Ready for the Contrarian #Gold trade?
"If you are ready to be a contrarian on gold, the tactical contrarian trade here would be to sell gold and buy bonds."
buff.ly/o8Wr3KT

Time to sound the all-clear?
$SPX $SPY
buff.ly/ESblyoC

(New post) Time to sound the all-clear?
$SPX $SPY
buff.ly/ESblyoC

Banking system liquidity continues to be a headwind for $SPX

Ready for the Contrarian $Gold trade?
"If you are ready to be a contrarian on gold, the tactical contrarian trade here would be to sell gold and buy bonds."
buff.ly/o8Wr3KT

An ungated oldie but goodie: Will America get old before it Becomes Great Again?
buff.ly/zoxd7Ew

(New post) Ready for the Contrarian $Gold trade?
"If you are ready to be a contrarian on gold, the tactical contrarian trade here would be to sell gold and buy bonds."
buff.ly/o8Wr3KT

5 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Softer than expected #CPI, but weakness in core CPI largely attributable to shelter, which is a lagging indicator. All other core CPI indicators are accelerating, including services, which is insensitive to tariffs
via @nicktimiraos.bsky.social

4 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Future margin watch: Forecast Q3 margins are flat from Q2, probably from tariff effects.

3 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Strong preliminary results for Q3 earnings season, and fwd 12m EPS estimates are rising strongly

2 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
OTOH, $GOLD is near its P&F measured objective

1 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
OMG! $SPX P&F measured objective (1% box, 3 box reversal) is 9100!

Will America Get Old Before It Becomes Great Again? – Humble Student of the Markets Login

It's time for our "thoughts for the weekend"
Here's an ungated oldie but goodie: Will America get old before it Becomes Great Again?
buff.ly/zoxd7Ew

Drawing lines in the sand
$SPX $SPXEW $RUT $IWM
buff.ly/iGjMnCZ

Drawing Lines in the Sand Mid-week market update:  As the bulls and bears battle it out during this phase of consolidation, it's time to set out some lines in the san...

(New post) Drawing lines in the sand
$SPX $SPXEW $RUT $IWM
humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2025/10/draw...

A fragile bull
$SPX
buff.ly/fK16Gk0

It's not over until the Iron Lady sings
"Even as the $SPX tests its rising trend line, we believe the risk of further stock price downdrafts isn’t over. The VVIX...spiked above 100, indicating elevated levels of anxiety. "
buff.ly/F3kbo1y

An oldie but goodie: AI Productivity and the Promised Land
buff.ly/iVuAN8B

(New post) It's not over until the Iron Lady sings
"Even as the $SPX tests its rising trend line, we believe the risk of further stock price downdrafts isn’t over. The VVIX...spiked above 100, indicating elevated levels of anxiety. "
buff.ly/F3kbo1y

A Fragile Bull While I am intermediate-term bullish on stocks, I am also increasingly concerned about the narrowness of market leadership. Market leadershi...

(New post) A fragile bull
$SPX
humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2025/10/a-fr...

5 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Are Europeans less worried about cockroaches? Or are there just fewer cockroaches in Europe?

4 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Is the decline in banking system liquidity is helping the cockroaches come out?

2 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
The BoA Fund Manager Survey (taken before Dimon's "cockroaches" comment) was already concerned about credit risk

3 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Cockroaches...

1 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Major averages are back under their rising trend lines
$SPX $SPXEW $RUT $IWM

AI Productivity and the Promised Land – Humble Student of the Markets Login

Here comes our "thoughts for the weekend"
An oldie but goodie: AI Productivity and the Promised Land
humblestudentofthemarkets.com/2025/09/13/a...

The Return of Tariff Man Preface: Explaining our market timing models   We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The " Ultimate M...

The return of Tariff Man
buff.ly/2mpmmz4

The AI bubble debate
buff.ly/CdStstu

The Return of Tariff Man Preface: Explaining our market timing models   We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The " Ultimate M...

(New post) The return of Tariff Man
buff.ly/2mpmmz4

(New post) The AI bubble debate
buff.ly/CdStstu