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Bill Patrick

@ponderosatree.bsky.social

political scientist

407 Followers  |  101 Following  |  572 Posts  |  Joined: 18.11.2024
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Posts by Bill Patrick (@ponderosatree.bsky.social)


@wyden.senate.gov @johnlarsonct.bsky.social @ewarren.bsky.social @waysmeanscmte.bsky.social

26.02.2026 23:08 β€” πŸ‘ 71    πŸ” 50    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 3

β€œ. . . if you don’t know where you’re going, any road gets your there.”

The road’s legal and constitutional entrance is through Congress, however. I hope Gen. Caine insists on that. Venezuela was couched as law enforcement. Iran can’t be, and we can’t accept secret reasons for projecting US power.

27.02.2026 17:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I think DJT has a 50% likelihood of resigning in β€˜27. Midterms over, he got what he wanted (cash & immunity) and he will trade an early exit for a blanket pardon, citing his age and health. Musk demanded Vance for VP to put him into the presidency asap. Vance is worse than DJT, so widen your view GC

26.02.2026 15:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump’s new tariffs are just as illegal as his old tariffs Numerous media outlets are spreading false information about the law β€” and Trump is benefiting.

New 15% global tariffs not only break several just made trade agreements, they’re also not legal under Section 122 as claimed. Even the Trump admin started this in August. MAJOR SCOOP and incredible reporting here:

open.substack.com/pub/populari...

24.02.2026 16:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The best thing about rightfully demanding refunds is that the battle is no longer between Trump and the constitution. SCOTUS held, despite an attempted Kavanaugh stop. Now the battle is between Trump and the importers who paid illegal taxes. The GOP gets to run on this anti-business policy. πŸ˜‚

24.02.2026 05:15 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Same way a third of you Canada people like this shit. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

24.02.2026 04:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

2) There's always an element of plausible deniability that serves to keep the debate about culture war issues and personality flaws instead of about real public policy. And that now very real public policy is very anti-democracy and very pro-plutocracy and very ugly.

23.02.2026 18:53 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

1) It's important to see so much Nazi-esque rhetoric listed in one place. Let's keep in mind that yeah, they basically believe what they say, but what they believe is a fluid and reactionary political psychology, not an ideology, that is meant to both feed the base and trigger the libs.

23.02.2026 18:53 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

A not secret report from last summer clearly showed that the hate speech "She is for They/Them" political ads funded by Musk's PAC and aired by the NFL, moved voters who watched by 2.7 points for Trump. That was the dark money coup. Gaza cost votes too. Both political risk assessments were wrong.

23.02.2026 17:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Opinion | This Is How an Autocrat Goes to War

β€œNot only has Congress not authorized such a war, but it has barely even debated it. The administration has not bothered to explain, either to Congress or the American people, why it might bomb Iran or what it hopes to achieve…This is how an autocracy goes to war.”

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/20/o...

22.02.2026 23:54 β€” πŸ‘ 1617    πŸ” 521    πŸ’¬ 77    πŸ“Œ 21

Political participation is complicated. But if your goal is increasing participation, look at Colorado’s 74% overall and 84% of registered Dems voting. Blaming non-voters for outcomes you don’t like is a form of election denialism that helps other anti-democracy efforts.

21.02.2026 17:29 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

And it’s not a coincidence that this is Black history month and Hegseth and Trump are ethnocentric thinkers to say the least. Timing plus the vague β€œloss of confidence” reasoning certainly sends an unnecessarily undermining message to Black soldiers across the armed forces.

20.02.2026 19:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

And the admin can’t just ignore the courts as they have. Even if Trump keeps tariffs in place, importers will of course stop paying them and work on a claw back, and the battle will then be between the admin and US businesses. Expect short term chaos at customs, but no Con crisis, tG.

20.02.2026 16:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Weird one. Another missile destroyer, the Truxton, just got a new CO on 1/9, then on 2/11 was in a major collision with a supply ship. There is also a bs video about the Mason (in Carib) having been rammed by a Venezuelan war ship, a β€œcorvette” that then just β€œdisappeared”.

