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Stephen Wild

@stephenjwild.bsky.social

I try to put straight lines through things but usually fail. Try to be Bayesian when I can. Views my own. RT/like != endorsement.

3,643 Followers  |  1,049 Following  |  7,023 Posts  |  Joined: 07.05.2023
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Posts by Stephen Wild (@stephenjwild.bsky.social)

You're asking Bluesky, so the suscribers here are doing it to hate read his posts

08.03.2026 02:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

From what I read it seems like he just kinda kept working at it, but also dealt in good faith with the critics

08.03.2026 00:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

bsky.app/profile/step...

😏

08.03.2026 00:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Or rather that conciousness originated in language and culture

07.03.2026 23:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I came to him through Dennet, who thought that a lot of the theory was nuts, but that there might be something to the underlying idea that the origin of language and conciousness were linked

07.03.2026 23:42 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Anyway

bsky.app/profile/step...

07.03.2026 23:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It's a theory so bonkers I kinda want it to be true

07.03.2026 23:26 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0
07.03.2026 23:21 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Based on the other slides in the deck I think they took mean of the country-level results. But the language is ambiguous enough that they also could have done it the way you are proposing here.

07.03.2026 23:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Best guess is that they didn't understand what it meant (if it was read at all). It took me a few reads of the note and results to figure out what they did, and even then I still think the language is ambiguous.

07.03.2026 22:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Happy birthday!

07.03.2026 22:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Here's the average. But also you should not interpret this average.

bsky.app/profile/step...

07.03.2026 22:38 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Should you control for smoking when estimating the causal effect of HIV -> Stroke?

Why or why not?

07.03.2026 21:32 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Stephen Lang and Laurence Fishburne?!?

Be still my heart

07.03.2026 19:15 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

And Luis Guzman and William Forsythe!

07.03.2026 18:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Now that I'm older, it's a wee bit problematic that "The Substitute" is about a a middle-aged white mercenary killing a bunch of primarily Latino teenagers.

The 90s were wild.

07.03.2026 18:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

"Sniper" and "The Substitute" used to be on TV all the time when I was a kid.

07.03.2026 17:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Berenger hasn't really done anything worthwhile since the mid 90s. And yet here we are

07.03.2026 17:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Still image of "The Sheriff" staring Tom Berenger

Still image of "The Sheriff" staring Tom Berenger

I am starting to think the trend of old man action movies was a mistake. I blame Liam Neeson.

07.03.2026 17:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

You missed quantile() of Solace 😭

07.03.2026 17:43 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image Post image

New paper in press at Biometrics by PhD Candidate Esteban FernΓ‘ndez-Morales

1) Develops Bayesian spike & slab and horseshoe models for causal inference under spatial spillover

2) Analyzes Philly's 2017 beverage tax accounting for cross-border shopping

arxiv.org/pdf/2501.08231

07.03.2026 00:39 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a cartoon of a man in a tuxedo saying " just hook it to my veins " Alt: Barney Gumble in a tuxedo saying "just hook it to my veins"

Spatial spillover you say?

JUST HOOK IT TO MY VEINS

07.03.2026 17:19 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes?

07.03.2026 16:43 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

What is it like to be a newly free horse

07.03.2026 15:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Why shouldn't we blame Julia?

07.03.2026 15:47 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Congrats!

07.03.2026 15:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Julia started it

07.03.2026 14:00 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Rt, apparently πŸ™„

07.03.2026 13:53 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

You know what I'm gonna give this one to her. 10/10

07.03.2026 13:26 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

For the best social media experience, everyone should have at least one nemesis per social media platform

07.03.2026 13:10 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0