Sunset Shazz

The NFL equivalent of “money illusion” is anchoring on nominal dollars in a world where the salary cap has been increasing at 85th percentile rates of change. It compounds quickly - at the post-COVID rate, it doubles every 7.5 years.

Mark Davis moves his team from Oakland, acknowledges it honestly.

Jed York moves his team from San Francisco, gaslights the whole world.

I think the world learned today that it's fraudulent for the Santa Clara 49ers, New Jersey Giants, etc., to make false geographic claims. Let's please enforce a modicum of truth in advertising.

Utterly pathetic.

They just showed Bayes’s theorem in a Super Bowl advertisement.

(Past performance may not be indicative of future results.)

Both Howie Roseman (lengthy sample size) and Nick Sirianni (small sample size) have a track record of handling success poorly, yet meeting setbacks with resilience and subsequent glory.

The Relentless Joy and Genius of Dan McQuade We Just Lost a Legend. And for Many of Us, a Dear Friend.

Many great McQuade posts going around, and this is one of them
jgoodtimes.substack.com/p/the-relent...

“Madame, it is an august institute of higher knowledge” I replied in my head.

I’m sad that Stoutland is gone, but we should not be afraid of change. Change is badly needed. Embrace change; avoid complacency.

A few months ago I was at a kid’s activity and one mom pointed to my t-shirt and said “tell me about this Jeff Stoutland University”.

Sean Mannion, Josh Grizzard WILL FIX what ails Jalen Hurts & Eagles offense YouTube video by PHLY Sports

Talked a little about Dan on the show today

www.youtube.com/live/E3ZEVuf...

Since 1994, the average annual salary cap growth has been 7.0%. Assuming 2026 is in the middle of the quoted range, it would represent 8.7% growth, which is a 75th percentile increase over the past 32 years.

Tom is one of the very few writers where I share the piece before I have read it, because I know it will be good, and that it will be worth our time.

Dan McQuade wrote in a singular, Philadelphia-inflected voice. He brought prolific energy to the beat (posting a dozen times a day at PhilyMag). He had a deep understanding of the Philadelphia sports fan because he was one of us. What a tremendous loss. Gutted for his family, for his 2 year old. 💔

Devastated to be seeing the news about Dan McQuade's passing. He was a great writer and great person, the best and most Philly person I've ever known. I was lucky to have read his work and to have been able to call him a friend. Love you @dhm.bsky.social, what a void you'll leave behind.

Dan McQuade, 1983–2026 | Defector Dan McQuade, our friend and colleague, died this week at the age of 43. He is survived by his wife and young son. At the end of 2024, Dan was diagnosed with neuroendocrine cancer. The news of his…

Dan McQuade, 1983–2026: defector.com/dan-mcquade-...

2026 kimchi put to bed. Sleep tight, my love.

(As always, we follow the great @maangchi.com’s recipe and directions - highly recommend.)

The best playcaller in Eagles history - a future hall of famer - had zero playcalling experience when he was hired. Everybody has to have a first time.

I think the remaining OC candidates with playcalling experience are adversely selected. It is correct to broaden the search to up-and-comers in the NFL or college coaches.

Better to ask for forgiveness.

The Niners are investigating wacky, pseudoscientific nonsense, when the answer to their injury issues is prosaic: their player usage, practice and training camps all ignore modern soft tissue injury-preventing load management techniques. It’s that simple. What an unbelievably stupid org.

Some very detailed on-the-record scheme analysis from Eagles Safeties Coach Joe Kasper in this excellent piece.

Even setting declining roster quality aside, the issue many of us have had with the offense for years is it feels like by using a vanilla system, they're underperforming their talent. It seems clear to me that they need someone to think creatively to maximize the talent that is actually on the team.

NO SEÑOR! NO SEÑOR!!!

Matt Nagy won coach of the year in 2018 because Vic Fangio is a wizard (20th in offensive DVOA, 1st in defensive DVOA).

I'm a huge fan of wardrobe analytics. I missed that, but your description has me concerned.

The house money effect is a cognitive bias that distorts decision-making. Some people understand; others don’t. IYKYK.

Good ownership is the only durable alpha in the NFL, which is why I wish we knew something - anything - about Julian Lurie. Jeffrey has been an exceptional owner; Julian remains an enigma.

I have a 118-player sample from the last ten drafts classes

In that sample, Jalen Hurts ranks 11th in pct of throws to that area of the field in his last year of college (16.7%), the 90th percentile result

His passer rating of 119.2 on those throws is above 80th percentile