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Jacob Montgomery

@jacobmontgomery.bsky.social

Political (Data) Scientist at Washington University in St. Louis. Data science, social media, American politics, and grumpy Bayesian. All opinions my own.

3,704 Followers  |  1,194 Following  |  916 Posts  |  Joined: 24.07.2023  |  2.3829

Latest posts by jacobmontgomery.bsky.social on Bluesky

A staggering statistic: "North American researchers were charged over US$2.27 billion by just two for-profit publishers. The Canadian research councils and the US National Science Foundation were allocated US$9.3 billion in that year." What are we doing?

12.11.2025 13:58 β€” πŸ‘ 96    πŸ” 47    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 5

Email 1: Can I Say Black?

Email 2: Can I say Black American?

Email 3: Can I Say Black American Politics?

πŸ˜‚

13.11.2025 23:42 β€” πŸ‘ 60    πŸ” 14    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Texas A&M Tightens Rules on Talking About Race and Gender in Classes

Texas A&M Tightens Rules on Talking About Race and Gender in Classes www.nytimes.com/2025/11/13/u...

β€œThe policy defines race ideology as, among other things, β€˜a concept that attempts to shame a particular race or ethnicity.’”

These GOP-led efforts will ruin their states’ public universities. Sad!

13.11.2025 23:14 β€” πŸ‘ 97    πŸ” 29    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 16
WHAT PROFESSORS CAN SAY
Texas A&M is limiting how instructors may discuss gender identity and race in classrooms amid statewide debates over academic freedom.

WHAT PROFESSORS CAN SAY Texas A&M is limiting how instructors may discuss gender identity and race in classrooms amid statewide debates over academic freedom.

Let me fix that for you:

Texas A&M is limiting how instructors may discuss gender identity and race in classrooms in an assault on academic freedom unseen in America since the Red Scare.

13.11.2025 23:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1567    πŸ” 462    πŸ’¬ 17    πŸ“Œ 13

Given that Facebook is now like 50% AI content now, I feel that faked videos will make a solid appearance In this plot line.

13.11.2025 23:39 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Texas A&M Tightens Rules on Talking About Race and Gender in Classes

So academic. Much freedom. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/13/u...

13.11.2025 23:08 β€” πŸ‘ 134    πŸ” 40    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 8

The lowly discharge petition is really having a moment.

13.11.2025 17:24 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Like this dude is going to name his space program β€œearthseed” and not at all see the irony.

13.11.2025 16:51 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Tech people are so wrong about the messages of the scifi books they reference I am convinced they just havent actually read them.

13.11.2025 16:50 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The central message of Look to Windward is not, in fact, β€œdo fascism so that you can digitize your consciousness.”

13.11.2025 16:46 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0
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AI-Generated Videos of ICE Raids Are Wildly Viral on Facebook An account is spamming horrific, dehumanizing videos of immigration enforcement because the Facebook algorithm is rewarding them for it.

An account is spamming horrific, dehumanizing videos of immigration enforcement because the Facebook algorithm is rewarding them for it.

12.11.2025 18:09 β€” πŸ‘ 219    πŸ” 77    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 11
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Three preregistered experiments with prolific participants (N = 2,254) found no evidence for experimenter demand effects

osf.io/preprints/ps...

12.11.2025 13:20 β€” πŸ‘ 53    πŸ” 20    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 3

In response to this claim that the "strategy didn't work."

The people were on our side. We were building momentum to help save our democracy. We could have won - the premium increase notices were just starting.

And giving in now will embolden him. Things will likely get worse.

10.11.2025 17:43 β€” πŸ‘ 20927    πŸ” 4859    πŸ’¬ 1855    πŸ“Œ 392

there is so much Beta in (econometrics) books

11.11.2025 02:15 β€” πŸ‘ 41    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

*Women receive substantially lower "potential" ratings despite receiving higher performance ratings
*Differences in potential ratings account for half of the gender promotion gap
*Women’s lower potential ratings do not reflect future performance: women subsequently outperform male colleagues

10.11.2025 14:54 β€” πŸ‘ 471    πŸ” 180    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 12
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Donald Trump is Joe Biden now The president's numbers on prices are where Biden's were during peak inflation in 2022-23.

