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Grégory Claeys

@gregclaeys.bsky.social

Director of the Economics Department of @strategieplan.bsky.social, Senior Fellow (on leave for public service) at @bruegel.bsky.social, Associate Professor of Economics at Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers in Paris

626 Followers  |  598 Following  |  5 Posts  |  Joined: 20.11.2024  |  1.6525

Latest posts by gregclaeys.bsky.social on Bluesky

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How to finance French rearmament and other priorities by 2030? | Haut-commissariat à la Stratégie et au Plan Faced with a deteriorating geopolitical situation, France and the European Union must strengthen their strategic autonomy. Military spending targets of 3.5% of GDP, or even 5% - compared with the curr...

Our recent paper on how to finance the French rearmament and other priorities by 2030 is now available in English: www.strategie-plan.gouv.fr/en/publicati...

03.07.2025 07:34 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Olivier Blanchard, Jean Pisani-Ferry et Gabriel Zucman : « Nous partageons le constat qu’un impôt plancher sur les grandes fortunes est le plus efficace face à l’inégalité fiscale » TRIBUNE. Le dispositif cible les centimillionnaires qui mettent en place des schémas d’optimisation pour échapper à l’impôt. Il ne fait que mettre en conformité nos lois fiscales avec le principe d’ég...

Pour que les Français acceptent la nécessaire consolidation des finances publiques, il faut que la charge en soit équitablement répartie. Ma tribune @lemonde avec O. Blanchard et G. Zucman.
www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl...

11.06.2025 05:48 — 👍 74    🔁 31    💬 1    📌 4
Chef(fe) de projet « Productivité – Macroéconomie » pour le département Économie | France Stratégie Le Haut-Commissariat à la stratégie et au plan recrute un(e) chef(fe) de projet « Productivité – Macroéconomie » pour le département Économie. Poste à pourvoir rapidement.

Mon département à @francestrategie.bsky.social est à la recherche d'un(e) économiste. Celui/celle-ci exercera notamment le rôle de rapporteur du CNP. Les détails du poste sont disponibles ici : www.strategie.gouv.fr/offres-dempl... N'hésitez pas à partager l'offre avec vos réseaux !

05.05.2025 19:10 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Reciprocal Tariff Calculations Executive Summary Reciprocal tariffs are calculated as the tariff rate necessary to balance bilateral trade deficits between the U.S. and each of our trading partners. This calculation assumes that pe...

This is what Trump's "economists" say about how they calculated the "reciprocal" tariffs. Don[t be fooled by the equation. They commit countless crimes against economics. ustr.gov/issue-areas/... +

03.04.2025 06:44 — 👍 240    🔁 80    💬 11    📌 14

Human blood 8.5% ?

28.03.2025 10:17 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0
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Do you want to better understand EU’s rearming attempt?

Best explainer by @euobserver.com laying down the baseline of EU-27 military imports

euobserver.com/eu-and-the-w...

19.03.2025 10:26 — 👍 33    🔁 22    💬 3    📌 3

The debate over how much of the (1,5, 150, soon more) €bn should be spent on EU vs non-EU defence manufacturers is about to move decisively in France's direction

Macron just has to sit back at this point. Trump is winning the argument for him 🇪🇺🇫🇷

09.03.2025 10:09 — 👍 598    🔁 132    💬 20    📌 12

In the pandemic timeline, we are now in early April 2020. This is when the Commission put SURE on the table (and around the same time, the fiscal rules were unplugged). Five weeks later, Macron and Merkel put NGEU on the table. This is where this should be headed eventually as well.

04.03.2025 09:07 — 👍 51    🔁 4    💬 2    📌 1

Well, as America implodes from within, it’d be a *great* time for the EU to finally do official Eurobonds. It’d likely be very attractive as a safe haven given the destruction of US hegemony & spillover to US T-bills. Bonus: Eurobonds can finance a desperately needed European security build up! 🇪🇺💶 ‼️

28.02.2025 20:37 — 👍 1240    🔁 299    💬 17    📌 32

Lots of over-engineered debt brake proposals around. Nothing easy off the shelf. Except….

