David Darmofal

It’s looking like a win for Valerie Foushee.

The populist right hates Fauci. The populist left hates Foushee. Discuss.

Three. Precincts. Left.

More votes are coming in from Wake County for Nida Allam, but she still trails Valerie Foushee by 1,246 votes, or 1%.

The margin for the loser to request a recount is 1% #ncpol

US launches military operations in Ecuador The joint military operation with Ecuador targeted what the U.S. called "designated terrorist organizations" in the country.

The U.S. has launched military operations in Ecuador.

The joint military operation with Ecuador targeted what the U.S. called "designated terrorist organizations" in the country.

Shelly Willingham and Nasif Majeed, two other Democratic lawmakers who also joined the GOP to help pass conservative priorities (though not the specific ICE bill I'm talking about here), also lost to progressive challengers tonight.

Democrat Alex Holladay has won the special election to represent House District 70 in Arkansas.

Holladay overperformed in his district by a whopping 26 points.

RESULT: Rodney Sadler defeats state Representative Carla Cunningham in a Democratic primary in North Carolina. Cunningham had provided the state GOP with the decisive vote last year to pass a bill forcing compliance with ICE.

Uh, all the precincts are reporting in the North Carolina #SD26 Republican primary and State Senate President Phil Berger is losing by TWO VOTES!

Sam Page- 50.00% (13,077)
Phil Berger (Inc)- 50.00% (13,075)

North Carolina Fourth Congressional District Primary Election Results 2026 Get live results and maps from the 2026 North Carolina primary election.

Up to 94% of the vote in now in the Foushee-Allam race. Foushee's up by 1.4 points.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

This Texas primary runoff between Cornyn and Paxton is going to be on...May 26th! The semester will be over & I'll be on sabbatical by then.

If you keep the South Carolina primary #FITN, you get media coverage of Democratic candidates into NC (from Rock Hill) and GA (from Aiken). Just saying. And unlike those other two states, Democrats here control the date of their presidential primary.

More economically vibrant & dynamic states seem to produce better Democratic statewide candidates. Look at Cooper, Ossoff, Andrews, whoever wins in TX, etc., vs. Fetterman, the NH disasters, Platner, etc. Doesn't seem to hold on the R side, where dynamic states produce some wackos.

Since then, the political environment has only grown worse for Republicans, and Holladay made the most of that shift. Like successful Democrats across the country, he emphasized the cost-of-living crisis, which he said many voters closely linked to their opposition to a plan by Sanders to build an enormous prison in rural northwest Arkansas. The proposal, Holladay told the Arkansas Advocate, rankled many people who are “struggling to go to the grocery store.” “I’ve been surprised by the number of voters that bring it up,” he said. “I don’t even ask. They just bring it up because one of our [campaign] taglines is, ‘What matters to you?’”

So how did Holladay do it? He focused, like all successful Dems in red and purple districts these days, on affordability—but it had special resonance in Arkansas.

RACE CALL:

All three North Carolina Democrats (Shelly Willingham, Nasif Majeed, & Carla Cunningham) who voted to overturn Governor Josh Stein's vetoes have LOST their respective Democratic primaries

Pretty soon the only way you’ll be allowed to work at CBS is if you are MAGA.

Breaking: Arkansas Democrats just flipped a Republican seat It's the ninth red-to-blue pickup in a special election in Trump's second term

JUST IN: Democrat Alex Holladay has flipped a GOP-held seat in *Arkansas*.

Republican Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders tried hard to delay this race and wanted the seat to stay vacant for 8+ months, but the courts told her to hold it today. If she was worried, she was right to be.

Our full recap:

Bar graph in blue showing 696k votes for Roy Cooper only

Bar graph in red showing roughly 600k votes for all GOP candidates combined

Appears that more people voted for Democrat Roy Copper than voted for the entire GOP lineup for the US Senate seat in the NC primary today. Images courtesy of Spectrum News

PARALLEL RESULT #2: Michael Wray, a former North Carolina Democratic lawmaker, helped the GOP override a bunch of Governor Cooper's vetoes before losing in 2024 to progressive challenger Rodney Pierce, was trying a comeback.

He lost to Pierce again today—decisively, more than 25% gap.

Shamwow Guy getting wiped. Only 4.5% of the vote.

@roycoopernc.bsky.social @ossoff.senate.gov & @drannieandrews.com show that the Southeast has strong Democratic Senate candidates.

It’s time to make stuff cost less — and that change starts in Washington.

We’re full steam ahead until November. Pitch in to help us out: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/cvf-social-26?refcode=260303_BSKY_MSNOW

RESULT: Over & over, Democratic lawmaker Shelly Willingham helped the North Carolina GOP override the vetoes of Governor Stein & Cooper.

He lost just now to a progressive challenger, 56% to 44%.

(And he's likely one of several in this position. Stay tuned.)

With Dallas early vote now in, Crockett's path to victory looks gone. She needed 80%+ of the vote there to make up for Talarico running up margins in Austin, San Antonio, and the rural + western counties. Only got 60%.
2026 - 2020 swing hasn't changed all night

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Is this Abbott's 20th consecutive term he's going for?

Really getting close now with 90% in.

First twin-to-twin succession, but not the first sibling-to-sibling one. That happened with the Fitzpatricks in the House in 2016 and JFK-to-Ted Kennedy in the Senate.

Obama is the only president to date born when TVs in houses were a normal thing.

Obama is the only president to date born when there were 50 states

It was bugging me earlier tonight because I thought I had a spot on my laptop that I couldn't get off next to that 1.2% for Hassan, but that's actually what his vote percentage looks like compared to the other two.