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J52Wallusch

@j52wallusch.bsky.social

Sport and Pricing Data Scientist #Rugby #OvalBallAlliance sometimes 🏏 #Usedom LB(DL) Coach #VorpommernVandals

741 Followers  |  82 Following  |  514 Posts  |  Joined: 26.09.2024
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Posts by J52Wallusch (@j52wallusch.bsky.social)

Only in the sense that the American is eager to hand Eastern Europe over to the Kremlin.

03.03.2026 05:05 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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I'm rewatching #IREvITA

25 minutes of spectacular contestable kicking. Italy with only one (box-)kick into touch, deep from their Own22. Ireland so far with 55% contestable kicks (50% vs. FRA and only 34% vs.
ENG).

#GuinnessM6N #sixnations
#rugby

02.03.2026 23:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Nose-on-toes and shimmy help staying low and square whilst takckling.

#OvalBallAlliance

02.03.2026 22:38 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Bit strange for a Tory to talk about separatism after 2016.

02.03.2026 18:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

There's a serious structural problem (I gather), and this is just the pick of the iceberg that we've spotted.

02.03.2026 17:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

🚨 UPDATE 🚨

FRAvIRE is now available

#GuinnessM6N #sixnations
#Rugby

02.03.2026 11:40 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Blame the Romans.

02.03.2026 11:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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What did Mr. Henry Skinner say about the most important part of comedy?

01.03.2026 14:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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🐿 Moin! Haste wat vâr mi?

01.03.2026 11:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Ah, all those years of discussing #AI X-risk or the allignement problem only to realise that the problem has always been a small, little, greedy twat...

28.02.2026 22:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I cannot truly put into words what this article and the overall support I’ve received from the greater #Cricket🏏 means to me.

I am so humbled and grateful to each and every one of you that has been a part of of this journey with me.

Thank you so very much.

28.02.2026 20:41 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Footnote:
Games in the database
ENG, SCO 3
WAL 2
ITA, IRE 1

More time to be wasted soon. Next update FRAvIRE.

28.02.2026 05:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Small sample alarm bells are ringing, though.

With a success rate of 50%, Steyn is one of the leading aerial contestants of this year's edition of #GuinnessM6N. He's also the most active player pressuring the fielding opposition. (Another small sample alert).

Happy filtering, everyone!

5/

27.02.2026 22:23 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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#Rugby #data nerds like @rugbykino.bsky.social & @brettrugbyanalyst.bsky.social will probably smirk fieltering the jumps or bouncing πŸ‰.

Raising the former, it's getting more interested when you filter out aerial contests. If Steyn's forced to jump before fielding, the success rate drops to 50%

4/

27.02.2026 22:22 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Steyn attempted to field 17 kicks with a success ratio of 52.9%. Overall, #Scotland gained possession after 12 kicks. The recently fashionable tap-backs are the main factor explaining the 9-to-12 difference. The success ratio increases to 70.6% once the gained possessions are considered

3/

27.02.2026 22:19 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Take for instance Kyle Steyn. Six panels show:

UPPER LEFT: how Steyn fielded kicks aginst opponent contesting (or not) their own kicks
UPPER RIGHT: summary
MIDDLE LEFT: how Steyn contested #Scotland kicks against individual opponents
MIDDLE RIGHT: summary
LOWER: fielding and contesting maps

2/

27.02.2026 22:16 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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After yet another monumental waste of time here's another #rugby #data project leading to absolutely zero effects other than 2 likes and 3 bookmarks:

Individual fielding and contesting statistics

public.tableau.com/views/Fieldi...

1/
#GuinnessM6N

27.02.2026 22:16 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

Allister Heath Slams #Rugby Punditry

26.02.2026 22:43 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Not only this lot deserves it.
Fingers crossed, then!

26.02.2026 08:38 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Hope you're right!!!

However... Some CEE countries offer an example of no prosecution despite a huge amount of incontrovertible evidence. Some other CEE countries offer those under prosecution asylum. And as the Old West is fast getting more CEE than CEE, who knows how it'll all end...

26.02.2026 06:32 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Or they just don't care? (And they are fools).

25.02.2026 22:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Genau.

23.02.2026 23:20 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

FFS, stop putting the triple bar symbol between #LargeLanguageModels and #ArtificialIntelligence.

#AI is much more than helping your students summarising your lectures.

Cheers!

23.02.2026 23:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Confirmed.
QED

20.02.2026 17:42 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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#Rugby doesn't need #analytics. Too fluid, too many changes.

Meanwhile, the Rugby.

20.02.2026 11:44 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Yeh this is the outcomes tool where you put in the field zone and start platform and then it shows you % wise what the next play and the play after will be. So you can understand how this play is likely to end.

19.02.2026 23:47 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Remember the Ghost Writter?

16 years and 1 day ago.

19.02.2026 22:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Spot on! It'd be difficult to estimate without horrendus bias if it wouldn't so.

In other words you'd have a matrix with the pitch position (or, as we used it in football 🏈, the yards-to-go) as one of the vectors.

19.02.2026 22:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Isn't it a standard ML model trained on the historical data (you mentioned some historical bias earlier) with features like pass, kick, Opp22 entries, pens etc?

19.02.2026 22:20 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Brett has just re-defined #rugby analytics visualisations for social media. Perhaps for rugby performance analytics, too.

It takes an academic to make a brilliant poster, eh? πŸ˜†

Follow @brettrugbyanalyst.bsky.social for more #storytelling with #data.

19.02.2026 15:47 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0