Shalom Lipner's Avatar

Shalom Lipner

@shalomlipner.bsky.social

Nonresident Senior Fellow @AtlanticCouncil, former @BrookingsInst, 26-yr vet of @IsraeliPM

36 Followers  |  0 Following  |  42 Posts  |  Joined: 27.11.2024  |  1.5078

Latest posts by shalomlipner.bsky.social on Bluesky

Thanks to Deutsche Welle for a great discussion on the current state of play between Washington and Jerusalem.
youtu.be/9UFWARuTGwc?...

24.10.2025 09:45 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Gaza latest: Peace agreement 'cannot continue' unless Hamas returns all hostage bodies, families warn The Gaza peace agreement "cannot continue" unless Hamas returns all of the dead hostages, according to the families of victims. Israel has reportedly given intelligence to the US, which claims to show...

Thanks to @skynewsrss.bsky.social for having me on the show yesterday.
news.sky.com/story/gaza-h...

16.10.2025 16:45 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Twenty questions (and expert answers) about the next phase of an Israel-Hamas deal What will follow part one of the cease-fire deal brokered by the Trump administration? Atlantic Council experts share their answers.

"Elated over the release of the hostages from Gaza, Israelis nonetheless are torn over the parameters of the bargain that has won their freedom..."
From my comments for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social.
www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

15.10.2025 19:41 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Trump Declares Gaza War Over During Middle East Victory Lap The president called on Israel and Arab governments to move beyond decades of conflict and war, but he faces obstacles extending the Gaza deal to the wider region.

“Success will hinge greatly on the determination of President Trump to see the process through to its culmination—without which it could easily descend into mutual recriminations and chaos.”
From my convo w/@wsj.com.
www.wsj.com/world/middle...

14.10.2025 16:38 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Freeing Hostages Could Transform Netanyahu’s Political Fortunes

“We’re going to see a reprisal of Bibi classic...‘Nobody else could’ve managed rel'ns with the WH like me. We’re bringing home the hostages’... And he’ll hope to crowd out all the negativity of the past 2 yrs & his role in it.”
Good talking w/@halbfinger.bsky.social.
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/09/w...

09.10.2025 19:21 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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After Two Years of War, Israel Is Stronger—and More Isolated—Than Ever The war in Gaza has spurred a global backlash that threatens Israel’s long-term prospects.

“Regionally, Israel is under less threat than it was two years ago,” said Lipner. “But internationally, it’s between a rock and a hard place, and the long-term trends are not working in its favor.”
- from my conversation with @wsj.com's @yarotrof.bsky.social.
www.wsj.com/world/middle...

07.10.2025 17:58 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Will Hamas accept Gaza peace plan? Germany, Palestinians, Israelis react | DW News
YouTube video by DW News Will Hamas accept Gaza peace plan? Germany, Palestinians, Israelis react | DW News

Spoke yesterday with Deutsche Welle about POTUS' plan for Gaza. (You can watch at 7:30) www.youtube.com/watch?v=VrwW...

01.10.2025 09:02 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Trump’s Gaza peace plan tackles ‘Israel fatigue’ in America, crimps China in Middle East The proportion of Americans who believe that support for Israel serves the US national interest has fallen sharply. Read more at straitstimes.com. Read more at straitstimes.com.

“Netanyahu couldn’t allow himself to resist the ambitions of Trump, Israel’s prime benefactor,” said Mr Lipner, now a non-resident senior fellow for the Middle East Programmes at the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social.
www.straitstimes.com/world/united...

30.09.2025 12:51 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Trump Gives Hamas Ultimatum to Release Hostages or Face Destruction by Israel In effect, the president threatened the prospect of more war in order to end nearly two years of fighting, in a risky diplomatic move delivered alongside Israel’s prime minister at the White House.

Trump & Netanyahu heralded a Gaza deal last night, but... “there will be many spoilers working hard to make sure that doesn’t happen.”
Good speaking with @wsj.com for this piece.
www.wsj.com/world/middle...

30.09.2025 08:59 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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For an increasingly isolated Netanyahu, it's money time with Trump Amid growing international criticism, the Israeli Prime Minister is playing his ace—or rather, his Trump—card in Washington.

"Netanyahu has put all his chips on Trump... and while he may believe he’s won the jackpot, he doesn’t have an open tab in the Oval Office... Matters could come to a head if he balks at Trump’s program for Gaza."
My latest for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...

27.09.2025 17:50 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Great speaking with @wsj.com's Alex Ward for this piece.
www.wsj.com/world/middle...

18.09.2025 07:30 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Are Syria and Israel about to normalize ties? – DW – 08/21/2025 For the first time in decades, Syria and Israel have discussed the Golan Heights, Israeli troops in Syria and humanitarian aid for Syria's Druze community. Is this the beginning of establishing diplom...

"Immediate Israeli goals are to guarantee security along the border with Syria, prevent any entrenchment of hostile interlopers and ensure protection of Syria's Druze... Normalization would be a longer-term, aspirational objective."
Good speaking with Deutsche Welle.
www.dw.com/en/are-syria...

21.08.2025 19:57 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Turning the screws on Hamas Were Hamas to change its demands, former U.S. and Israeli officials believe that talks will likely resume.

“Clearly everyone is running out of patience. But I don't think it necessarily means that, were Hamas to come back with something people felt was more viable, that they wouldn't re-engage to get across the finish line.”
Nice to speak again with @ebazail.bsky.social.
www.politico.com/newsletters/...

25.07.2025 05:29 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Five questions (and expert answers) about Israel’s strikes against Syria Our Middle East experts explain the roots of the crisis and what it means for Syria, Israel, the Druze, and the broader region.

"The recent events in Syria have underscored the fact that any excitement about that country’s imminent participation in the Abraham Accords was woefully premature."
Shared some thoughts for this @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social Q&A on the situation in Syria. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

17.07.2025 06:03 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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For Israel, winning peace will be far more complicated than triumphing in war A breakdown of what might come next in the Middle East

"Lipner said that while Netanyahu’s personal popularity had risen after the war vs Iran, polling showed the multiparty coalition he now heads would likely end up in opposition after elex."
Great speaking w/@theglobeandmail.com's @markmackinnon.bsky.social.
www.theglobeandmail.com/world/articl...

12.07.2025 19:54 — 👍 5    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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Netanyahu's pursuit of war with Hamas has 'substantive' and 'self-serving' objectives: Analyst Shalom Lipner, non-resident Senior Fellow, Middle East Programs at the Atlantic Council and a former advisor at Israel's Prime Minister's Office says while Israel's Gaza war has both "substantive" and...

Great to be on @cnbc.com's Access Middle East this morning.
www.cnbc.com/video/2025/0...

08.07.2025 15:32 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Iran, Israel & the US "are pivoting to a series of accomplishments that offer ladders from which to climb off their warhorses. Those parallel narratives facilitate moving their respective publics toward deescalation."
My latest via @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social
www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...

07.07.2025 18:37 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Netanyahu’s Future in the Balance Can victory over Iran secure the Israeli leader’s legacy?

"Netanyahu’s son called him “Churchill of our time”... but change could end many different ways, for the region & for Israeli politics. Churchill won the war only to be rejected by voters. The same could happen to Netanyahu."
My latest for @foreignpolicy.com.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/18/n...

18.06.2025 18:23 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Σαλόμ Λίπνερ στην «Κ»: Το Ιράν έχασε τους πυρηνικούς επιστήμονες «Θα δούμε ανταλλαγή στρατιωτικών χτυπημάτων για μέρες ή και εβδομάδες»

Good speaking with @kathimerini.gr.
www.kathimerini.gr/opinion/inte...

14.06.2025 23:43 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Experts react: Israel just attacked Iran's military and nuclear sites. What’s next? Our experts shed light on Israel’s major attack against Iran targeting its nuclear facilities and its implications for the region.

"Israel’s intent is not only to eliminate Iran’s nuclear program, but also to undermine its potential to inflict retaliatory harm on Israel and defend against subsequent waves of Israel’s offensive..."
Some initial thoughts for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social.
www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

13.06.2025 03:38 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Five questions (and expert answers) on the state of the Netanyahu government The Israeli prime minister is facing increasing pressure from within his country and in his government coalition as well as from abroad.

"The pressing need to make strategic decisions is exposing fissures that now threaten the stability of Netanyahu’s governing coalition."
- from my comments for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

30.05.2025 05:57 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Trump's Middle East visit raises Israel's anxieties It sent a clear message: Trust between America and its wealthy Gulf partners is deepening. Read more at straitstimes.com. Read more at straitstimes.com.

"Impressions matter, Lipner told The Straits Times. “Even if the President’s primary focus is on doing business in the Gulf, not making a stop in Jerusalem is being perceived as a message in itself,” said Lipner, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council."
www.straitstimes.com/world/united...

18.05.2025 03:04 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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As Trump visits Mideast, Netanyahu’s government is wary of surprises When Donald Trump was reelected, Benjamin Netanyahu’s social media posts overflowed with cheer. But comments from Israeli coalition members and supporters indicate a sense they’re being abandoned.

"“Everyone is on edge. There’s a lot of pushback in both Washington & Jerusalem insisting that it’s actually ‘business as usual.’ But... ‘Thou doth protest too much,’” says Lipner, referring to comments by various US & Israeli officials." @dinakraft.bsky.social www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle...

14.05.2025 20:09 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Trump’s Gulf tour underscores Israel’s diplomatic disadvantage The message in Trump’s keynote speech and the optics of a Mideast visit that doesn’t include Israel were met with concern by pro-Israel Republicans and hawkish foreign policy experts

“This current trip is about doing serious business, about solidifying [Trump’s] relationship with the countries that he’s visiting. Israel is not, apparently, part of that conversation right now,” said Shalom Lipner.
Good speaking with @jewishinsider.com.
jewishinsider.com/2025/05/trum...

14.05.2025 14:53 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

"Trump and Netanyahu are exasperated w/each other—each feeling their concerns & objectives are under-appreciated by the other," Lipner told @newsweek.com. "Both of them have legitimate arguments to make but they seem to be talking past each other."
www.newsweek.com/what-cracks-...

13.05.2025 13:52 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Great to speak again with @gerryshih.bsky.social for this piece.
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...

12.05.2025 06:35 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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BBC NEWS فارسی on X: "ترامپ در آستانه سفر به خاورمیانه؛ عربستان، قطر و امارات، اما نه اسرائیل آیا مشکلی در روابط ترامپ و نتانیاهو پیش آمده؟ شالوم لیپنر، پژوهشگر ارشد دپارتمان خاورمیانه شورای آتلانتیک. آقای لیپنر، به مدت ۲۵ سال، در دفتر نخست‌وزیری هفت دولت اسرائیل، مشغول به خدمت بود https://t.co/bVUz8Dd6OE" / X ترامپ در آستانه سفر به خاورمیانه؛ عربستان، قطر و امارات، اما نه اسرائیل آیا مشکلی در روابط ترامپ و نتانیاهو پیش آمده؟ شالوم لیپنر، پژوهشگر ارشد دپارتمان خاورمیانه شورای آتلانتیک. آقای لیپنر، به مدت ۲۵ سال، در دفتر نخست‌وزیری هفت دولت اسرائیل، مشغول به خدمت بود https://t.co/bVUz8Dd6OE

Thanks to BBC Persian for hosting me.
x.com/bbcpersian/s...

12.05.2025 01:33 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Why Netanyahu Might Be on a Collision Course With Trump The prime minister is learning there’s no carveout for Israel in “America First.”

"After being blindsided by POTUS' abandonment of the campaign vs the Houthis & his administration’s dialogue with Hamas, PM Netanyahu will be losing sleep over the possibility of a similar, rude awakening on the Iran front."
My latest via @foreignpolicy.com.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/05/09/n...

09.05.2025 15:04 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1
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Netanyahu ousts intelligence chief as Israeli troops continue Gaza operations Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu dismissed Shin Bet chief Ronen Bar amid mass protests against the move and Israel’s resumption of hostilities in Gaza.

“What’s taking shape is a more ominous clash btw the govt & the court, w/mixed signals about whether the PM will-or won't-comply w/its ruling,” said Lipner. “After [much] stage-setting, a constitutional crisis could be fast upon Israel.” @gerryshih.bsky.social
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...

22.03.2025 17:11 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Netanyahu’s Shin Bet shakeup moves Israel closer to chaos With Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu determined to quash dissent within the nation's civil service, Ronen Bar’s days seem numbered.

"Bar’s removal after a showdown w/Netanyahu risks destabilizing Shin Bet & undermining soc cohesion in israel just as IDF resumes its offensive. A dangerous ripple effect could ensue amidst growing regional tension."
My latest for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...

20.03.2025 17:58 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0