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Karsten Friis

@kafriis.bsky.social

Research Professor at NUPI 🇧🇻 Security, defence, NATO, Arctic, Nordics plus some cyber and Balkans

1,334 Followers  |  258 Following  |  73 Posts  |  Joined: 14.12.2023  |  1.5187

Latest posts by kafriis.bsky.social on Bluesky

How fast can they be produced, John?

08.07.2025 20:04 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Karsten Friis: Põhjala ja Balti riikide julgeolek Ameerika Ühendriikideta? – Diplomaatia Kui Põhjamaad ja Balti riigid ühinesid NATOga, olgu siis 1949., 2004., 2023. või 2024. aastal, põhines see otsus eelkõige soovil saada Ameerika Ühendriigid oma liitlaseks. Just Atlandi-ülesed julgeole...

Atlandi-ülesed sidemed ja USA heidutusvõime olid peamine põhjus, miks Põhjamaad ja Balti riigid liitusid NATO-ga.

Karsten Friis arutleb, kuidas hakkama saada, kui USA peaks astuma sammu tagasi Euroopa julgeoleku tagamisest. @kafriis.bsky.social

#LennartMeriConference

28.06.2025 11:18 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Trumps Nato-effekt, stans av våpenleveranser til Ukraina og europeisk selvstendighet. Gjest: Karsten Friis Ukrainapodden · Episode

Jeg har gjestet
@ukrainapodden.bsky.social
NATO, Trump, Europa med mer.
@nupinytt.bsky.social

04.07.2025 09:56 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Transatlantic security in turbulent times The World Stage · Episode

It was great to sit down with @maxbergmann.bsky.social @csis.org and Neil Melvin @rusi.bsky.social to discuss transatlantic security after Trump's first 150 or so days.

11.06.2025 19:50 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Arctic Spillover? Military Signalling in the European Arctic Before and After the Full-Scale Invasion of Ukraine | Scandinavian Journal of Military Studies

Has military activity increased in the Arctic as a result of Russia's war against Ukraine?

Read my latest and find out 😀

01.06.2025 07:56 — 👍 7    🔁 2    💬 2    📌 0
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Trump turbulence leads allies to rethink reliance on U.S. weapons European capitals are reviewing vulnerabilities and want to wean themselves from dependence on American weapons, but expanding homegrown options will take time.

As President Donald Trump upends the U.S. foreign policy, negotiating closer relations with Russia, threatening NATO allies and pausing cooperation with Ukraine, Washington’s traditional partners — and best customers — are rethinking their dependence on American weapons systems.

23.03.2025 18:22 — 👍 370    🔁 107    💬 70    📌 19

Witkoff's repeating of Kremlin lies about "russian-speakers" wanting to "join Russia" is truly chilling. This is nothing less than carte blanche for Putin's genocidal imperialism. Hearing Americans talk like this should be an electric shock for Europe, not a wakeup call.

22.03.2025 09:08 — 👍 2181    🔁 778    💬 91    📌 42

85 mrd til 🇺🇦 er jeg redd blir gårsdagens svar på dagens utfordringer. Norge bør lage et fond på 1000 mrd kr for 🇺🇦 og europeiske forsvarsinvesteringer. Inkludert kjøpe våpen fra 🇺🇲

06.03.2025 21:56 — 👍 8    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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The US is stopping military aid to Ukraine, prioritizing peace talks, said Trump administration spokesperson Karoline Leavitt. We are no longer going to write blank checks for a war in a very distant country without real lasting peace, she added.

01.03.2025 08:16 — 👍 252    🔁 46    💬 86    📌 40
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Opinion | Most Trump Supporters Also Back Ukraine Our poll found that 69% of Republican voters say Russia is the aggressor and 83% disapprove of Putin.

"69% of Republican voters say Russia is the aggressor and 83% disapprove of Putin"

www.wsj.com/opinion/most...

01.03.2025 08:25 — 👍 5197    🔁 1335    💬 312    📌 120
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Nå må Norge handle! Det kan bli veldig dyrt å vente. Det er nå stor sannsynlighet for at USA ikke lenger vil bidra til Ukrainas forsvarskamp. Da må Europa trå til, skriver forsker Karsten Friis.

Nå må Norge handle! Det kan bli veldig dyrt å vente.

01.03.2025 08:30 — 👍 33    🔁 13    💬 2    📌 0
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Vinn eller forsvinn for Europa | NUPI Hvis ikke Europa klarer å mobilisere nå, klarer man det aldri. Norge er helt nødt til å bidra i denne skjebnetimen, mener NUPI-forsker Karsten Friis.

Nå er tiden inne for tydelige strategiske beslutninger. Mine refleksjoner fra München-konferansen

19.02.2025 14:45 — 👍 9    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Vinn eller forsvinn for Europa Hvis ikke Europa klarer å mobilisere nå, klarer man det aldri. Norge er helt nødt til å bidra i denne skjebnetimen.

En dramatisk München-konferanse. Her er min analyse

17.02.2025 21:46 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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NUPI is as always strongly represented at the Munich Security Conference
@nupinytt.bsky.social

15.02.2025 15:29 — 👍 8    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Kaja Kallas declared that Europe will back Ukraine if it rejects a U.S.-Russia deal.
"Any agreement without Ukraine and Europe will fail... Ukraine will resist, and Europe will support it." - Head of the European External Action Service.