….Just getting rid of it.

Fits really well in the spirit of deregulation, folks, come on!

One regulation less. Beautiful. And less duplicative because we have EU fiscal rules!

25.02.2025 12:19 — 👍 43    🔁 8    💬 5    📌 0

Cela semble absurde, et j’ai été choqué la première fois que je l’ai compris, mais la France – il n'y a pas d'autre mot – est bien un paradis fiscal pour milliardaire

Explications détaillées 🧵

07.02.2025 14:55 — 👍 1979    🔁 1384    💬 39    📌 97
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Deputy director Deadline for applications: 16 March 2025, 23:59 CET

Opportunity of a lifetime: Bruegel is looking for its next Deputy Director. Don't hesitate to apply or share with your networks: www.bruegel.org/careers/depu...

05.02.2025 09:56 — 👍 8    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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How German industry can survive the second China shock China's industrial subsidies and aggressive export-led growth are undercutting German manufacturing. To defend its automotive and engineering sectors, Germany must finally get tough on China with trad...

Deindustrialisation angst grips Germany.

In a new study, Brad Setser and I unpack how badly Germany's trading relationship with China has backfired, and how its industry might weather the second China shock.

With terrific accompanying reporting in Handelsblatt/FT.
1/

www.cer.eu/publications...

16.01.2025 15:05 — 👍 122    🔁 44    💬 5    📌 26
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How Paul Krugman changed the public face of economics He's a great economist, but he also changed how we talk about the subject.

How Paul Krugman changed the public face of economics

11.12.2024 05:03 — 👍 57    🔁 10    💬 1    📌 2

La Gouvernement a rendu public l'avis du Conseil d'Etat sur l'interprétation de l'article 45 de la LOLF et la possibilité de déposer un projet de loi spéciale (PLS).

(J'ai supprimé un précédent tweet erroné).

Bref thread:

www.conseil-etat.fr/avis-consult...

10.12.2024 15:15 — 👍 17    🔁 15    💬 1    📌 3
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Opinion | My Last Column: Finding Hope in an Age of Resentment Where have all the good vibes gone?

End of an era: @pkrugman.bsky.social's last column in the @nytimes.com one of the first econ bloggers I followed frequently when I became interested in economic policy. I still remember looking forward to his next column during the great financial crisis www.nytimes.com/2024/12/09/o...

10.12.2024 11:18 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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At the height of the €zone crisis, the 🇬🇷 government was spending nearly 20% of all its revenue on interest payments.

🇫🇷 is now spending around 4% on interest payments.

04.12.2024 07:31 — 👍 8    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0
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Jean Pisani-Ferry : « Il faut inventer une gouvernance à la mesure du monde qui vient » CHRONIQUE. Le programme que Donald Trump entend appliquer, au-delà de ses effets immédiats, traduit la « fatigue » du leadership américain. Comment le remplacer ?, s’interroge l’économiste dans sa chr...

Ma chronique @lemonde.fr : Les Etats-Unis, disait-on au tournant du millénaire, sont la « nation indispensable ». Il va falloir apprendre à se passer d’eux.

www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl...

23.11.2024 10:53 — 👍 12    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
A graph comparing Spanish and German gdp, which diverge in 2008 but reconverge between 2017-2024

A graph comparing Spanish and German gdp, which diverge in 2008 but reconverge between 2017-2024

Here’s a crazy fact for you: Spain and Germany have now seen basically the exact same amount of economic growth post-2008. Would have been unthinkable to people during most of the 2010s. Spain has seen ~10 percentage points more cumulative growth since 2017.

23.11.2024 09:26 — 👍 1468    🔁 279    💬 50    📌 51

@gregclaeys is following 20 prominent accounts