20.02.2026 15:03 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Rubio in Munich told me this admin is hopelessly guided by juvenile spokespersons pushing fringe, ruinous ideas. Nothing more. Brookings should be burning tires in the streets, or the academic version of that. Burn the hundreds of tons of journals collecting dust, whatever catches fire. πŸ”₯

20.02.2026 04:54 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I do wonder why you don’t castigate your fellow FP analysts more. They seem afraid, with a few exceptions, to effectively call bs on a multitude of bs policy from Venezuela to Cuba to Greenland to Ukraine to NATO to Gaza to trade. Tough job right now, but we need tough experts to take risks.

20.02.2026 04:39 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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β€œFuck the poor! Fuck the poor!”

That’s how the March for Billionaires kicked off on February 7 in Pacific Heights, one of San Francisco’s wealthiest neighborhoods, near a stretch of mansions known as Billionaires’ Row.

We went to see whether the event was satire or sincere. The answer was… yes.

18.02.2026 02:04 β€” πŸ‘ 352    πŸ” 116    πŸ’¬ 35    πŸ“Œ 20
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BREAKING: I read the new version of the β€œSave America Act” (S. 1383) so u don’t have to. Here’s my summary. Point 1 is new. It requires that all 50 states send their voter rolls to the DHS to run thru DHS’s faulty β€œSAVE” voter purge program. Points 6 & 7 are new too. Tell ur Senators #NoOnSAVE 1/

17.02.2026 21:47 β€” πŸ‘ 3927    πŸ” 2778    πŸ’¬ 239    πŸ“Œ 329

The MAHA thing is a big part of the far-right. It’s how people like Alex Jones funded their operations while at the same time using β€œcommon sense” (but often false) health claims to create legitimacy for their political claims by association. Kennedy is the perfect HHS secretary for that effort.

17.02.2026 17:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Lemme know when you get to Musk and Thiel who control massive and sensitive government contracts, and who openly challenge democracy and openly promote ethnocentrism. Maybe start with them too? Thanks!!

17.02.2026 16:26 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Musk put $10M into this primary supporting Nate Morris, a Vance friend, and Musk leads the donor class for ethnocentric demagoguery. Kentucky’s, perhaps futile, Republican search for legitimacy is the place to watch for cracks in this GOP’s war on the constitution.

17.02.2026 15:35 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Troy’s reporting is clear, thorough, and a concise scholarly look at the details and the big picture political plays at work. Read his whole series asap and save yourself a lot of confusion.

16.02.2026 03:25 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This tracks. We are likely to see a lot of new Massies as the GOP plots a path for R’s in congress to find themselves on the right side of the Epstein-(insert powerful co-conspirator here) criminal enterprise.

16.02.2026 03:25 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Required reading. The victims deserve justice and the paper trail Dave Troy continues to uncover leads to Epstein running a large β€œcontrolled burn operation” for both the criminal and civil claims against him and a lot of lawyers are involved. Their greed and apparent misogyny needs accountability.

14.02.2026 22:55 β€” πŸ‘ 37    πŸ” 18    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I don’t think enough people know that the GOP’s β€œSave America Act” would establish voter purge programs using data systems that experts say are unreliable. These systems reek of DOGE & thus of Elon Musk who is *heavily* promoting the Act. Thread.

13.02.2026 00:05 β€” πŸ‘ 227    πŸ” 153    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 7
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β€œWe’re the only country in the world that has mail in ballots”. - Senile Satan

12.02.2026 23:28 β€” πŸ‘ 11258    πŸ” 4919    πŸ’¬ 543    πŸ“Œ 235
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I read the Trump-backed voter suppression bill, the so-called β€œSave America Act,” so you don’t have to. Here’s my summary. Please tell your Senators to vote NO on this abomination: 202-224-3121. TY. 1/

12.02.2026 23:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1409    πŸ” 988    πŸ’¬ 70    πŸ“Œ 93

The β€œbeleaguered minority” belief is, one layer deeper, a purely rhetorical anti-government blind spot that blocks a coherent world view and undermines the very source of social and economic liberty: the US Constitution. It’s compartmentalized and emotional brain rot.

12.02.2026 14:50 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

While we hope accountability, legal and political, comes to Epstein pals who considered themselves well above the law and well above the humanity of their victims, we need the social context Troy is establishing in this series to help understand today, what money and technology in politics intends.

12.02.2026 04:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

If Gates and Summers especially, have any hope of rehabilitating their once respected statuses as powerful, highly intelligent people with universalist values and plans to elevate the common good, they will offer a mea culpa and help the nation recover from this attack they helped to happen.

12.02.2026 04:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0