John Kenny

MPs and public overestimate time left for climate action, study finds - Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research A new study has found that UK Members of Parliament (MPs) and the public overestimated the time left to meet a critical deadline for limiting global warming.

A recent report reveals both UK MPs and the public greatly misjudge the timeframe for #ClimateAction. Few are aware the IPCC indicates emissions must peak by 2025 to keep warming at 1.5°C. Learn more about the study ⬇️ tyndall.ac.uk/news/mps-and...

Super excited to finally see this project out in the wild! What a journey it's been! Looking forward to see how people will use this awesome data. See thread below for more details from @jacobnyrup.bsky.social.

Publics and UK parliamentarians underestimate the urgency of peaking global greenhouse gas emissions Communications Earth & Environment - UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is...

A new CAST study has found that UK MPs and the public in the UK, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions. 📣

Read the paper in @commsearth.nature.com, co-authored by Dr John Kenny (@johnkenny.bsky.social) & Dr Lucas Geese (@lucasgeese.bsky.social) 👇

Few realise how short the window really is. Science says global emissions must peak by 2025. Yet publics in 🇬🇧 & 🇩🇪 still believe there’s more time left.

Not so different: Comparing British MPs’ and voters’ attitudes to climate change Abstract. There is a growing literature investigating the attitudes of political elites and citizens in a range of areas, and this article uses matched sur

There's some interesting MP polling by Pearson and Wager that is worth looking at: doi.org/10.1093/pa/g.... Climate Barometer also have a rich resource of MP polling over the last few years on climate issues (including some trackers) which may be if interest: climatebarometer.org/climate-baro...

Publics and UK parliamentarians underestimate the urgency of peaking global greenhouse gas emissions Communications Earth & Environment - UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is...

New paper with @lucasgeese.bsky.social at @commsearth.nature.com

UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.

@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social

rdcu.be/eI4J3

UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is evident among the public in Britain, Canada, Chile, and Germany.

View of the Palace of Westminster and Big Ben next to the River Thames under a partly cloudy sky.

A new UEA study has found that UK Members of Parliament (MPs) and the public overestimated the time left to meet a critical deadline for limiting global warming. 

Read more 👉 bit.ly/3KAs1y2

#UKParliament #MPs #ClimateChange
@ukri.org
@climateuea.bsky.social

Bit of an awkward coincidence that our paper comes out on the day Kemi Badenoch pledges to scrap the UK Climate Change Act, but perhaps provides also a bit of an explanation:

Many UK politicians, and Tories especially, still don't fully grasp the urgency of cutting greenhouse gas emissions!
👇👇👇👇👇👇

As part of our Infra4NextGen project, @ess-survey.bsky.social has just released a new data summary that brings together insights from the European Social Survey, European Values Study, and the International Social Survey Programme...

infra4nextgen.com/wp-content/u... (1/)

Publics and UK parliamentarians underestimate the urgency of peaking global greenhouse gas emissions Communications Earth & Environment - UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is...

New paper with @lucasgeese.bsky.social at @commsearth.nature.com

UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023.

@tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
@climateuea.bsky.social

rdcu.be/eI4J3

The Challenge of Mobilizing Voters on Climate Policy Pledges When Climate is Low on the Political Agenda: Evidence from the 2024 UK General Election by @johnkenny.bsky.social in the Recent Elections in Europe: Trends and Challenges panel organized by @ecprpovb.bsky.social.

Our review article on the use of climate change questions in public opinion surveys is now available in the current issue of Environmental Politics.

Green backlash and right-wing populism - Nature Climate Change This Review considers research on the politics of climate policies. Climate policies, through their economic and cultural repercussions, impact public climate attitudes and voting behaviour, which in ...

📢 New Publication 📢

📄 Review article in Nature Climate Change

It examines how resistance to climate policy is reshaping politics & why populist right parties are the main beneficiaries?

(with Valentina Bosseti, Italo Colantone & Giorgio Musto)

Short 🧵

🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s41...