13.02.2025 14:46 — 👍 1211    🔁 220    💬 43    📌 8
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Ukraine Now Needs a European Security Guarantee – Not a Peace Operation - Egmont Institute At the meeting of the Ukraine Contact Group on 12 February 2025, US Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth made the American negotiating position on the Russo-Ukrainian War crystal clear. Europe […]

The best analysis thus far by Sven Biscob.
Let's forget about peacekeepers. It would be deterrence forces.

13.02.2025 14:49 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Trump’s uphill battle to make NATO allies hit his mega defense spending target There is broad agreement to boost defense spending — but the U.S. president’s call for 5 percent of GDP is too much for most European countries.

Europe should agree to spend as much % of GDP on defence as the US does. Simple rule. Ca. 3.3 today.

13.02.2025 07:44 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1

In my view Hegseth also said positive things, like support for "a sovereign and prosperous Ukraine", the need for a "durable peace" - things Putin will try to resist. But Europe must convince US to play a role in an eventual ceasefire monitoring - unless it won't be durable

12.02.2025 20:39 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

2/2 What Europe should offer is rather security guarantees through air control and advanced hi-tech monitoring of the demarcation line with sensors, drones, and satellites -enforced with air power and other mobile assets.

12.02.2025 08:14 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

1/2 The idea of European peacekeepers in 🇺🇦 in case of a cesefire is totally unrealistic. Europe simply doesn't have the troops. The idea is also very "20th Century", such as 🇧🇦 and 🇽🇰.

12.02.2025 08:13 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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Tror olje og gass kan sikre freden i Norge - og at en sluttdato kan være dumt Med uro i verden kan olje og gass bli svært viktig for vår sikkerhet. Men det kan også være et klart mål for angrep, mener eksperter.

Ikke enig i overskriften. Kommenterer i artikkelen. I 2024 utgjorde sol og vind 28% av Europas energimiks, mens gass var 16%, og trenden er nedadgående. Av de 16% leverte Norge ca 30%. Så norsk gass er altså en beskjeden del av Europas totale energimix, men viktig for noen land, slik som 🇬🇧

11.02.2025 09:03 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Opinion | Now Is Not the Time to Tune Out Trump’s presidency demands your attention.

In @nytopinion.nytimes.com

How Americans and the world handle Donald Trump "will determine much about the next four years, and it will ask much from all of us," the New York Times editorial board writes. "We must meet the moment."

Read more here: nyti.ms/4hrd4Kd

08.02.2025 14:03 — 👍 884    🔁 227    💬 361    📌 137
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Ekspert om «EU-styrker» på Grønland: – Tull og tøys Forskere sabler ned «Donald Trump-vennlig» forslag fra EUs øverste militære sjef.

Tull og tøys fra en østerriksk general.

07.02.2025 08:25 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Økonomien kan stoppe Putin Den russiske staten kan gå tom for penger allerede i år. USA, Europa og Norge har nå muligheten til å gi Russlands krigsevne nådestøtet.

The Russian economy has been shrinking, not growing, since 2022. Inflation may be around 20%.
www.dagsavisen.no/debatt/2025/...

06.02.2025 08:39 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Økonomien kan stoppe Putin Den russiske staten kan gå tom for penger allerede i år. USA, Europa og Norge har nå muligheten til å gi Russlands krigsevne nådestøtet.

Russlands økonomi er mer skakkjørt enn mange tror. @nupinytt.bsky.social

04.02.2025 08:43 — 👍 22    🔁 9    💬 0    📌 1
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Ukraine’s Victory Will Ensure Critical Mineral Security If Western support falters, Ukraine’s reserves of rare earth minerals will be left at the mercy of Russia and China. The global economy is growing more and more dependent on critical minerals—resource...

The global economy is growing more and more dependent on critical minerals. There are vast reserves of these minerals in Ukraine.

Margus @tsahkna.bsky.social in @TheNatlInterest @CFTNI

01.02.2025 05:52 — 👍 69    🔁 27    💬 0    📌 3
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Rødt vil kaste USA ut av Norge – Det går ikke an å rulle den røde løperen ut for soldater under Trumps kommando, sier Rødt.

USA har ikke basert i Norge. Det de har er en avtale hvor det amerikanske forsvaret kan gjøre investeringer inne på norske militære baser.

01.02.2025 14:43 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Zelenskyj: - Et vendepunkt Volodymyr Zelenskyj kom med dystre Trump-advarsler til Europa. Men signalene er ikke udelt negative, mener ekspert.

Trump-administrasjonens signaler mht Ukraina er bedre enn man kunne fryktet

24.01.2025 13:38 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Sabotage or accidental anchor dragging in the Baltic Sea? I have collected some answers to the basic questions raised by the recent discussion about whether the cable cutting in the Baltic Sea has been accidental or sabotage. This discussion was sparked by a...

Was it sabotage or an accident when critical infrastructure was destroyed in the Baltic Sea by ships dragging their anchor across the seabed? I have collected some thoughts in this Q&A style blog post.

22.01.2025 19:03 — 👍 435    🔁 91    💬 25    📌 16

@kafriis is following 20 prominent accounts