@ecoevoecoevo.bsky.social
information geek
FOLLOW THE DATA! VOTES HAVE BEEN SWAPPED!
Iowa District 1: Ballots with only President filled-in (dropoff/bullet ballots) total around 8% for Trump and -8% for Harris #BeatTheCheat
Happy New Year, y'all! Some fun data in Maricopa AZ's Election Day tabulators:
In 2012 & 2020, you see a natural inverse relationship between candidates.
In 2024, the more votes Harris gets, the more votes Trump gets.
More context: www.reddit.com/r/somethingi...
#recount #election2024
For reference, Ted Cruz was the Senate candidate in both 2012 and 2024.
28.12.2024 17:54 — 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Signs of election tampering in Texas. In every row, extra votes for president trend the same way down the ticket for both parties.
The complete opposite happens for Senate dropoffs in 2024, suggesting a flip from [Harris-Democrat Senate] to [Trump-No Senate] ballots. #recount #election2024
THEY DO NOT WHAT YOU TO SEE THIS! 👀
This (first graph) is what Elon and MAGA were hiding. Clark County full ballot level data was posted and systematic fraud is now exposed, no estimates, real audit of 1,033,285 ballots.
🛑One battleground state audit now completed, and it's a 1 for 1 on fraud!
Here's 2020 for reference (a little data is missing but you can see the general trend)
28.12.2024 17:01 — 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0Hi R5, good point on the graph. The original one you replied to was wrong about president/senate candidates being split-popular across counties, but follow-ups across election years and swing/non-swing states show some odd patterns.
bsky.app/profile/ecoe...
Good point, that is insane. Someone on Reddit pointed out the weird voter stats in PA too. Haven't crunched the numbers myself yet but it looks interesting so far.
www.reddit.com/r/somethingi...
Oh I'm referring to how all the dots/counties fall within a very narrow band (i.e. all 67 PA counties prefer Pres candidate between 0-5% in 2024, vs. at least a 10% spread and noticeable outliers in prev yrs).
01.12.2024 20:18 — 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0I'm still trying to figure out if this lends credibility to the claim of flipped Harris to Trump votes or something else; it's just odd (to me) to see 67 and 83 counties having near-perfect margins for president-senate differences, when this isn't the case in past elections.
01.12.2024 16:33 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0It's actually pretty common for a presidential candidate to be more or less popular than the senatorial candidate across all counties (every colored dot positive or negative). What's odd here is how closely each county is aligned in their preferences in swing states, but not in non-swing states.
01.12.2024 16:25 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0See this thread for more details: www.reddit.com/r/somethingi...
01.12.2024 00:18 — 👍 6 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0Please see this post (bsky.app/profile/ecoe...) for most recent updates (includes AZ, MI, NV, PA, MD, NJ, UT, and WY).
The above graph has been retracted. The original claim of relative popularity between candidates is wrong, but some questions remain around degree of differences across counties.
This graph has been retracted. Original claim of relative popularity between candidates is wrong, but some questions remain around degree of differences across counties. Please see this post (bsky.app/profile/ecoe...) for most recent updates.
01.12.2024 00:11 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
2024 President-Senate differences (%) in swing and non-swing states. Swing states show a smaller standard deviation than non-swing states.
President-Senate differences (%) in swing states by election year. Swing states show a smaller standard deviation in 2024 than in previous election years.
President-Senate differences (%) in non-swing states by election year. Non-swing states show a comparable standard deviation in 2024 than in previous election years.
2024 President-Senate differences (%) in swing and non-swing states.
Swing states show small std dev in president-senate preferences than non-swing states & smaller std dev overall in 2024 than prev elections, especially in MI and PA. Maybe implications for split-ticket voting patterns? #recount
