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Mel Conway

@conways-law.bsky.social

Mathematician applying systems thinking to politics. Bona fides here: https://melconway.com/Home/pdf/BonaFides.pdf Enemy of the true-but-not-useful school of social research. https://melconway.com/Home/pdf/WhatIsMAGA.pdf

464 Followers  |  48 Following  |  446 Posts  |  Joined: 17.11.2024  |  2.1303

Latest posts by conways-law.bsky.social on Bluesky

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www.404media.co/you-cant-ref...

02.11.2025 19:38 β€” πŸ‘ 6152    πŸ” 3268    πŸ’¬ 552    πŸ“Œ 360

Serious alternative interpretation: He's looked at the way we're responding and is signaling resignation.

30.10.2025 18:57 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

No, it's us.

30.10.2025 18:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Covers of two Dover books by A.D. White: "A History of the Warfare of Science with Theology"

Covers of two Dover books by A.D. White: "A History of the Warfare of Science with Theology"

Remember this? (Dover books from the '50s.)

30.10.2025 16:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I have been charged in a federal indictment sought by the Department of Justice.

This political prosecution is an attack on all of our First Amendment rights. I’m not backing down, and we’re going to win.

29.10.2025 16:55 β€” πŸ‘ 42280    πŸ” 13655    πŸ’¬ 1250    πŸ“Œ 1059

melconway.com/Home/pdf/Wha...

29.10.2025 15:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Disagree. My work suggests what I'm calling a reward-threat-punishment network. It exists mostly in the dark, but occasionally you get a peek at it. Consider this to be a professional suggestion:
bsky.app/profile/conw...

27.10.2025 01:43 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

We need to start thinking about Character as a function, not a constant.

The model of behavior as a view of character, which is independent of environment, has a long history, but it's not very useful and can be destructive. It reflects the fiction that we are decoupled from our environments.

27.10.2025 01:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
A diagram showing some downstream effects of CO2 emissions.

A diagram showing some downstream effects of CO2 emissions.

I'll have to add that, and the effects of ocean acidification, to this diagram.
(See
x.com/peakaustria/...)
2/2

26.10.2025 20:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Here is a work in process about how our political discourse without second-order thinking is borderline silly.
melconway.com/Home/pdf/Cha...
1/2

26.10.2025 20:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Our troops also are to obey only legal orders, but no military subordinate will have legal advice he/she can trust in the moment of truth. And SCOTUS says what the Constitution is. So once the DOD decapitation is complete we're going to have a real problem.
bsky.app/profile/did:...

25.10.2025 22:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Mel Conway on X: "I’ve been watching all the chatter about Vibe Coding, and I have a question: What does all this have to do with building stuff? I’m seeing a major conflation between coding and creating useful artifacts. Somebody please explain what I’m missing." / X I’ve been watching all the chatter about Vibe Coding, and I have a question: What does all this have to do with building stuff? I’m seeing a major conflation between coding and creating useful artifacts. Somebody please explain what I’m missing.

x.com/conways_law/...

24.10.2025 18:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is not something I want to do, but as someone who was food insecure for a long time, here are some ways to get the most out of what you can get.

-if you have dietary restrictions or food aversions, spend some time thinking about what foods are safe. It sounds obvious, butβ€”

23.10.2025 21:31 β€” πŸ‘ 505    πŸ” 226    πŸ’¬ 24    πŸ“Œ 39

Plus the Internet.

24.10.2025 01:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

And construction can be frozen in its tracks by suing him in ways that tie up his donors. The last things they want is to be involved in lawsuits.

23.10.2025 15:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Since Donald Trump is doing this entirely outside prescribed processes, he is not acting in the role of President of the United States, and is therefore subject to criminal prosecution. No?

23.10.2025 14:31 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Expiring ACA Premium Tax Credits Could Lead to Nearly 340,000 Jobs Lost Across the U.S. in 2026 Unless Congress acts quickly to extend the enhanced ACA marketplace premium tax credits, nearly 5 million people could lose health insurance coverage in 2026.

"researchers have estimated that the end of enhanced tax credits will lead to 7.3 mill people losing their ACA coverage in 2026, of whom 4.8 mill would become uninsured. The loss of the additional subsidies are projected to increase how much...enrollees must pay...from an avg of $888 to $1,904/year"

20.10.2025 15:09 β€” πŸ‘ 295    πŸ” 195    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 12

🧡 2 quick tips for anyone who owns an iPhone, values their privacy, and is attending a large public event.

Note: these are meant for typical low-risk users. Please refer to @eff.org for detailed tutorials that are useful for higher-risk/higher-visibility individuals.

14.06.2025 14:40 β€” πŸ‘ 74    πŸ” 50    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 2

Karoline Leavitt on what she expected for today’s demonstrations: β€œHamas terrorists, illegal aliens, violent criminals.”

Scott Bessent: β€œMost unhinged in the Democratic Party”

Mike Johnson: β€œThe pro-Hamas wing, the antifa people.”

NYPD: More than 100,000 protesters; zero arrests.

18.10.2025 20:48 β€” πŸ‘ 3054    πŸ” 799    πŸ’¬ 66    πŸ“Œ 21

Time to admit the possibility of an abstract political player.
melconway.com/Home/pdf/Wha...

18.10.2025 20:08 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Go to
bsky.app/profile/indi...
for a feast of images.

18.10.2025 19:48 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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😍 Boston, you are beautiful. #NoKings

18.10.2025 17:22 β€” πŸ‘ 51587    πŸ” 12512    πŸ’¬ 1045    πŸ“Œ 873
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Chicago - no kings

18.10.2025 17:33 β€” πŸ‘ 32738    πŸ” 7502    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 370
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@popbase.tv

17.10.2025 22:13 β€” πŸ‘ 266    πŸ” 100    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 2

Fourteen senior officers as of October 17.

18.10.2025 16:28 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Opinion | Teapot Dome. Watergate. They’re Nothing Compared to This.

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/17/o...

18.10.2025 00:25 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Amazon’s Ring to partner with Flock, a network of AI cameras used by ICE, feds, and police Agencies that use Flock can request that Ring doorbell users share footage to help with "evidence collection and investigative work."

GET RID OF YOUR RING CAMERAS www.yahoo.com/news/article...

17.10.2025 21:52 β€” πŸ‘ 2688    πŸ” 1953    πŸ’¬ 53    πŸ“Œ 119

Look at all the heat!

17.10.2025 20:32 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@msnbc.com How should I contact Carol Leonnig directly?

16.10.2025 17:32 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The above-cited essay suggests one such strategy, but if you don’t have a taste for abstract political actors you might be able to find others. (By the way, flu and measles are abstractions.)

In any case, we need something, and fast.
16/16

15.10.2025 20:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@conways-law is following 20 prominent accounts