Donald Trump is Joe Biden now

POTUS's job approval on prices is where Biden's was during peak inflation in 2022-23. Voters say 2:1 that Trump has made the economy worse. Oh, and consumer sentiment among independents hit a new all-time low in November, www.gelliottmorris.com/p/donald-tru...

10.11.2025 16:07 β€” πŸ‘ 277    πŸ” 85    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 12

My feeling is that within the world of acquiring government contracts, it might be among the least shady systems? Not a ringing endorsement, but ....

10.11.2025 21:57 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Probably the midichlorians are the worst single explanation for anything ever in the history of sci-fi, so you may be right.

10.11.2025 21:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image 10.11.2025 21:48 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Guys he actually did it ....

10.11.2025 21:33 β€” πŸ‘ 67    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

MSNBC reported Schumer's office felt that the longer that shutdown went on, the more likely it was that people would start to blame the Dems.

My kingdom for Democrats that don't govern out of fear. I've said it before and I'll say it again: The American people are far braver than their reps.

10.11.2025 02:18 β€” πŸ‘ 3340    πŸ” 687    πŸ’¬ 126    πŸ“Œ 144
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Chris Murphy: "There will be pretty substantial damage to a Dem brand that has been rehabilitated if on the heels of an election in which the people told us to keep fighting, we immediately stop... if we surrender without having gotten anything, I worry it'll be hard to get them back up off the mat"

07.11.2025 14:54 β€” πŸ‘ 26420    πŸ” 6733    πŸ’¬ 1599    πŸ“Œ 1173
Chuck Schumer Helps Pull Democrats Back From Brink Of Courage

Chuck Schumer Helps Pull Democrats Back From Brink Of Courage

Chuck Schumer Helps Pull Democrats Back From Brink Of Courage

10.11.2025 05:02 β€” πŸ‘ 28595    πŸ” 8826    πŸ’¬ 378    πŸ“Œ 418

seems to me that those democrats inclined not to fight perceive themselves as living through a somewhat ordinary cycle of presidential overreach and backlash and not something much more significant and dangerous

10.11.2025 12:50 β€” πŸ‘ 13241    πŸ” 2260    πŸ’¬ 347    πŸ“Œ 181

Call the United States Capitol switchboard at (202) 224-3121 and they will connect you with your senator's office.

If you're represented by one of the squishier centrists, be sure to make a call. Now.

09.11.2025 20:47 β€” πŸ‘ 5502    πŸ” 3154    πŸ’¬ 381    πŸ“Œ 205
09.11.2025 02:03 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I saw someone on my timeline shaming someone else for posting about college football in a time like this.

Folks, if we're going to survive a time like this, we're going to need to avoid burning out from an attitude of 24/7 vigilance and constant outrage.

Let people find joy where they can, please.

08.11.2025 20:56 β€” πŸ‘ 5932    πŸ” 662    πŸ’¬ 234    πŸ“Œ 75
"Bayes for the people" in Mamdani's campaign font

"Bayes for the people" in Mamdani's campaign font

08.11.2025 23:02 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Cornell, like other capitulators, shamefully justifies this by saying it preserves *our* independence. Even if that were true, it is pure moral cowardice to take the every-institution-for-itself approach when extortionist is rampaging through our academic community.

07.11.2025 19:28 β€” πŸ‘ 242    πŸ” 58    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 5
divergentcoachkelly on Threads * 2h
ADHD is knowing exactly what you need to do then watching yourself not do it like you're a scientist observing a very dumb experiment

divergentcoachkelly on Threads * 2h ADHD is knowing exactly what you need to do then watching yourself not do it like you're a scientist observing a very dumb experiment

10/10 take. No notes.

07.11.2025 17:49 β€” πŸ‘ 22320    πŸ” 5640    πŸ’¬ 210    πŸ“Œ 309

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