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Tony Dunn

@tony873004.bsky.social

Orbit simulations of planets, comets, asteroids and other interesting stuff. Amateur astronomer. BA: Physics & Astronomy, SFSU.

2,128 Followers  |  329 Following  |  286 Posts  |  Joined: 17.09.2023  |  2.3354

Latest posts by tony873004.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Yes. The total is up to 21 now.

01.12.2025 21:35 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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18 asteroids passed closer than the Moon in November. And every one of them was discovered this month. #Astronomy

29.11.2025 23:58 β€” πŸ‘ 128    πŸ” 37    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 5

Not just Eurasia. You're house is there too!

28.11.2025 11:15 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
2022_RJ2_g

Here's 2022 RD2: orbitsimulator.com/gravitySimul...

28.11.2025 03:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Simulations A listing of simulations created with Gravity Simulator

There are some old ones at orbitsimulator.com But I haven't updated that in a while. There's a simulation behind every animation, so if you want a simulation, let me know which animation you like and I'll send it to you.

28.11.2025 03:43 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Just to clear up a little confusion. That little black dot on the Sun today is the Earth, not the asteroid. This is a view from the asteroid. Enlarge the image and look closely. You will see Eurasia.

26.11.2025 18:45 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Newly-discovered asteroid 2025 WZ₃ is currently passing through Earth's anti umbra 3 days before making a close approach of 1.15x the Moon's distance.

26.11.2025 18:27 β€” πŸ‘ 27    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes. The animation and the still images are all rotating to hold the Earth/Sun line stationary.

26.11.2025 03:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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In an edge-on view from the ecliptic, 2022 RDβ‚‚'s vertical motion is prominent.

26.11.2025 03:07 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

After these mini-moon events, it will enter a horseshoe orbit. It has a 1 in 1000 chance of impacting Earth in the next hundred years. But don't worry, it's too small to cause damage.

26.11.2025 03:07 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Asteroid 2022 RDβ‚‚ may become a mini-moon not once, but three times in 2043–2044. This may not exactly look like an orbit, But during each capture, if the Sun suddenly vanished, RDβ‚‚ would remain gravitationally bound to Earth indefinitely. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3...

26.11.2025 03:07 β€” πŸ‘ 28    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Comet C/2025 D1 (Groeller) has a perihelion over 14 AU, making it too dim for my backyard telescope. But it looks nice in Orbit Simulator.
#Astronomy

18.11.2025 03:49 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The ESCAPADE mission to Mars is about to launch. It will stay near Earth for about 1 year before using an Oberth maneuver to send it to Mars.

13.11.2025 19:55 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Potentially Hazardous #Asteroid (PHA) 3361 Orpheus is an Apollo-class Near-Earth Asteroid (NEA).
Last night it posed for a 30-minute image taken with my eVscope from San Francisco. Dim, mag 15.9 it is centered in the image. @unistellar.bsky.social

01.11.2025 22:54 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It might one day. It's still on an Earth-crossing orbit.

31.10.2025 00:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

With the updated name comes an updated distance. Now ~230 km above the surface. Still in the thermosphere.

30.10.2025 23:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The asteroid is now known as 2025 UC11. This animation shows where the observations were made. #astronomy

30.10.2025 22:12 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Burns and chaos make this difficult. This trajectory actually back-tracks to a September lunar impact.

30.10.2025 22:01 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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A quick trip through the thermosphere turns newly-discovered asteroid ST25J47 from an Apollo to an Aten. It is no bigger than a meter.

30.10.2025 21:58 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 3
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After billions of years heading towards us, interstellar comet #3IATLAS is currently at its closest approach to the Sun right NOW. Perihelion. #astronomy #comet

29.10.2025 04:46 β€” πŸ‘ 66    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I was wrong about the "junk" part. DRO-B lunar probe is still a functioning spacecraft.

28.10.2025 19:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

What stood out to me initially was how many trajectory-bending lunar encounters it had. None of the other natural mini moons did that. But all the distant retrograde missions we've launched do this on purpose. That's why I predicted it would be demoted to space junk (man made).

28.10.2025 19:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

"...it came from deep space! How is that possible?"

Backward integrations after the object β€œburned” to avoid a path that traces back to Earth allowed that to happen.

@planet4589 noticed the backward run even ends with a September lunar impact. Turning on collisions in my sim shows that too.

28.10.2025 18:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This chaotic path is just one of many possible solutions. With only a few hours of data, small uncertainties blow up fast, especially with close Moon encounters.

26.10.2025 19:24 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Another mini-moon? Maybe. Newly discovered 2025 US6 is officially listed as an asteroid.

Unlike our quasi-moon 2025 PN7, this one is actually bound to Earth, for now.

Its orbit is pure chaos. Enjoy it while it lasts. It’ll probably be demoted to space junk.

26.10.2025 19:24 β€” πŸ‘ 83    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 6
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Some YouTubes, even one by a famous astrophysicist, confuse mini-moons with quasi-moons.

Simple test:
πŸ”΄ Delete the Sun.
– Still orbiting Earth, even years later? Mini-moon (bound), like 2024 PT5.
– Gone forever? Quasi-moon, like 2025 PN7.

24.10.2025 18:55 β€” πŸ‘ 42    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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What was 'quasi-moon' 2025 PN7 doing before it entered its quasi state? It was tracing horseshoe orbits. Horseshoe orbits are called that because some people think they look like horseshoes.

24.10.2025 01:11 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Watch Earth’s newest quasi-moon in motion. πŸŒπŸŒ€

The new paper β€œMeet Arjuna 2025 PN7” confirms #asteroid 2025 PN7 is trapped in a quasi-satellite orbit, looping around Earth (in a rotating frame) from the 1960s to the 2080s.

iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3...

21.10.2025 19:13 β€” πŸ‘ 98    πŸ” 21    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 0
Two Near-Earth Asteroids (NEAs) in the same field of view in my eVscope @unistellar. 2004 FN18 (middle) and 2000 EZ148.

Two Near-Earth Asteroids (NEAs) in the same field of view in my eVscope @unistellar. 2004 FN18 (middle) and 2000 EZ148.

Two Near-Earth Asteroids (NEAs) in the same field of view in my eVscope @unistellar. 2004 FN18 (middle) and 2000 EZ148.

18.10.2025 20:32 β€” πŸ‘ 54    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Simulation of the 2 asteroids against GAIA stars.

17.10.2025 05:16 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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