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Pawel Swidlicki

@pswidlicki.bsky.social

Currently clean on OPSEC

3,377 Followers  |  1,655 Following  |  2,399 Posts  |  Joined: 19.09.2023
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Posts by Pawel Swidlicki (@pswidlicki.bsky.social)

Now obviously they'd come up with some kind of mental gymnastics but even so it could be revealing to some extent, the kind of thing a good interviewer in an extended, non-aggro interview could really tease out.

04.03.2026 08:29 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

To best of my knowledge, neither Farage nor Badenoch or other prominent Brexiteers have even been pressed to elaborate on why when it comes to UK-US relations 'taking back control' should be subservient to other considerations.

04.03.2026 08:26 β€” πŸ‘ 28    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yeah, he's called his show 'Harry Cole saves the West' and the lots of the people he invites on there are properly out there

03.03.2026 20:24 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

6%? Guessing that's about the size of the organic Blue Labour constituency?

03.03.2026 16:56 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, maybe Trump's secret police can arrest you off the street and willfully violate your rights for several months just because they can but did you know that a car wash manger at Buc-ee's in Alabama can earn over $100k?

03.03.2026 15:02 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Not if 80% of Reform are ex-Tory MPs though

03.03.2026 14:38 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Trump’s war is messing with the fallout from Trump’s tariffs, which is messing from the fallout from Trump’s war on clean energy

03.03.2026 11:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1773    πŸ” 446    πŸ’¬ 90    πŸ“Œ 37

Think there is something to be written about how bad the news environment has got for people who want to keep up with politics but don't have the time/knowledge to go beyond the flagships.

03.03.2026 10:13 β€” πŸ‘ 347    πŸ” 70    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 6

I saw a clip of Hunt on LBC in which he said Trump had been given cause to 'question our loyalty' and implied that we should have gone all in with him in order to maintain his support for Ukraine (Trump has massively reduced US support for Ukraine).

03.03.2026 14:25 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

"This government has restored economic stability" feels like a tin-eared thing for a Chancellor to say when global markets (and especially oil and gas) are in turmoil thanks to the USA's middle Eastern adventures. Not her fault but odd to ignore it.

03.03.2026 12:41 β€” πŸ‘ 31    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1

Quite the contrast to the seemingly surgical decapitation strikes on senior regime figures

03.03.2026 13:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Minab school bombing: how the worst mass casualty event of the Iran war unfolded – a visual guide A strike on Shajareh Tayyebeh school during the US-Israeli bombing campaign killed up to 168 people. The Guardian has pieced together the incident and its aftermath using verified footage and images f...

"Photographs and verified videos from the site... show children’s bodies lying partly buried under the debris. In one video, a very small child’s severed arm is pulled from the rubble. Colourful backpacks covered with blood and concrete dust sit among the ruins." www.theguardian.com/global-devel...

03.03.2026 13:46 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Well, he did succeed in salting the earth for Labour, which I always thought was a core part of the rationale

03.03.2026 13:40 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I have a relatively high degree of sympathy given the unprecedented nature of this particular shit sandwich in the post-war context but what I find hard to forgive is all the excitable briefings about UK-EU tech partnerships, all the great trade opportunities, looking to DOGE for inspiration etc

03.03.2026 12:46 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yep - exactly my point

03.03.2026 12:43 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Yeah was clearly a case of 'hope for the best, prepare for the worst'. Notwithstanding that even the realistic best case here was still bad.

03.03.2026 12:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Apart from everything else, the timeline here…he rebuilt the military in his first term and then Biden gave it all away but it’s fine because…he rebuilt the military in his first term?

Anyway, this is as good a sign as any that the stockpile is a huge concern.

03.03.2026 12:37 β€” πŸ‘ 66    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

Also, from a UK perspective, pretty much everything he has done has been harmful - tariffs, climate policy, geopolitics... the single win that Starmerites touted was getting a slightly less raw deal on tariffs!

03.03.2026 12:35 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Its why he appointed Mandelson despite the misgivings he must have had!

03.03.2026 12:33 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

"Isn't there somebody you forgot to ask?"

03.03.2026 12:25 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Think the geopolitical one (NATO, defence spending etc) is relatively safe as long as they don't go too OTT.

03.03.2026 12:10 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is not to say they couldn't/shouldn't be doing better but it's not obvious to me what they should be doing differently, don't think Davey has really put a foot wrong in terms of his positioning on key issues.

03.03.2026 11:46 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I don't think they're doing that badly. Bumping along mid-teens is a considerable improvement from previous parliaments, they have a stable platform and I think some of the Green surge will naturally dissipate as their positions come under greater scrutiny. Their biggest threat is Kemi getting axed.

03.03.2026 11:44 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

So emblematic of this government's entire approach to comms and policy. At no point does anyone appear to be subjecting anything to even a cursory sense-check, result is pissing people off (often own political constituency) then having to row back anyway damaging credibility bsky.app/profile/colm...

03.03.2026 11:34 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The old age dependency ratio has put an unbearable burden on middle income young earners and that means labour backbenchers need to resolutely back immigration reforms that will make that problem worse is certainly an interesting take

03.03.2026 10:33 β€” πŸ‘ 33    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

The single most effective way of tackling 'foreign interference from hostile actors' would be to ban twitter but err... good luck with that

03.03.2026 10:03 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I have seen this a few times now

03.03.2026 10:00 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Labour going to commit to a second referendum?

03.03.2026 09:59 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Maybe we should confiscate their jewelry upon entry

03.03.2026 09:52 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

And people thought ampel was bad... Quite seriously though, you see how this could see how this could resurrect the 'coalition of chaos' type attacks from Tories and Reform (and their media ecosystem) notwithstanding that they'd need their own arrangement.

03.03.2026 09:50 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0