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Nemr Kanafani

@kanafani.bsky.social

Economist | GCC/MENA | EU Foreign Relations Brussels, Belgium 🇱🇧🇩🇰

169 Followers  |  366 Following  |  16 Posts  |  Joined: 20.02.2024
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Posts by Nemr Kanafani (@kanafani.bsky.social)

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Swap overtouristed Dubai for nature-rich Oman in 2026 Here’s how to discover Bedouin traditions in the desert, turtle sanctuaries on the coast, and treks through the mountains in Oman.

“While #Dubai is straining under a tourism boom and #Saudi Arabia has launched multi-billion-dollar projects to boost its visitor numbers, neighbouring #Oman is quietly enjoying its own uptick in interest as a travel destination”

www.euronews.com/travel/2026/...

04.01.2026 20:44 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Oman: Royal Decree approves State Budget, 11th Five-Year plan The Eleventh Five-Year Development Plan adopted a targeted economic growth of approximately 4 percent at constant prices

#Oman approves new budget and five year plan to support continue Vision 2040 goals.

www.zawya.com/en/economy/g...

03.01.2026 09:36 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

The obsession with cross border deficits and flows masks what we should be focused on and that is sustainable expenditure trends that promote growth such as strong macro investment levels. Excessive consumption is usually the underlying cause of the “twin deficit” and is caused by policy choices.

03.01.2026 09:26 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Yemen's southern separatists call for path to independence amid fighting over key region The Saudi-backed government called it a peaceful operation to take back military positions. The separatists accused Saudi Arabia of conducting airstrikes.

“ #Yemen 's southern separatist movement aimed to hold a referendum on independence from the north in two years, as #Saudi -backed forces fought to recapture areas the separatists seized last month in a move that triggered a major feud between #Gulf powers”

www.reuters.com/world/middle...

03.01.2026 09:02 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Oman’s Calculus Amid the STC’s Southern Gains - Gulf International Forum The rapid territorial advances made by the Southern Transitional Council (STC) following its “Promising Future” operation have effectively sidelined Yemen’s internationally recognized government (IRG)...

For #Oman “the situation [in #Yemen] raises concerns of instability along the border, smuggling, intelligence penetration, the spread of Salafist ideology, and the potential for #Mahra to become a “fragmented arena dominated by externally backed non-state actors”

gulfif.org/omans-calcul...

03.01.2026 08:56 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

"When Trump announced sweeping tariffs many were left scratching their heads. What if it wasn’t about economics? [What if the] tariffs aren’t designed to fix trade [but] to create dependence and force alignment"
An interesting perspective from game theory!
www.linkedin.com/pulse/game-t...

10.04.2025 19:18 — 👍 5    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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The trade deficit isn’t an emergency – it’s a sign of America’s strength The word ‘deficit’ may sound alarming, but America’s trade gap is a sign of its financial and economic dominance.

"A trade deficit sounds bad, but it is neither good nor bad. It simply means foreigners are sending more goods than the US is sending them. A trade deficit can only arise if foreigners invest more in the US than Americans invest abroad"
theconversation.com/the-trade-de...

09.04.2025 05:13 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Live: Markets Show No Sign of Improved Sentiment in New Week Stock Market Live: Stock Futures Pare Declines, Traders Boost Fed Rate Cut Bets

"Trump and his team dismissed investor fears of inflation and recession, offering no apologies for the turmoil sparked by sweeping global tariffs and defiantly insisting a 🔆BOOM🔆 is on the horizon"

links.message.bloomberg.com/s/c/kdUxOP9P...

07.04.2025 11:42 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Bill Ackman warns Trump is losing business leaders' confidence Billionaire fund manager Bill Ackman, who endorsed Donald Trump's run for President, said the U.S. leader was losing the confidence of business leaders and should pause his trade war.

I fear it’s a bit late for such call. Let’s see how quickly we can get to deal making or if that’s even the goal.

www.reuters.com/world/us/bil...

07.04.2025 05:40 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Let's stop the trade deficit blame game Everyone with a command of basic arithmetic agrees that the US current account trade balance—the broadest measure of its trade deficit—equals US saving minus investment. That’s where agreement stops.

