SurveyUSA

Whoever next polls NJ, can we please crosstab by "sauce" vs. "gravy" and by capicola vs., sigh, "gabagool?" I've got a theory.

(Calamari with the i, calamar without the i, and, again sighing, "galamad" as well, I guess.)

5 months out, I know, I know...

31% Would Support Peacefully Dividing United States Into Two or More Separate Countries...
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In April, SurveyUSA debuted a trackable "Optimism Index," asking US adults if they felt "optimistic and excited" or "hopeless and defeated" about the country. +3 in April, but -2 today, a 5-point swing toward pessimism.
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Dark Days Ahead? Majorities Expect to See Once Unthinkable Uses of Federal Power Against Press, Arrests for Beliefs, Troops Firing on Citizens:

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24% say ICE should be eliminated as a federal agency, including 40% of Democrats, compared with 26% of independents and 5% of Republicans. Another 18% say ICE should be reduced in size – a combined total of 42% who want the agency to shrink or disappear entirely.

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Masks for Halloween? Not for ICE workers, say majority of US adults.

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By 15-Point Margin, Americans Say ICE Focusing on Wrong People:

SurveyUSA's latest nationwide research shows 47% of adults say the immigration enforcement actions being conducted by ICE are focused on the wrong people. 32% say they're focused on the right people.

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55% say things in the US are off on the wrong track, with just 1/3 saying things are headed in the right direction. When those who say things are on the wrong track are asked if they'll get worse before they get better, sentiment is near-universal and pessimistic.

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77% say they and their family are taxed too much; just 5% say they aren't taxed enough. When asked about the wealthiest people in America, those numbers flip, with 65% saying billionaires aren't taxed enough and 15% saying billionaires are taxed too much.

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SurveyUSA's latest exclusive nationwide research shows 52% of American workers would be in very serious financial trouble within two months of losing their jobs, with nearly 1 in 3 hitting that crisis point even sooner.
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NEW @surveyusa.bsky.social poll from New York City:

✅ 96% of NYC voters say #RankedChoiceVoting is simple
✅ 76% want to keep or expand RCV

More results & link to full analysis in thread ⬇️

SurveyUSA's first look at NJ Gov:

🔵 Sherrill: 51% (+13)
🔴 Ciattarelli: 38%

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Former Gov. Andrew Cuomo, Once Disgraced, Now Leads in NYC Dem Primary for Mayor ... But Ranked Choice Voting Makes Winner Less Clear:
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When Dems do find ways to take action, few are confident their actions will make a difference: 19% say they are extremely confident their actions will make a difference, while 40% are unsure, 27% are doubtful, and 14% are extremely sure their actions will not make any difference.

Just 28% say they feel Democrats have a clear strategy for opposing Trump in Washington, and almost the same number, 27%, feel Democratic leadership has given them direction on how to oppose Trump themselves.

By an overwhelming majority, 76% to 20%, Dems say their representatives in Congress should fight harder against Trump's agenda, not find ways to compromise with the administration. Support for compromise is anemic across the board.

Just 23% of Dem voters say the party's response to Trump's 2nd term has so far been either excellent (7%) or good (16%); 68% have a negative view, with 25% calling the response "only fair," 22% "poor," and 21% saying it is "unacceptable." 31% of Latino Dems say the party's response is unacceptable.

Dem Rank-and-File Unimpressed With Party Response to Trump, Want Dems in Congress to Fight, Not Compromise; Don't See Strategy, Direction:

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Common Ground to Become Even Less Common? Few Democrats, Fewer Republicans Say They Want to See Their Parties Become More Moderate:
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66% of registered voters nationwide say they more agree that "Government should do more to solve problems and help meet the needs of people."

27% say they more agree that "Government is doing too many things which are better left to businesses and individuals."

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Significant Majorities of Voters Want Government to do More, not Less to Solve Problems Throughout the United States:
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38% "optimistic & excited," 35% "hopeless & defeated," 12% felt some other way. Word cloud of the responses from that 12%:

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38% of voters today say they feel "optimistic and excited" about the country, narrowly edging out the 35% who say they feel "hopeless and defeated." Subtracting "hopeless and defeated" from "optimistic and excited" produces our "Optimism Index," at +3 today.

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Will there even be an election for President in 2028? Just 9% find it unlikely (4% say it will not happen at all, 5% say it is very unlikely), while 80% say it is absolutely likely (63%) or somewhat likely (17%):

www.surveyusa.com/client/PollR...

MAGA Republicans – But No One Else – Believe Trump is Eligible to Run for Third Term:

1 in 5 voters nationwide say they believe Donald Trump is eligible to run for a 3rd term as President, including a near-majority, 49%, of MAGA-identifying Republicans:

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Increasing tax rates on those earning more than $1 million annually is broadly popular as well, with 55% strongly in support, 24% somewhat in support. MAGA Republicans are the least supportive here, at 59% overall, compared to 75% of non-MAGA Republicans.

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Requiring all companies to provide paid maternity leave is strongly supported by 54% of all voters, somewhat supported by 27%; just 13% oppose.

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Support for ensuring Americans pay no more for prescription drugs than people in Canada do has similarly strong support nationwide, with 61% strongly in support and 24% saying they somewhat support this proposal.
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