Patrick Präg

Title page of the paper.

🧵 New WP! w/ @selcanmutgan.bsky.social

Most segregation research examines neighborhoods, schools, or workplaces separately. But do individuals' exposure align across domains and persist over the life course? We fill this gap using 27 years of 🇸🇪 data.

Pre-print: osf.io/eunwc_v1 (1/5)

German Epstein files just dropped

Heute ist mir im Gespräch mit ihm noch mal klar geworden, dass mein Kind ja wirklich ernsthaft und felsenfest davon ausgeht, einmal als Profi-Sportler zu arbeiten. Und interessanterweise ist so eine Karriere durch KI tatsächlich wahrscheinlicher geworden und die Alternativen unwahrscheinlicher?

A 3x3 grid titled "Is it a library? Alignment chart". Horizontal axis categories: Contents purist: Must contain books Contents neutral: Must contain information Contents rebel: Can contain anything Vertical axis categories: Curation purist: Must be managed by a professional librarian Curation neutral: Must be curated by someone Curation rebel: Can be managed by nobody Examples represented on the grid: Curation purist, contents purist: New York Public Library is a library Curation purist, contents neutral: A newspaper archive is a library Curation purist, contents rebel: A school information commons is a library Curation neutral, contents purist: A home bookshelf is a library Curation neutral, contents neutral: A Spotify playlist is a library Curation neutral, contents rebel: A zoo is a library Curation rebel, contents purist: A street library is a library Curation rebel, contents neutral: A PC downloads folder is a library Curation rebel, contents rebel: A junk drawer is a library

📚

Flag of Amsterdam - Wikipedia

Ich: Irgendwas mit Pride und Kink findet hier statt, nur was, WAS? Bestimmt was Interessantes! Kaum lebt man mal ein paar Minuten auf dem Dorf und passt nicht auf, schon hat man keine Ahnung mehr, während die anderen ...
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flag_of_Amsterdam

<em>Population and Development Review</em> | Population Council Journal | Wiley Online Library In this study, we propose and evaluate a new framework for understanding “lowest-low” fertility in East Asia, emphasizing the link between the desire for children and marriage. Recognizing that delay....

My job market paper has finally found a home. In this paper, we examine the role of fertility desires as a new explanation for the decline in marriage in East Asia, where parenthood is an integral component of normative family expectations.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

YouTube video by Österreichische Akademie der Wissenschaften Francesco Billari: Demography and Hyperdiversity (Karl Popper-Lecture)

Jetzt zum Nachschauen 💻 Francesco Billiaris Vortrag zu #Demographie und Hyperdiversität an der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften findet ihr jetzt auf Youtube 👉 youtu.be/FzauvBgslvM?... @demographyvienna.bsky.social

Now out in the American Sociological Review

We present the first large-scale assessment of the structure and evolution of temporalities expressed in U.S. climate change news coverage (2000 to 2021). For this, we analyzed more than 23,000 statements about climate change effects and actions. 🧵 1/

⚠️ New WP ⚠️ with @ftorche.bsky.social: Can childhood exposure to local wealth inequality help explain growing class gaps in income mobility? Short answer: Yes! Read the full answer here: doi.org/10.31235/osf... #Demography #Sociology #EconSky

Thrilled that I can now pay the RC28 conference fee in easy installments!

This looks relevant if you are interested in the ONS Longitudinal Study:

The Ego Trip Continuing or occasion series of “Woman on Unlikely Pilgrimages” (Daphné Tamage on the trail of John Fante, or the same en français), today we bring you Hadas Weiss on a very different sort of trail.

last summer i went on a pilgrimage. you'll never believe what happened next
www.the-hinternet.com/p/the-ego-tr...

Abstract This paper provides the fi rst systematic evidence on intergenerational wealth mobility in Germany using newly harmonized wealth data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) spanning nearly three decades (1988–2017). Linking parents and their adult children, we estimate intergenerational rank–rank correlations (IRRC) in net wealth to assess the persistence of relative wealth positions across generations. We fi nd substantial wealth persistence in Germany, with an IRRC of around 0.25. Strikingly, this association remains highly stable across two observation windows (1988–2002 and 2002–2017), despite pronounced changes in the macroeconomic and institutional environment. Mobility curves indicate that the rank–rank relationship is approximately linear and exhibits little evidence of strong non-linearities at the top or bottom of the parental wealth distribution. We further document limited heterogeneity by off spring gender and birth cohort, and show that controlling for parental income and education attenuates the IRRC only modestly, suggesting that wealth captures an additional dimension of socioeconomic advantage beyond standard indicators of parental background. In an international perspective, Germany exhibits lower intergenerational wealth persistence than the United States. Exploratory evidence suggests that cross-country diff erences in homeownership may account for a sizable part of this gap, highlighting the potential role of housing-related institutions in shaping intergenerational wealth mobility.

scatter plot titled “The Great Gatsby Curve in Wealth.” X-axis: Wealth inequality in 2005 (more inequality to the right). Y-axis: Intergenerational wealth correlation (higher values mean less mobility). Countries country United States, Sweden, Italy, Taiwan, Norway, Germany, South Korea, Denmark, France, Australia, Japan inear trend line (slope ≈ 0.46) shows a positive relationship: countries with greater wealth inequality tend to have higher intergenerational wealth correlation, meaning lower wealth mobility. The United States and Sweden toward the upper-right; Denmark and France are lower-left; Germany in the right-middle.

