Bryan Based International Order 🇨🇦

I know it's a couple of hours early but...

A screenshot of the Polymarket website showing a prediction market titled "Nuclear weapon detonation by...?" under the Geopolitics and Ukraine categories. The market displays three betting options with their current probabilities and "Buy Yes" or "Buy No" prices: "March 31" at 5%, "June 30" at 12%, and "Before 2027" at 22%. The total trading volume shown is over $843,000.

Polymarket has created a betting market on the use of nuclear weapons. Everyone involved in this should be put in prison for life.

Huh?

Nobody: ….

Pierre Poilievre: “Hear me out, Robin Hood was actually the Milton Friedman of his day”

From the extraordinary intellect that brought you “the Nazis were lefties because it says socialist in the party name,” I bring you…

Carney says Ottawa’s position supporting U.S., Israeli strikes on Iran was taken ‘with regret’ But the U.S. and Israel have acted without engaging the UN or allies, leaving the question of where things will go from here, the Prime Minister said

Carney says Ottawa’s position supporting U.S., Israeli strikes on Iran was taken ‘with regret’
www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/art...

Double Preemption, Imminence, and the U.S. Attack Against Iran Rubio’s argument that Operation Epic Fury was preemptive self-defense is not credible and does not satisfy the necessary precondition.

The Trump Administration keeps throwing new arguments at the wall to see what might stick--but each one is worse than the last.

This is an excellent piece by @eliavl.bsky.social explaining why Rubio's recent "double preemption" argument is a non-starter.

www.justsecurity.org/133093/preem...

Understanding the conflict in the Middle East U of M assistant professor Bryan Peeler discusses the crisis in the Middle East, what is happening and what it means for Canada.

Thanks to CTV News and Rachel Lagacé for having me on this morning to talk about the US/Israel - Iran war (I blanked on the War Powers Report there for a moment).

International law is not a suicide pact The US/Israeli action is both morally justified and legally legitimate

there is a type of Western lawyer that finds a way to justify virtually every war. He was last seen in the 2003 Iraq war and has now returned, explaining that "international law was designed to protect the civilised world". Someone give this man a book by Anghie please
spectator.com/article/inte...

Excuse me?

I eagerly await it's Article 51 letter to the UN. Said no one. Ever.

Wut?

So, this is going well.

Is America great again?

BREAKING Attack by two drones on US embassy in Riyadh sparks fire, says Saudi defence ministry spokesman.

US embassy in Saudi Arabia issues shelter in place notification for citizens in Jeddah, Riyadh and Dhahran

Can’t call it a war, you have to call it a “special military operation.”

Wait, sorry, I got the wrong MAGA-supported government that started a war thinking it’d be easy and doesn’t have a plan for when it turned out hard except to shut up domestic critics.

This one is “major combat operations.”

👋 Former State Department War Powers lawyer here.

This statement by Rubio is false.

As @tessbridgeman.bsky.social and I wrote in January:
www.justsecurity.org/128517/war-p...

How does he talk with his head so far up his ass?

ICC issues arrest warrants for Israeli PM, former defence minister over alleged war crimes in Gaza | CBC News The International Criminal Court (ICC) on Thursday issued arrest warrants for Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former defence minister Yoav Gallant for alleged crimes against humanity an...

Your periodic reminder there is an ICC arrest warrant out for Netanyahu

cbc.ca © CBC/Radio-Canada 2026. All rights reserved.

Here's the link if you're interested:

They're attacking Lebanon, now (again?)

Good on Will.

"The president said he understood the risks of an attack, but he conveyed to Mr. Carlson that he had no choice but to join a strike that Israel would launch."

This is a huge development.

Ill be on CBC Radio Noon just after 1230pm here in Winnipeg talking your calls on whatever this is:

Always. Read. Adil.

Oooooook.

Our primary insight into how the Trump Admin lawyers* war powers comes from the OLC memo they published on the Venezuela strikes and capture of Maduro.

My analysis here: