Stephen Wild's Avatar

Stephen Wild

@stephenjwild.bsky.social

I try to put straight lines through things but usually fail. Try to be Bayesian when I can. Views my own. RT/like != endorsement.

3,636 Followers  |  1,041 Following  |  6,840 Posts  |  Joined: 07.05.2023
Posts Following

Posts by Stephen Wild (@stephenjwild.bsky.social)

So weird they're called czars. People remember what happened to the Romanovs, right?

01.03.2026 00:07 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Me too, albeit it I'm skewed

28.02.2026 23:49 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

10/10 response

28.02.2026 23:45 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

No. Everything is headed by a tsar. I don't make the rules.

28.02.2026 23:35 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Be content that you are worthy of unhappiness or disrespect?

28.02.2026 22:17 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Michael Lewis was a mistake

28.02.2026 21:37 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

We need some other discourse tbh

28.02.2026 21:12 β€” πŸ‘ 126    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 3

I raise you

bsky.app/profile/joel...

28.02.2026 20:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Protein in everything

28.02.2026 19:49 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Been a day

bsky.app/profile/step...

28.02.2026 19:45 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

nice paper from @bingkai.bsky.social adding evidence that adjustment in RCTs is good but ML is often not better than linear regression.

arxiv.org/pdf/2602.00434

The result shouldn't surprise you! The signal to noise ratio is too high to learn useful nonlinearities in all but the largest trials.

28.02.2026 01:19 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

I just finished this excellent book. Strong recommend.

28.02.2026 14:22 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
An old man drinking coffee. In the first panel he is looking at a computer. In the second panel he turns and looks at the reader.

Text, panel 1: "Yesterday I was an expert on contract law."

Text, panel 2: "Today I am an expert on war."

An old man drinking coffee. In the first panel he is looking at a computer. In the second panel he turns and looks at the reader. Text, panel 1: "Yesterday I was an expert on contract law." Text, panel 2: "Today I am an expert on war."

Oh, Bluesky. Never change.

28.02.2026 14:06 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

The Schitt's Creek gifs will continue until morale improves

28.02.2026 13:40 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I used to work for a bank. This happened to a few clients and yeah, it was ugly

28.02.2026 02:49 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a cartoon character wearing a purple hat and a black shirt is standing in front of a door . Alt: Mr Burns wearing a purple hat and a black shirt is standing in front of a door. He says, "Ahoy fellow school chums."

Everyone is too young until one day you aren't

28.02.2026 02:19 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Jokes aside, if you don't have a will, POA, etc, go get them. Do it before you need them.

28.02.2026 02:06 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Best part of the movie

28.02.2026 01:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Great movies

28.02.2026 01:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a man in a cowboy hat stands in front of a large dinosaur ALT: a man in a cowboy hat stands in front of a large dinosaur

But *the* core memory is from 1993

28.02.2026 01:19 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Movie poster for Mortal Kombat. It features a dragon

Movie poster for Mortal Kombat. It features a dragon

Movies peaked in 1995

28.02.2026 01:07 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

MS is weird, man. And symptoms vary so much depending on where the lesions are

28.02.2026 00:52 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The Schitt's Creek gifs will continue until morale improves

27.02.2026 23:12 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

they were talking to the baby smh

27.02.2026 19:35 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I got some β€œThank you for doing the work” comments when I posted a photo of my baby in a sling here. Bewildering (but thank you).

27.02.2026 19:01 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

And the other 10% is demanding compliments for doing so

27.02.2026 19:02 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

So you're saying the Katyn massacre was justified?

I think edgy thoughts, so I am smart.

27.02.2026 18:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

As a man, I demand compliments for keeping my offspring alive. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER

27.02.2026 18:17 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

MoAr WWII discourse!

27.02.2026 18:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Because priors make some people uncomfortable, we should use confidence distributions as a Trojan horse. Bayesians unhappy because no prior, frequentists unhappy because you're interpreting them as probabilities. Discussion over.

27.02.2026 17:59 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0