Don Moore

Dario Amodei — The Adolescence of Technology Confronting and Overcoming the Risks of Powerful AI

This brilliant and insightful essay ought to be required reading for anyone interested in how AI will change our world: www.darioamodei.com/essay/the-ad...

Really crazy that so many Americans based their entire life around carrying guns to protect US from authoritarians & pedophiles, then when confronted with authoritarians & pedophiles they joined in as paramilitary terrorizing innocent civilians & protecting the pedophiles from accountability.

If you're into open science, consider attending SIPS2026: www.improvingpsych.org/SIPS2026/ If you want to present, the submission deadline is coming up on January 30.

BREAKING: My sanity

Today's SJDM Featured Paper is: Vaz, A., Ingendahl, M., Mata, A., & Alves, H. (2025). "Stop the Count!" – How reporting partial election results fuels beliefs in election fraud. Psychological Science, 36(8), 676-688. doi.org/10.1177/0956...

Allow me to return the compliment.

What If Everyone Knew Which Science to Trust? And now for something completely different. . .

www.paullitvak.com/p/what-if-ev...

BITSS Annual Meeting 2026 The BITSS Annual Meeting brings together actors from academia, scholarly publishing, and policy to share novel research and discuss efforts to improve the credibility of social science by...

Join us in Berkeley on April 16th for the BITSS annual meeting
cega.berkeley.edu/event/bitss-...

Maybe this could be interesting for someone you know? I appreciate rts

I tag some experts in JDM science:

@donandrewmoore.bsky.social
@giladfeldman.bsky.social
@steveread.bsky.social
@urisohn.bsky.social
@lionelpage.bsky.social
@claudiacivai.bsky.social

Sorry for the spam!

It's hard to take the journal seriously when the editors don't take their jobs seriously.

I just had a negative experience with ‪@pnasnexus.org‬. I submitted my 8-page manuscript on April 11th. Four months later, I get a rejection with superficial feedback that implies the editor could not have done more than glance at the manuscript.

The third HotFresh recommended paper is:

Hu, B., Gaertig, C., & Dietvorst, B. J. (2024). How should time estimates be structured to increase customer satisfaction? Management Science

pubsonline.informs.org/doi/full/10....

SJDM HotFresh is hot and it's fresh!

Authors we could find on here: @thatadammorris.bsky.social @mjcrockett.bsky.social
reply with more if you can find them!

That one study that replicated is Study 2a from Nguyen, T. et al. (2019). Metamotivational knowledge of the role of high-level and low-level construal in goal-relevant task performance. Journal of personality and social psychology, 117, 876.

PCI Psychology is here!! 🎉🥳

After over a year of hard work by so many people, we are thrilled to announce that we are open for submissions! Join us in making publishing more efficient, equitable, and open: psych.peercommunityin.org
#PsychSciSky #scipub

What's Wiley afraid of?

The inconsistencies we document, even between different measures of the same form of overconfidence, are hard to reconcile with a simple version of the claim that overconfidence is some sort of stable trait.

You probably think there are some people who are more overconfident than others. If so, then you might be interested to read our paper: doi.org/10.1017/jdm....

Area chart from The Wall Street Journal showing long-term trends in the wealth of the top 0.00001% of U.S. households as a percentage of all U.S. househould wealth.

"The wealthiest have gotten richer, and control a record share of America’s wealth. New data suggest $1 trillion of wealth was created for the 19 richest American households alone in 2024. That’s more than the value of Switzerland’s entire economy." (via @wsj.com) www.wsj.com/economy/1-tr...

The Benefits of Overconfidence Have Been Exaggerated The idea that overconfidence pays dies hard. It boils down to the wish of getting something for nothing. Let's take a look at the evidence.

Joachim Krueger tells the truth:
The Benefits of Overconfidence Have Been Exaggerated
www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/one-...

Meghan Cochran from the New Books Network interviewed me and Max Bazerman about our book, Decision Leadership. Check it out: newbooksnetwork.com/decision-lea...

Excessive certainty in the accuracy of one’s judgment—dubbed ‘overprecision’—is commonplace among people and indeed AIs. The explanation? Error neglect—not knowing the numerous different ways our judgment can be wrong, argues @donandrewmoore.bsky.social:

buff.ly/BjxexZ1

YouTube video by Decidedly Podcast | Business Decision Tips Ep.178 I Deciding to Doubt Yourself (In a Good Way): The Science of Overconfidence with Don Moore

On YouTube: youtu.be/zhq68fRFz8o?...

Ep.178 I Deciding to Doubt Yourself (In a Good Way): The Science of Overconfidence with Don Moore Decidedly I Decision Tips for Business Owners · Episode

On spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/3u5u...

Ep.178 I Deciding to Doubt Yourself (In a Good Way): The Science of Overconfidence with Don Moore Podcast Episode · Decidedly I Decision Tips for Business Owners · 02/26/2025 · 1h

I had so much on the Decidedly Podcast, I decided to double my pleasure! podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...

A new day dawns: lifecyclejournal.org

Research Transparency and Reproducibility Training (RT2) 2025 The Berkeley Initiative for Transparency in the Social Sciences (BITSS) will hold its next Research Transparency and Reproducibility Training (RT2) in Berkeley, CA on May 21 – 23, 2025! RT2 p…

@ucbitss.bsky.social is running their Research Transparency and Reproducibility Training (RT2) in Berkeley, May 21-23. Sign up! www.bitss.org/events/resea...

No, when we submitted this paper I thought it was great, and was vexed by our negative reviews. But then I am usually inordinately fond of my own writing and my own projects; if I weren't, I wouldn't pursue them.

I agree that peer reviews should all be public. But I also know that smart colleagues disagree with me, and there are arguments on both sides of that one.