions that IRGC no longer has any capacity to think of consequences. Purely paranoid. Rationale behind it ofc exists but it's going to be stretched to maximum.

There indeed seems to be some thought to confuse IRGC and make them paranoid of a hammer, they wouldn't know where exactly would land.

And this wave of CIA talking to all journalists is them sending a message through media to interested parties.
I don't like it.

They really want to make a comeback of some kind of Enduring Freedom, with Northern Alliance of Kurdish version. I'd like to hear more of what the CIA is exactly counting on. Because it seems to me, that there are also "Eastern" and "Southern" Alliances covertly crafted...

My brain already hurts from imagining the despair, hunger, smuggling, dark market, sex trafficking, slavery, illicit trade, terrorism that are bound to emerge once this fiasco continues. Am I dooming? Maybe. But it's a legit concern.

I will politely skip the Taliban - even with the Talibs doing everything they can, they couldn't stop the creeping in crisis, with millions of new citizens, even before Pakistan attacked. Who will pay? Noone there will pay. It's us. The EU again.

Iran is about to lose state capacity to control and maintain stability of fleeing Iranians, while Kurdish and Balochi areas already are looking like they will soon be abandoned by IRGC.

Both Iran and Pakistan have been for the last year, expelling millions of refugees from Afghanistan back, some long-term, with their arrival dating back to Soviet invasion.

Most of refugees will be fleeing inwards or across the borders, but UN agencies quite literally have no resources, with their budgets cut once again last year.
I expect us, the European Union, to fund it all in big quantity, no way the United States will pay for destruction they cause.

Well, Hezbollah again commits suicide and invites Lebanon's doom in the process.
Dying for Ayatollahs thousands of kms away. We are about to face a refugee crisis of unbelievable proportions from Lebanon, Iran, Afghanistan, parts of Pakistan. And it's still just day 5.

And here it is at last - Turkey announces it has downed an Iranian missile heading towards its airspace, with its remnants falling down in Hatay province. #Turkey

Still, to watch. I imagine my constant urging for months on the terror angle in Iran is now very justified. Especially, where two wars in Balochistan are now ongoing and are slowly converging, in both Iranian and Pakistani.

Be careful of claims related to Jaish al Adl now that we have a really enormous chance a ground invasion will happen, so insurgents are in spotlight more.
They have been conducting a long insurgency, so unless signs are really visible, those attacks don't mean anything yet.

Well, I am not really happy, but as the new CNN report confirms, I was right. It's going to end disastrously.

And indeed, there are reports as I have suspected, on another wave of smuggling to armed anti-state groups in Iran, though I will wait for more reliable outlets to confirm this.

Depending on what will happen in the next few days, including the appointment of the new supreme leader, suspected to be Khamenei's son, much can change.
Europe must be ready for IRGC terrorism, that has since October 7 tried multiple times to strike targets inside our states.

And not counting, since some are ready to exploit situation for themselves, using chaos to break Iran in parts or use it as a jihadi terror hotspot

*Rubio has just announced that the US is about to intensify bombings. Given how many targets of crucial to the regime's police and administrative networks were struck, remains to be seen how much could be exploited by groups the US is counting on to revolt.

*Multiple diplomatic US facilities have been struck throughout the day, including the US embassy in Riyadh and consulate in Dubai, just now also a CIA station in Riyadh.

*So far, no evidence of any Arab state offensive operation aside from purely defense ones emerging, though that may change, talks are hot. Given how interwined the Gulf monarchies are with Iran in the crime world, especially The Emirates, this final decision would be groundbreaking

According to the Taliban, the European Union, Russia, China and Turkey have put forward mediating proposals, so far Pakistan has refused, citing security concerns justyfing the need to continue Operation Righteous Fury.

*Pakistan continues the war against the Taliban, with Taliban accusing Islamabad of sparking another refugee crisis, with already 10s of thousands fleeing the border regions with Pakistan. If Iran war expands, we will see those two conflicts converge in many ways

*Trump called multiple Kurdish parties, including the major Iranian ones, proposing support for their operations in Iran. Turkey immediately called Iraqi Kurdistan to make sure what exactly Trump proposed to them.

*Syria and Azerbaijan are sending thousands of soldiers to their borders, respectively with Lebanon and Iran, with Azerbaijan just like Turkey, building up forces in preparation of inevitable refugee crisis coming from Iran.