Elizabeth Leitman's Avatar

Elizabeth Leitman

@wxliz.bsky.social

Meteorologist - wife/mom - ENTP - reading connoisseur - music lover - STL sports - neurospicy. Thoughts mine, not employers.

4,447 Followers  |  1,385 Following  |  1,865 Posts  |  Joined: 17.10.2024
Posts Following

Posts by Elizabeth Leitman (@wxliz.bsky.social)

If you go to our outlook archive page (available at the very bottom of the convective outlooks webpage) you can find a list of all available file formats. www.spc.noaa.gov/cgi-bin-spc/...

04.03.2026 06:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

We also have shapefiles and KML files.

04.03.2026 04:33 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

We have geojson files for all the layers. Would that help?

04.03.2026 04:33 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image Post image

Do these graphics help? There are several different options, including national, state, CWA, etc graphics. At the top of the graphic is the valid date and valid time in CT is in the upper right. www.spc.noaa.gov/partners/out...

03.03.2026 17:56 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Honestly, if that’s the only glitch, y’all should be so proud of yourselves. This was a massive change not just for us forecasters, but on the technical side. We wouldn’t have this without y’all. You’re rockstars! Excellent work. πŸ™ŒπŸΌπŸŽ‰

03.03.2026 17:50 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image Post image Post image

A new era for SPC Outlooks & severe storms forecasting begins today! If you haven’t seen the new outlook (severe & fire weather) graphics yet, check out the SPC website. www.spc.noaa.gov Increasing severe risk in the coming days will give a first live look at the new conditional intensity levels.

03.03.2026 17:32 β€” πŸ‘ 54    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 3
Post image

Spring storm season has arrived in the Plains very active pattern expected this week.

03.03.2026 14:30 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

If you thought Oklahoma felt particularly warm this winter (especially February), you’d be correct.

01.03.2026 17:48 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you!

27.02.2026 22:20 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Introduction to SPC Conditional Intensity Outlooks
YouTube video by Storm Prediction Center Introduction to SPC Conditional Intensity Outlooks

Longer technical detail video is on our YouTube channel: youtu.be/nVFHLkbFtNQ?...

27.02.2026 20:48 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Here’s our short explainer video for conditional intensity outlooks!!

27.02.2026 20:46 β€” πŸ‘ 30    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Storm Prediction Center   Conditional Intensity Teaser
YouTube video by Storm Prediction Center Storm Prediction Center Conditional Intensity Teaser

SPC Conditional Intensity teaser video dropped on YouTube. We’ll have another explainer video (around 3 min length) coming soon! Outlook changes coming March 3rd. youtube.com/shorts/uWzMP...

26.02.2026 21:31 β€” πŸ‘ 31    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

That logic could be applied to a multitude of private sector weather companies. He’s providing a service people want and frankly filling a gap in the market, clearly, or he wouldn’t have a following. I don’t get the vibe he’s taking advantage of people.

17.02.2026 04:33 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

*doesn’t seem unreasonable

16.02.2026 02:16 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Have there been something’s over the years that he stumbled with, sure. But I think he’s learned and is building a legitimate business for a rapidly changing weather enterprise. Working with him and building a relationship is way better than trying to vilify him when he has a big influence/platform.

16.02.2026 02:16 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

What specifically do you take issue with here? There are all sorts of subscription services for get alerts. $20/yr doesn’t seem I reasonable to me, especially if it’s reliable. I feel like RHY is doing the work to be a legitimate option for weather information.

16.02.2026 02:14 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you! 🫢🏼

06.02.2026 04:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Wtf…

06.02.2026 01:37 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image

Happy National Weatherperson’s Day!

05.02.2026 16:05 β€” πŸ‘ 26    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

And now we are graphically highlighting those different areas, whereas in the past, you may have had to dig into the technically discussion to glean that information. Sometimes it would be mentioned specifically at all. Now it’ll be right there in the map.

04.02.2026 03:42 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

For instance, as an outlook approaches high risk, the percentage of tornado report of EF3+ increases exponentially. It doesn’t mean other intensities don’t occur, but that there is a greater proportion of high-end storms within that tier.

04.02.2026 03:40 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

We aren’t limiting. Each tier has its own PDF curve (this is getting into the statistical analysis weeds) w/ a distribution of all intensity levels possible. What each tier indicates is the reports for that hazard, falling in that intensity group will predominantly be of a certain intensity.

04.02.2026 03:38 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Outlooks with continuous probabilities are in the works.

04.02.2026 03:35 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
GWC live: Discussing changes to SPC outlooks with SPC Forecaster Elizabeth Leitman YouTube video by Girls Who Chase Storms

Thank you to Jen and Raychel, with @girlswhochase.com and Tornado Titans for allowing me to talk about the upcoming SPC outlook changes. If you missed the live, you can view the discussion here. www.youtube.com/live/G0Nml1L...

04.02.2026 02:12 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
GWC Live: Discussing changes to SPC outlooks with SPC Forecaster Elizabeth Leitman YouTube video by Girls Who Chase Storms

LINK: youtube.com/live/yUIhCSS...

03.02.2026 18:25 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Hiiii friend!!! πŸ₯°πŸ‘‹πŸΌ

03.02.2026 23:36 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
GWC Live: Discussing changes to SPC outlooks with SPC Forecaster Elizabeth Leitman YouTube video by Girls Who Chase Storms

LINK: youtube.com/live/yUIhCSS...

03.02.2026 18:25 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Don’t forget! I’ll be joining @girlswhochase.com LIVE on YouTube tonight at 6pm CT. Tune in to learn about changes coming this spring to the SPC severe storms outlooks.

03.02.2026 18:01 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ‘ŠπŸΌ

02.02.2026 19:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yeah, it’s kind of required for employment. πŸ˜„

01.02.2026 21:30 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0