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Austin Blumenfeld

@blumenfeld.bsky.social

730 Followers  |  579 Following  |  48 Posts  |  Joined: 30.05.2023  |  1.8636

Latest posts by blumenfeld.bsky.social on Bluesky

but then wouldn't the universal rule be some form of moderation has to exist to win in a swing district? Totally agree that what exactly works for Jacky Rosen might not be exactly what works for Jared Golden but that it has to exist in some form to win.

28.05.2025 14:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

What’s the example of the Democrat in a swing/red seat who won without some degree of moderation?

28.05.2025 13:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Plus the affordability issue Dems are most associated with (health care) is least relevant to that cohort.

26.05.2025 14:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

My 26 guess is Dems have 22 performance with young/non-white voters and close to the best performance ever with older voters. Assuming GOP nominates Vance in 28, Dems coalition becomes older and GOP coalition becomes younger.

25.05.2025 15:59 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Feels like Torre’s pod/channel has the most potential in this world.

21.05.2025 18:15 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Sure but Scott also has been a pro-choice, pro-LGBTQ, passed gun safety legislation, and voted for Harris. There is no Democrat in the country doing that in reverse.

14.05.2025 02:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This feels like enough for Jon Ossoff and/or Roy Cooper to win, I doubt it’s enough to be competitive for a senate race in Iowa or Florida or Texas

14.05.2025 01:12 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

sure but then what's the explanation for how Jacky Rosen was able to win in Nevada where Trump won by 3% or how Henry Cuellar wins in a district Trump won by 7% or Governor Scott wins in Vermont in 2022 as Senator Welch wins by 40%.

13.05.2025 19:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

by the standard laid out here, famously corrupt fictional character clay davis was not engaged in corruption

12.05.2025 15:17 β€” πŸ‘ 4433    πŸ” 476    πŸ’¬ 207    πŸ“Œ 28

Green Day?

04.05.2025 03:11 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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They make it sound like there are millions of dead people getting Social Security checks. But it's just not true.

25.04.2025 17:37 β€” πŸ‘ 19521    πŸ” 3911    πŸ’¬ 582    πŸ“Œ 166

that's a path to maybe getting a cabinet position and/or being a top tier candidate for 32 or 36 not 28.

23.04.2025 17:35 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It was Afghanistan not Iraq. 133 House members voted against and 23 Senators.

20.04.2025 02:13 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Photo of Senator Chris Van Hollen with Kilmar Abrego Garcia.

Photo of Senator Chris Van Hollen with Kilmar Abrego Garcia.

I said my main goal of this trip was to meet with Kilmar. Tonight I had that chance. I have called his wife, Jennifer, to pass along his message of love. I look forward to providing a full update upon my return.

18.04.2025 01:02 β€” πŸ‘ 124216    πŸ” 25946    πŸ’¬ 8211    πŸ“Œ 6049
JACKIE ROBINSON DAY BACKGROUND

Robinson played his first Major League game at Ebbets Field on April 15, 1947, as a first baseman for the Brooklyn Dodgers. Major League Baseball has celebrated Jackie Robinson’s legacy in an extensive and unified League-wide show of support over the years, including retiring his number throughout the Majors in 1997, dedicating April 15th as Jackie Robinson Day each year since 2004, and requesting that every player and all on-field personnel wear his Number 42 during games scheduled on Jackie Robinson Day since 2009. Major League Baseball aims to educate all fans about Jackie Robinson, his life’s accomplishments and legacy, while communicating his message at all levels of the sport. For more information, please visit MLBTogether.com.

JACKIE ROBINSON DAY BACKGROUND Robinson played his first Major League game at Ebbets Field on April 15, 1947, as a first baseman for the Brooklyn Dodgers. Major League Baseball has celebrated Jackie Robinson’s legacy in an extensive and unified League-wide show of support over the years, including retiring his number throughout the Majors in 1997, dedicating April 15th as Jackie Robinson Day each year since 2004, and requesting that every player and all on-field personnel wear his Number 42 during games scheduled on Jackie Robinson Day since 2009. Major League Baseball aims to educate all fans about Jackie Robinson, his life’s accomplishments and legacy, while communicating his message at all levels of the sport. For more information, please visit MLBTogether.com.

The "Jackie Robinson Day background" section of MLB's official press release about Jackie Robinson just notes that he was a first baseman for the Brooklyn Dodgers who debuted in 1947. Nothing about the how, the why.

