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Thomas Kealy

@tomkealy.bsky.social

I help you do online experiments better.

452 Followers  |  910 Following  |  441 Posts  |  Joined: 11.04.2023
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Posts by Thomas Kealy (@tomkealy.bsky.social)

All 'should's are secretly 'wants.'

03.03.2026 14:26 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I think that was a normal month when I was a student!

03.03.2026 13:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

lol I'd do it for free.

03.03.2026 12:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

A Bayesian Peek into Feller, by Diaconis and Holmes and Are There Still Things To Do in Bayesian Statistics? by the same authors might be what you're looking for.

03.03.2026 11:58 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

I did it twice last time I was there - but only because I was in places which only had a WHSmith where I could buy what I wanted.

03.03.2026 09:50 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Whoever said Mary Oliver was mid simply couldn't read.

02.03.2026 18:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I have a strong anti-crack on the subway policy.

02.03.2026 18:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Gotta say: openly doing crack on the ubahn is a new one for me.

My ticket has gone up €8 a month for this!

02.03.2026 18:36 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

As someone who was once a very opinionated but also very dumb 24-year-old I feel seen by this, but also grateful that no one published any of my takes til I was in my 30s

02.03.2026 16:59 β€” πŸ‘ 1434    πŸ” 38    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 5

I'd like a longer respite if I'm honest.

02.03.2026 16:38 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This is one of those weeks that contain decades.

02.03.2026 14:29 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

You could interpret Trump's actions in Syria, Venezuela, Iran, and Cuba as evidence that he was never in Putin's pocket.

You could also see this as Trump, sensing Putin's weakness, taking over part of his former master's kleptocracy.

02.03.2026 10:45 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

how can you be anti-Andor!? It's the best thing Star Wars ever did.

02.03.2026 07:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Naja.

01.03.2026 18:56 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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On a 8am train from Dortmund to Stuttgart (3.5 hours, total price €30) and these lads were drinking pints for €2.50, literally cheaper than my coffee. Another world is possible

01.03.2026 08:37 β€” πŸ‘ 445    πŸ” 77    πŸ’¬ 17    πŸ“Œ 14

good luck!

01.03.2026 09:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

congratulations!

01.03.2026 09:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I have to WATCH ADS with HBO max! I PAY and they MAKE ME WATCH ADS!?

28.02.2026 18:55 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Figure 1 in this paper is both informative and hillarious. The collider on self-perceived causal inference skill is too real

26.02.2026 09:50 β€” πŸ‘ 83    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

shotgun not me but think there's scope here for a proper, lengthy, meaty feature looking at every single policy area in Britain that's currently fucked specifically because of a decision George Osborne took, reckon you could make it an actual mag cover, his fingerprints are everywhere

26.02.2026 09:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1138    πŸ” 281    πŸ’¬ 65    πŸ“Œ 32

I guess the Tech bros might soon realise that they were the dupes when their IP is seized from them.

25.02.2026 21:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Young bearing the brunt of UK tax and wage changes, says BoE economist Huw Pill warns combined effect of national insurance and minimum wage rises have β€˜acute’ effect on youth employment

"The negative effect of a combined increase in employers’ taxes and minimum wages has been β€œparticularly acute” for young people, the Bank of England’s chief economist has warned"

Everybody understands this. Well, almost everybody... πŸ€·β€β™€οΈ

www.theguardian.com/society/2026...

25.02.2026 08:02 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Except that's not what the research says!

They did a secondary per-protocol analysis, where randomisation wasn't doing the causal heavy lifting.

25.02.2026 18:16 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a man in a grey shirt and grey pants is running ALT: a man in a grey shirt and grey pants is running
25.02.2026 18:09 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Randomisation is good, except when it isn't.

25.02.2026 18:09 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a cartoon character is sitting in a lotus position in front of a bed in a room . ALT: a cartoon character is sitting in a lotus position in front of a bed in a room .

Last Staff Assembly of the term tomorrow.

25.02.2026 18:04 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Really sad to say, but it might be Over for America.

Until America is Back of course.

25.02.2026 18:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Willy Brandt (young)

Willy Brandt (young)

β€œA clique which calls itself a government has to try to fence in its own population. The concrete columns, the barbed wire, the death strips, the watch towers and the machine guns, those are the hallmarks of a concentration camp. It will not stand.”

– Willy Brandt

25.02.2026 15:18 β€” πŸ‘ 60    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It is a catastrophic misfire that our national conversation about tech regulation is focused on age limits and not on using state power to build a cordon sanitaire against the fascist rot which has overtaken the three largest social media providers

25.02.2026 14:22 β€” πŸ‘ 255    πŸ” 85    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 4