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Paddy Carter

@paddycarter.bsky.social

Head of development economics at British International Investment, formerly CGD, ODI, lapsed academic economist and macroeconomics hobbyist. https://sites.google.com/site/paddycarter/

3,253 Followers  |  1,107 Following  |  1,356 Posts  |  Joined: 18.10.2023  |  2.7286

Latest posts by paddycarter.bsky.social on Bluesky

I don't know that I even care about simultaneously, I just think "technically this increases money supply and that decreases the money supply" in no way makes "taxes don't finance spending" a sensible conclusion

04.12.2025 19:25 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Governments don’t need taxes to finance public expenditure. They just really want them. MMTers set great store by the idea that the government ushers money into existence when it spends, because if you understand how…

Yes, see "bright spark from IT" here. There is a pot that tax + borrow + print goes into, and spend comes out of, and "actually money is destroyed when it goes in and created when it comes out" gets us nowhere

04.12.2025 19:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Sorry I failed to respond to this. Yes I'm not claiming "the govt doesn't have a normal bank account, it had the BoE" has no implications, only that "actually taxes don't finance spending" is foolishness

04.12.2025 18:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I do not think govt could sustainably spend 45% of GDP without taxing, hence I think taxes are necessary to financing spending and the rest is distracting sophistry which gives people silly idea, but I also think mainstream econ is too shy of seigniorage

04.12.2025 18:37 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I didn't mean to argue these choices have the same effects on the economy, perhaps I am doing so unwittingly. The hill I am trying to die on is for "taxes are one of three ways of financing spending" and against "taxes don't finance spending"

04.12.2025 18:31 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

I don't agree. I think you still need to tax to finance spending unless you want to use print or borrow. If you have 3 ways of financing things it's always a choice between a combination ofX, Y and Z, that doesn't mean you're no longer choosig X to finance things

04.12.2025 18:02 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Whatever you say taxes are for, holding expenditure constant, reducing taxes means one of the other sources of finance must rise. If you think printing money is inflationary, then taxing to financing spending is the same as taxing to avoid inflation

04.12.2025 17:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Once you have one item, printing money, which you can avail yourself of as much as you like until you hit your inflation limits, there is no difference between taxes financing spending and "destroying money".

04.12.2025 17:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

But isn't that analogy taking us back to "actually the government can always print money to pay for stuff if it wants to", which everyone here agrees with. I'm disagreeing with "actually taxes destroy money they don't finance spending". I think three things finance spending, tax, borrow, print.

04.12.2025 17:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Would you agree that if the govt had a normal bank account, into which taxes were paid, and its spending came from, but the bank let the govt run and overdraft so that it didn't need taxes before it spent, we would still say taxes fiance spending, and not taxes destroy money?

04.12.2025 17:25 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This is my "bright spark in IT" reference. It's not seeing the woods for the trees. The system described still requires outgoings to tally with incomings (including what I am calling money creation) over time, and it still boils down to spending being financed by tax, borrow, print

04.12.2025 17:21 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
The self-financing state: the British case Review of the article : Berkeley, A., Ryan-Collins, J., Tye, R., Voldsgaard, A. and Wilson, N. (2022). The self-financing state: An institutional analysis of government expenditure, revenue collect…

The second para of my Medium article talks about setting too much store in the order in which things happen. Now read at e.g. this, and look for words like "prior" and "upfront" mmt-france.org/2025/05/31/t...

04.12.2025 17:16 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

but, I am sorry for causing upset I do not intend

04.12.2025 16:14 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I think the MMT idea that taxation destroys money is silly nonsense. I don't think saying so is a "you might feel more at home on the bird site" offence.

04.12.2025 16:08 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

oh sorry, maybe I misunderstood you - I thought by burning you were referring to the MMT "govt spending creates money and taxes destroy it" idea, which I don't think is helpful. If you mean that sometimes the govt might want to (indirectly) reduce the money supply to cool the econ, sure.

04.12.2025 13:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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"financed by" would have been better than "constrained by" - because it's inflation that constrains how much seigniorage you can get away with, but either way I am very clearly saying the gov does not *have to* only borrow and tax.

MMT is the bright spark in IT here:

04.12.2025 11:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

yes, this was an IS/LM AS/AD exercise, and extracting the useful messages from unrealistic models is tricky, but in this case it does contain the point that if the government tries to raise output beyond what the supply side can supply, it just gets inflation.

04.12.2025 11:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

i do not think you have read what I wrote because it very clearly does not conclude the govt has to borrow that which only it is allowed to issue

04.12.2025 11:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

OK. I don't have anything to add to what's in the Medium article.

04.12.2025 11:42 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Governments don’t need taxes to finance public expenditure. They just really want them. MMTers set great store by the idea that the government ushers money into existence when it spends, because if you understand how…

that's awfully big of you, thanks.

I think "printing money" is a perfectly acceptable way of talking about central banks buying government debt

I think the spending Β£ into existence part is silliness:

carterpaddy.medium.com/governments-...

04.12.2025 11:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Banks don’t need deposits to lend. They just really want them. To steal from the great Cosma Shalzi: Attention Conservation Notice: this is two pages of me worrying away at modern monetary theory…

imo you ought to have been taught that money is IOUs written by banks (see here carterpaddy.medium.com/banks-dont-n... ) but I think the second half about governments burning them is silly nonsense.

04.12.2025 11:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

what are these implications, that are not already present in the fact that spending is financed by taxes + borrowing + seigniorage? we have always known that governments can print money!!

04.12.2025 11:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

the bit where he says it's not necessary for national governments to tax?

04.12.2025 11:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I think taxes are necessary to sustain that level of spending, and I am very unimpressed by "that's not because taxes finance spending but because tax reduces inflation" silliness

04.12.2025 11:15 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

umm, I think I would ask Beardsley if he is seriously suggesting that the UK government could set spending at 45% of GDP and taxes to zero without disaster following.

04.12.2025 11:15 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

what blows my mind, is that before anyone had heard of MMT, we knew govt spending was financed by taxes + net borrowing + seigniorage, and in econ 101 we did "what if the govt tries to increase spending by printing money" exercises, looking at when it translates into inflation. It's nothing new!

04.12.2025 10:16 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Maybe they ougha say, you put some money in a bani, it MULTIPLIES it more money, for those that miss it

03.12.2025 20:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Mainstream econ emphatically does say banks create money!

03.12.2025 20:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Marshall Institute

Maybe there should be some outrage about the LSE taking money from this source of poison www.lse.ac.uk/marshall-ins...

03.12.2025 20:31 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

if I had my way, every econ course would have some discussion of the benefits and costs of abstraction, and the practice of focussing on one mechanisms at a time and stripping out everything except what is necessary for that. It's a powerful method, also a dangerous one.

03.12.2025 17:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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