Marshall Shepherd

So many people think info from Apps come from the weather fairy

Thank you

Prepare for these responses....... Land is sinking, politically-biased instrumentation, it was higher XXX years ago and varies naturally, Covid vaccines did it....Sigh

Why insurers worry the world could soon become uninsurable Günther Thallinger, a board member at Allianz, one of the world's biggest insurers, says the climate crisis could make adaptation economically unviable.

Coming to an insurance payment near you....The "so whats?" Of Climate Change
www.cnbc.com/2025/08/08/c...

The article mentions some ways there approach is less energy intensive

Good time to remind folks to be wary of anyone posting forecast model maps without the important caveats mentioned in this article. This storm isn’t even a tropical depression yet.

This is in next 2 weeks

AI Predicts An East Coast Hurricane Soon - 3 Reasons For Caution An AI-based weather model predicts a hurricane along the U.S. East Coast in less than 2 weeks. Here are 3 reasons to be cautious with this forecast right now.

A European AI modeling system is being particularly aggressive with a forecast for a US East Coast hurricane. You may have seen it in social media-rology posts. However, here are 3 cautions that I offer. Hope you read this from several perspectives.
www.forbes.com/sites/marsha...

Sir I am a professor and meteorologist, I definitely understand statistics, probability and climatology. Nothing is absolute..but the bigger point of article is about the poor weather decision. Cheers

I also stated that July is the wettest month and presented a graphic that shows wettest months for the Bristol area specifically not Tennessee as a whole

My article explains the better months to try it.

“Motivated Reasoning” is probably the number one problem when communicating weather and climate information

Dr. Shepherd includes important insight into "motivated reasoning" in his essay below.

Rain At Bristol Speedway Classic Was Well-Predicted. So Why Play? The MLB Speedway Classic baseball game between the Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds was a well-predicted rainfest. So why did they try to play?

My breakdown on the weather and climate information that should have informed MLB on its game between the Reds and Braves at Bristol Motor Speedway last night. Because that was an epic fail. They will try again today
www.forbes.com/sites/marsha...

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Per Braves vs Reds NASCAR spectacle. This was the NWS Morristown TN discussion Sunday morning and afternoon...In other words, MLB should not have been surprised

On the MLB debacle at Bristol. The forecast always called for rain. Classic example of motivated reasoning

Braves vs Reds at Bristol Motor Speedway = Epic Fail. It's raining and they are still trying to play. #negligence

DataWISE. Detecting misinformation and disinformation. Check out tool at ncse.ngo/datawise

Islands, too.

Safeguarding Sound Science Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App Safeguarding Sound Science from the National Center for Science Education combats misinformation, disinformation, and misconceptions about climate change with a

In Greensboro NC attending National Center for Science Education Board Meeting. It is protecting sound science in the U.S. at a critical time when climate science, vaccines and evolution are being spun in odd ways. Check out their Safeguarding Sound Science podcast
www.podbean.com/podcast-deta...

Why The Russian Earthquake Caused A Weaker Tsunami Plus 4 Other Facts 5 things you need to know about tsunamis, including why the recent one associated with the Russian earthquake was relatively weak.

My 101 on tsunamis and speculation on why the recent one associated with the M8.8 earthquake in Russia was rather muted.
www.forbes.com/sites/marsha...

Dr. Marshall Shepherd

Yes I read it...umm. yikes

Great picture captured by Channel 11 WXIA Webcam here in Atlanta. Great example of how perception of whether the forecast for rain was accurate can vary by location....And why probability forecasts are used for rain

Average temperature for July 29th here in this part of Georgia is around 90 deg F. My current reading in shade at 345 pm.....Almost 10 degrees above normal....

‘Backdrop of climate warming’ plays into extreme Georgia heat. What to know Georgia’s latest heat wave isn’t just typical July weather. Scientists say climate change is making these extremes hotter, stickier—and more dangerous.

Kudos to this reporter for capturing my full comments as intended throughout this article
www.macon.com/news/environ...

8 Things to Know About New Research on Earth’s Rapid Drying and the Loss of Its Groundwater Decades of NASA satellite data reveal how quickly the planet’s underground stores of fresh water have been depleted and how their use is contributing to rising sea levels. Here are the key takeaways.

...
www.propublica.org/article/grou...

#climatepollution

Tampa Hits 100 Degrees For The First Time In Recorded History On Sunday, Tampa, Florida reached an air temperature of 100 degrees for the first time since record-keeping began in 1890. Here's why that may be surprsing to us.

ICYMI...Tampa, Florida hits 100 degrees for the 1sr time in recorded history on Sunday. The Weather and Climate perspective on this surprising all-time record
www.forbes.com/sites/marsha...

Right, I have discussed how 100+ deg is not meant for Pac NW...many places no AC

I grew up in Tampa and even I’m surprised by this.