This should bring some perspective to current US trade policy.

www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

04.04.2025 08:32 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Trump Tariffs Aim to Revive U.S. Manufacturing. Is That Possible? The president says “jobs and factories will come roaring back” because of his trade policies, but the economic story of the American 21st century has also been shaped by the deliberate pursuit of free...

“While disagreement about Mr. Trump’s prescription for America’s manufacturing decline is widespread, few experts dispute his general diagnosis”

I hate to quibble but the diagnosis was not his. Economists and policymakers have talked about it for years.

www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/b...

03.04.2025 14:07 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Reciprocal Tariff Calculations Executive Summary Reciprocal tariffs are calculated as the tariff rate necessary to balance bilateral trade deficits between the U.S. and each of our trading partners. This calculation assumes that pe...

This is what Trump's "economists" say about how they calculated the "reciprocal" tariffs. Don[t be fooled by the equation. They commit countless crimes against economics. ustr.gov/issue-areas/... +

03.04.2025 06:44 — 👍 239    🔁 80    💬 10    📌 14

Europe has a major opportunity it can choose to grab to become once again the leader in science, innovation and ideas. It’s time not for tinkering but for leading. Let’s grab it! 🇪🇺🇪🇺

03.04.2025 06:51 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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US President Donald Trump is poised to announce so-called reciprocal tariffs on the country’s trading partners in a move that threatens to ignite a full-blown global trade war.

Follow live updates: www.ft.com/content/8c80...

02.04.2025 20:11 — 👍 30    🔁 11    💬 22    📌 6

“The funds frequently target places that are not particularly needy and mainly benefit people at the upper end of the income distribution. Cohesion policy thus requires root-and-branch reform”

02.04.2025 11:47 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

US tariff strategy is to create a lot of noise and scare businesses and trade partners then dial it down and watch investment pour back in and trade barriers drop. All the talk of irreparable damage by the mainstream is dismissed by the US leadership as empty talk. Will it work?

02.04.2025 10:47 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Economic Warnings About Trump’s Tariffs Are Piling Up Trump says his new tariffs will be “Liberation Day” for America. Economists’ and market analysts’ views are far more ominous.

“the proposed tariff risks causing irreparable damage to the industry, contradicting the administration’s goals of strengthening U.S. manufacturing and economic stability,” Laffer writes in the analysis

nymag.com/intelligence...

01.04.2025 07:24 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Economic Warnings About Trump’s Tariffs Are Piling Up Trump says his new tariffs will be “Liberation Day” for America. Economists’ and market analysts’ views are far more ominous.

A CNBC survey that averages forecasts from more than a dozen economists indicates that “policy uncertainty and sweeping new tariffs from the Trump administration are combining to create a stagflationary outlook for the U.S. economy”

nymag.com/intelligence...

01.04.2025 07:20 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Trump’s Science Policies Pose Long-Term Risk, Economists Warn (Gift Article) Since World War II, U.S. research funding has led to discoveries that fueled economic gains. Now cutbacks are seen as putting that legacy in jeopardy.

Tariffs get all the attention, but ask economists what they're really worried about and many will point to the Trump administration's cuts to federal support for the sciences, including canceling grants and revoking student visas.
#EconSky
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/31/b...

31.03.2025 15:49 — 👍 1222    🔁 544    💬 34    📌 39
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Wall Street Wants to Buy Stock Market’s Dips, Question Is When The US stock market is about to conclude its worst quarter compared to the rest of the world since the 1980s.

A rough start to the year for stocks has Wall Street wondering when to buy the dip. But the consensus so far is "not yet."

31.03.2025 15:27 — 👍 62    🔁 14    💬 13    📌 4
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US stock futures drop on recession fears sparked by tariff worries U.S. stock indexes opened sharply lower on Monday as investors shied away from risky assets on mounting concerns that the Trump administration's upcoming announcement of extensive tariff plans could hurt the global economy.

US stock indexes opened sharply lower as investors shied away from risky assets on mounting concerns that the Trump administration's upcoming announcement of extensive tariff plans could hurt the global economy reut.rs/3G11wiX

31.03.2025 13:57 — 👍 413    🔁 112    💬 24    📌 9