Interesting working paper on wealth mobility in Germany by Markus Grabka, @pmlersch.bsky.social, @smaexie.bsky.social, and @drschnitzlein.bsky.social population-economics.committee.socialpolitik.de/sites/defaul...

Oh yes that's been going on for 100 years (no hyperbole) if you know who is winning do let me know

I think the way that sociology works as a discipline is that these different sociologies exist like parallel universes that are fully ignorant of one another

The future of peer review

🧵on my new paper "Synthetic personas distort the structure of human belief systems" w Roberto Cerina I'm v excited about...

🚨 Do synthetic samples look like human samples?

We compare 28 LLMs to the 2024 General Social Survey (GSS) to find out + develop host of diagnostics...

Rethinking Gender and Other Seemingly Nonmanipulable Characteristics for Causal Analysis - KZfSS Kölner Zeitschrift für Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie Identifying the causes of social inequality is crucial for designing effective policy interventions. Experimental methods, in which variables are manipulated and participants are randomly assigned to ...

📢 New publication!

Together with @dariatisch.bsky.social, I’m happy to share our new article bringing gender into a key methodological debate on how to answer causal questions.

🔗 link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Cities in Action | Columbia University Press As national governments and global institutions fail to address climate change, an increasing number of cities have committed to major sustainability and cli... | CUP

🧵 IT'S OUT! My book Cities in Action is now available from Columbia University Press. Why do some cities step up on climate while others stay on the sidelines? And how can we not just explain but empower city action? @columbiaup.bsky.social cup.columbia.edu/book/cities-...

Info #ActiveTigger 🐯 Avec Axel Morin, on présentera Active Tigger (qui avance vers sa v1) au séminaire GARNET (CERES) le 19 mars datarights.huma-num.fr/events/categ...

NEW: Vida Maralani, Camille Portier, Berkay Özcan, "Early Childhood Investments and Women’s Work Outcomes across the Life Course" sociologicalscience.com/articles-v13...

Example for the two staged unsupervised machine learning algorithm using point data as input. Backlayer maps depict Hamburg. The map shows neighborhoods in different sizes and forms, sometimes following administrative borders (black lines) sometimes not. Three differently colored neighborhood types are displayed, each representing a different social group of residents.

xample for the two staged unsupervised machine learning algorithm using 500x500m grid cells as input. Backlayer maps depict Hamburg. The map shows large neighborhoods in different sizes and forms, sometimes following administrative borders (black lines) sometimes not. Three differently colored neighborhood types are displayed, each representing a different social group of residents.

Looking for a measure of #neighborhoods, micro or macro #segregation?

I've got something for you!

My newly published paper in Sociological Methods & Research presents a machine-learning-based algorithm to delineate neighborhoods with grid-cell or point data:
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

This is one heck of a study by the Ohio State credit data crew, led by Alec Rhodes.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...

I've seen him present on it a few times. Very excited to see it out in print.

[WID.world update]

Our R and Stata tools are now upgraded to support larger downloads (database grew fast and some workflows were failing). New releases are live on CRAN (R) and SSC (Stata).

Previous fails with Java-related errors should now run.

Problems? stats@wid.world

@wid.world

📢 In this Social Forces article, I introduce occupational elitism as a novel measure of social closure: the share of upper-class background workers within an occupation.

Its consequences for earnings stratification can be examined using a social closure theory lens.

🔓 doi.org/10.1093/sf/s...

Yale FDS Conference on May 21-22: AI for Social Science Methodology. Registration is opening soon.

Why does a worse candidate win? Or an inferior song dominate?

New article with @alexgelas.bsky.social, @pantelispa.bsky.social & Gaël Le Mens.

We show that often once A becomes even slightly more popular than B, people choose A much more often.

www.science.org/doi/pdf/10.1...

For the second year, BSPS @bspsuk.bsky.social will host a session on queer demography!

It focuses on LGBTQIA+ populations, experiences, and demographic processes (e.g. dating, families, health).
Questions? Contact @mortenkthomsen.bsky.social or me.

Please share!
www.lse.ac.uk/internationa...

Happy to share our new paper published in PNAS!

Using epigenetic clocks and egocentric network data, we find each additional "hassler" in your close social network is associated with ~9 months of extra biological age and 1.5% faster pace of aging.

line graph showing cumulative socarxiv papers, starting in 2016, with an upward kink in 2025

SocArXiv accepted 3,162 new papers in 2025, an increase of 20% over 2024. As we are now accepting only social science papers, and turning away new papers on technical AI topics, this seems to reflect an increase in (human) social science. Thanks for sharing, social scientists!