A framework for classifying climate change questions used in public opinion surveys John Kenny, Senior Research Associate, University of East Anglia

SEMINAR: A framework for classifying climate change questions used in public opinion surveys 👥

Watch this live seminar at the University of Bologna, delivered by UEA's @johnkenny.bsky.social today
🕑2pm (UK time)

No need to register, just join online here: phd.unibo.it/pss/en/agend... #AcademicSky

New paper out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social with Michael Lewis-Beck. We show that political economy models - based on inflation rate, government/prime minister approval, and the number of terms in office - performed well in forecasting CON vote share ahead of the 2024 GE
doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

In “The Authentic A**hole: Candidate Consistency, Causality, and the Vote,” @sofiabrei.bsky.social, @johnkenny.bsky.social, @jaclarner.bsky.social, Dieter Stiers, and Michael S. Lewis-Beck make use of a survey vignette experiment in Britain.

New paper out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social with Michael Lewis-Beck. We show that political economy models - based on inflation rate, government/prime minister approval, and the number of terms in office - performed well in forecasting CON vote share ahead of the 2024 GE
doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

What can we learn from the 2024 General Election for the UK climate politics of the future? Very happy to see @johnkenny.bsky.social and my report published in collaboration with @green-alliance.org.uk and @cast-centre.bsky.social. See 👇 for the details.

Opinion on climate change policy during the 2024 general election » Green Alliance Green Alliance is an independent think tank and charity focused on ambitious leadership for the environment

Great to see CAST 2024 polling be the focus of @green-alliance.org.uk's latest report on public opinion on climate policy during the 2024 general election. 🗳️

The report was written by CAST's @johnkenny.bsky.social & @lucasgeese.bsky.social and examines climate policy support.

Read the report 👇

In this report with @lucasgeese.bsky.social, we present findings from polling we carried out just before last year's UK general election in which we examined support for climate policies among the British public.

@cast-centre.bsky.social @climateuea.bsky.social @tyndallcentre.bsky.social

Polity | Vol 57, No 2

Check out the Guest Editors' Note from our April Issue, written by @johnkenny.bsky.social , @sofiabrei.bsky.social , and Michael S. Lewis-Beck. It is available here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/toc/pol/curr...

In this report with @lucasgeese.bsky.social, we present findings from polling we carried out just before last year's UK general election in which we examined support for climate policies among the British public.

@cast-centre.bsky.social @climateuea.bsky.social @tyndallcentre.bsky.social

My new post @deltapoll.bsky.social

deltapoll.co.uk/net-zero-sce...

Badenoch said "net zero is impossible”.

But 52% approve, 18% disapprove, of the net zero 2050 law.

Even +26 point net approval among Con voters.

However, disapproval up from 8% in 2019 to 18% now.

Thread 1/...

Doing cool research on elections, public opinion and/or parties? Don't forget to submit your abstract for EPOP 2025 before the end of April. Link to the form here: forms.office.com/e/4wBNMq4qwi

Come share your work with an awesome group of scholars! Any questions, contact elections@exeter.ac.uk 😊

Starting this week with another output - brief reflections on the recent German election along with my other co-convenors of the @psagermanpol.bsky.social of @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social

In it we raise the importance of a party's perceived brand of authenticity in an election campaign!

The gendered long‐term consequences of automation risk on electoral behaviour: Evidence from Norway We examine long-run effects of automation risk on turnout. We expect gendered negative effects because men's turnout is more sensitive to job loss and earnings, but negative effects might be offset b...

Technological change has had important consequences for labour markets in recent decades. What about its electoral consequences? In this new article in EJPR, we use administrative data to follow nearly a million workers over 16 years to study this. 🧵

ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

Delighted to see our new article published in International Journal of Forecasting.

For those without a subscription, free access is available until May 7 through the link below.

authors.elsevier.com/c/1knSqcUIKd...

Delighted to see our new article published in International Journal of Forecasting.

For those without a subscription, free access is available until May 7 through the link below.

authors.elsevier.com/c/1knSqcUIKd...

When politicians have strongly held views which conflict however with those of their voters, parties or independent experts , should they stay true to themselves or give in to the views of those stakeholders?

John Kenny and I have surveyed British and German citizens and politicians on that.

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