15.04.2025 19:37 β€” πŸ‘ 2044    πŸ” 656    πŸ’¬ 157    πŸ“Œ 354

this is the weakest an american president has ever looked on the world stage, just being proudly cucked by el salvador in an attempt to troll

14.04.2025 17:45 β€” πŸ‘ 2154    πŸ” 382    πŸ’¬ 77    πŸ“Œ 19
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Now that’s a split-screen. ⛳️

@wsj.com

05.04.2025 14:19 β€” πŸ‘ 13926    πŸ” 4150    πŸ’¬ 446    πŸ“Œ 262

The Polis vs. Tlaib online commentary will have more online flame wars than votes gained.

04.04.2025 23:08 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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TRUMP DITCHES FALLEN SOLDIERS' DIGNIFIED TRANSFER FOR GOLF DINNER

Trump won't attend the dignified transfer of 4 U.S. soldiers at Dover AFB who died in Lithuania.

He'll be at his Saudi-backed LIV Golf dinner in Florida instead. The soldiers were honored by Lithuania's president.

04.04.2025 00:54 β€” πŸ‘ 7735    πŸ” 3163    πŸ’¬ 1190    πŸ“Œ 471
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This was….five months ago

02.04.2025 23:49 β€” πŸ‘ 50849    πŸ” 13310    πŸ’¬ 1624    πŸ“Œ 1131

Who’s the Mark Udall of this cycle?

02.04.2025 15:21 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Sure but there’s no current way to ban scam PACs from sending cold texts. Even if ActBlue banned orgs if they send cold texts, they’d just move to a different payment processor. So it’s either endless scam PACs or at least some texts that can get people to be encouraged by Dem candidates.

02.04.2025 14:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I'd rather dem donors actually see young and exciting candidates running for office not just the 8th spam pac text to stand with Cory Booker. The video is an actual tangible thing for people to engage with and it's hard to get the word out in a fragmented media ecosystem.

02.04.2025 14:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I think it’s net-positive for candidates (and progressive ecosystem) to send a mass text to the gigantic universe of endlessly swapped lists with the announcement video but the random texts when nothing has happened specific to the candidate are net-bad.

02.04.2025 13:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Today, my son Sam and I showed Speaker Johnson why you don't mess with moms.

Thanks to overwhelming bipartisan support, we stopped the Speaker’s attempt to kill our resolution to allow new parents in Congress to vote remotely.

Thank you to everyone who stood with us today.

01.04.2025 21:16 β€” πŸ‘ 3362    πŸ” 659    πŸ’¬ 117    πŸ“Œ 48
Preview
An β€˜Administrative Error’ Sends a Maryland Father to a Salvadoran Prison The Trump administration says it mistakenly deported an immigrant with protected status but that courts are powerless to order his return.

BREAKING: Trump admin says it mistakenly deported a Maryland father who had *withholding of removal* back to El Salvador on March 15. Govt told court Monday it won't bring Kilmar Abrego Garcia back. "What.The.Fuck..." one govt attorney told me. www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc... @theatlantic.com

01.04.2025 02:25 β€” πŸ‘ 6229    πŸ” 2827    πŸ’¬ 342    πŸ“Œ 654

I think it entirely depends on how prevalent the issue is and at what level you're running (also what kind of oppo may or may not exist). Trump's moderation on abortion did seem to help versus just letting it go.

25.03.2025 16:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Trump Administration Accidentally Texted Me Its War Plans U.S. national-security leaders included me in a group chat about upcoming military strikes in Yemen. I didn’t think it could be real. Then the bombs started falling.

In 25 years of covering national security, I’ve never seen a story like this: Senior Trump officials discussed planning for the U.S. attack on Yemen in a Signal group--and inadvertently added the editor-in-chief of The Atlantic. www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...

24.03.2025 16:11 β€” πŸ‘ 16721    πŸ” 6538    πŸ’¬ 791    πŸ“Œ 2612

It’s still a primary where the average age will probably be 55. Spending a million on broadcast news is going to go farther than 3 million on OTT.

24.03.2025 15:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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BREAKING: Trump's billionaire Commerce Secretary says that seniors won't care if they don't get their Social Security checks β€” and that anyone who does complain is a fraudster.

21.03.2025 18:19 β€” πŸ‘ 3970    πŸ” 2026    πŸ’¬ 1298    πŸ“Œ 1523

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