Magenta

that's crazy

Here's Dem turnout! We don't have a complete picture, but over 1.1m IPEV in these 12 counties alone, 286% of their 2024 combined total

Largest increases in the fastest-growing areas

guys i think i know what happened

"Due to the ongoing situation in Iran, we are pausing primary coverage and will resume soon" hell nah this is what Election Twitter used to do

i got jumpscared by this in my notifications

Some complete counties so far tonight

Jefferson is a little weak, and the RGV is bluer than 2024 but still redder than 2020 by composition

i just had a dream where i had a massive forehead

this just reads like one of the positives of having some type of off-year election (state party solidarity is required earlier in a presidential term)

it's interesting that Crockett's two best polls (YouGov +12, UT-Tyler +16) have also been Cornyn's best two polls (YouGov -2, UT-Tyler +6)

could be

-something about weighting to poll both races at once favors Crockett/Cornyn?
-some other methodological quirk I can't identify?
-random variation?

Asked if he has had extension talks with the Mets, Freddy Peralta smiled and said “no comment.”

Freddy "Poker Face" Peralta

Freddy Peralta is perfect thru three innings. He has three strikeouts. Just 29 pitches. Ace.

Full first hour in Travis

Yesterday 7-8am: 452 votes
Today 7-8am: 1134 votes

why are palestinians blue and israelis green, i don't like this color swap

galloway endorsed the greens in this case, and the swing towards them were so big that i have to assume the vast majority of WPB voters went to them

and the reform swing seems to come half from the tories, half from labour

they exist somewhere

supposedly

more likely that it's like a reform-tory coalition given the current environment imo but the point still holds

turns out squinting at noisy polling averages doesn't make correct narratives

the six party system

ah, i am out of touch due to my imprisonment in a millennial retirement home it seems

surely nothing can be worse than maine

you have some insane pulls

>"Matt Goodwin"
>bad loss

is he stupid

Not a great day for seat polls in Gorton & Denton (UK), Greens outperformed winning by nearly 12 points. Even worse day for Matt Goodwin and "Greens can't win here" pamphlets.

they're always gonna paint themselves as more liberal at least, which isn't always to the left of labour, but it does kinda read as that by default given how starmer-era labour operates

it turns out that left-wing voters do have agency in this world, who would've thought

labour will continue placing third until morale improves

sorry

main takeaway: labour left-wing voters are a lot more willing to defect than we may think

secondary takeaway: reform UK ceiling is super real

very important

40% IN A THREE WAY RACE?????

NOBODY HAD A SHOT