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Andy Scollick

@andyscollick.bsky.social

Strategic foresight: future security environment, defence policy, defence planning, warfare development regarding the climate change, energy, defence nexus | Former adviser to Ukraine's military | PhD in sustainability science (complex adaptive systems)

16,252 Followers  |  2,140 Following  |  23,686 Posts  |  Joined: 20.08.2023
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Posts by Andy Scollick (@andyscollick.bsky.social)

Important to remember: we can make the world a better place.

08.03.2026 23:30 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I pity the ordinary people. They always get the shity or, in this case, the oily sooty end of the stick.

08.03.2026 23:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Europe now world's biggest arms importer, think tank says Europe became the world's biggest arms importer over the last five years as governments reacted to Russia's threat and waning confidence in ​U.S. security commitments, data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute β€Œshowed on Monday.

Europe now world's biggest arms importer, think tank says reut.rs/4lh2kkp

08.03.2026 23:25 β€” πŸ‘ 22    πŸ” 17    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2
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The Sinking of Iris Dena: It’s time to Revisit The Law of Armed Conflict Claims that the sinking of the Iranian ship by the US Navy represents a β€˜strategic embarrassment’ for India are matters of opinion rather than conclusions grounded in international law.

LOAC and the sinking of IRIS Dena sundayguardianlive.com/editors-choi...

08.03.2026 23:10 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

At the risk of boring everyone,a little context.

$100 oil in isolation isn’t that bad. It averaged around that level from 2011-2014 without severe economic ramifications*.

It’s the pace of the rise that has people spooked. And not knowing where it might stop.

08.03.2026 22:56 β€” πŸ‘ 340    πŸ” 84    πŸ’¬ 19    πŸ“Œ 15
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One thing this latest phase of Middle East oil war and the $100+ per barrel price news proves is: we are still so hooked on oil & gas that we don't stand much chance of avoiding a 3C hotter world and all the misery, violence and death it will bring.

Have a great week!

08.03.2026 23:21 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

#JUST_IN | Explosions reported at Ali Al Salem Base in Kuwait.

08.03.2026 23:16 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Scotland facing escalating threat from wildfires - report Climate change is driving an increase in the number and intensity of wildfires, a new Scottish government report warns.

ICYMI, SCOTLAND: β€œScotland is facing a serious and escalating threat from wildfires, the Scottish government has warned.” www.bbc.com/news/article... - BBC News

#ClimateChange #Scotland #UnitedKingdom #Wildfires

08.03.2026 23:10 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei
β€’ More hardline than father
β€’ He’s the IRGC candidate
β€’ Relatively young: 56
β€’ Avoids public
β€’ Trusted by father, clerics
β€’ Was in military during Iraq-Iran war
β€’ His wife, Zahra, killed in Israeli airstrike w his father

08.03.2026 23:09 β€” πŸ‘ 1007    πŸ” 374    πŸ’¬ 54    πŸ“Œ 78
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Most Americans say that they are against the U.S. military action in Iran and disapprove of how President Trump is handling it β€” NPR/PBS News/Marist poll.
More, via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260308

08.03.2026 23:11 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Trump could stop the war today, and we still will be dealing with its effects in November.

08.03.2026 22:53 β€” πŸ‘ 115    πŸ” 39    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

Arms industry is making a killing.

Also, can't live with them. Can't live without them.

08.03.2026 23:07 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Hello fellow FOOLS! πŸ‘‹ There's quite a lot of us around πŸ˜‰

08.03.2026 23:05 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Fossil fuels execs will be able to play golf 6 days a week. The riches coming their way.

08.03.2026 23:02 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Heroin futures just went through the roof. All the junkies are going to have to rob someone to pay for their next fix.

Wouldn't be in this mess if we had pushed for clean renewables harder, sooner.

08.03.2026 23:01 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Killing the old man just so his reportedly much more radical/hardline son could take the reins. The Kim Jong-II to Kim Jong Un pipeline, facilitated by bombing runs.

08.03.2026 22:49 β€” πŸ‘ 31    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

From the Wall Street Crash to the 2008 global financial crisis, when economies are wrecked it is a window of opportunity for the big fish to gobble up all the little fish. It's how Capitalism works.

Trump, his family and pals will all make a killing.

08.03.2026 22:58 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Β£ billions it will take to develop the UK sector North Sea would instead pay for numerous renewables developments.

We are likely heading past 2C globally by 2040. The world will tip into a more violent and aggressive state.

Do we want to help bring that about? Or not?

08.03.2026 22:55 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Two wrongs don't make a right. To focus on substituting US, Qatari or whatever gas with North Sea gas is entirely the wrong framing. It is retrograde and anti-climate security. The focus must be on rapid rollout and scaling up of renewables and battery storage. Or do we want a 3Β°C Britain?

08.03.2026 22:50 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Govt taking 'wait and see' approach to energy protection The Government is likely to stop short of any specific measures to protect consumers from the economic impact of the Iranian crisis until after it is clear how long the situation may last.

The Government is likely to stop short of any specific measures to protect consumers from the economic impact of the Iranian crisis until after it is clear how long the situation may last

08.03.2026 22:37 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 5
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Plumes of smoke rose from the BAPCO oil company in Manama after it was struck by an Iranian drone.

08.03.2026 22:43 β€” πŸ‘ 35    πŸ” 20    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 3

He will never criticize Putin nor the Russian state.

08.03.2026 22:06 β€” πŸ‘ 36    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1

Since people are rediscovering "clobbering" of cruise missiles, let me explain: Tomahawks use "terrain contour matching" (TERCOM) to find their way to targets. For reasons, about 1-2% of Tomahawks "clobber" -- get lost and fly into the ground -- en route to target.

08.03.2026 22:06 β€” πŸ‘ 98    πŸ” 25    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 2

Whether $50 a barrel, $100 a barrel or $150 a barrel, oil or rather its main combustion product, carbon dioxide, is going to accumulate in the atmosphere, causing climate change impacts, which help drive and amplify violence and wars.

Oil means death.

08.03.2026 22:30 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Oopsie!

08.03.2026 22:27 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Dressing up as medical aid when you aren't is a war crime. Unambiguous. Awful.

08.03.2026 21:10 β€” πŸ‘ 38    πŸ” 20    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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A deadly climate change effect is even worse than feared, study finds Sea level along the world’s coastlines is often much higher than previously assumed, a new study finds.

"A deadly climate change effect is even worse than feared, study finds" by Doyle Rice for @usatoday.com: www.usatoday.com/story/news/n...

08.03.2026 22:13 β€” πŸ‘ 72    πŸ” 35    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1
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State Dept. Said to Order Diplomats in Saudi Arabia to Leave

NEW: The State Dept. has ordered diplomats in Saudi Arabia to leave. It's the first mandatory ordered departure issued by the agency during the US-Israel war on Iran, and indicates US officials fear more violence. Iranian drones hit the embassy in Riyadh. Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2026/03/08/w...

08.03.2026 21:28 β€” πŸ‘ 209    πŸ” 135    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 16