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PyMC Labs

@pymc-labs.bsky.social

The Bayesian AI Consultancy • Using PyMC to solve your most challenging data science problems • http://pymc-labs.com

1,341 Followers  |  2 Following  |  134 Posts  |  Joined: 19.11.2024
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Posts by PyMC Labs (@pymc-labs.bsky.social)

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MMM SKILLs by juanitorduz · Pull Request #2354 · pymc-labs/pymc-marketing Add initial MMM skills. 📚 Documentation preview 📚: https://pymc-marketing--2354.org.readthedocs.build/en/2354/

LLMs give surface-level MMM advice

So we built AI skills for pymc-marketing that know how to set priors, handle adstock carryover, and run budget optimization.

They ship with the repo and work in #Cursor/#Claude
👉Github Repo: dub.link/e5qeoQE

#PyMC #MediaMixModeling

03.03.2026 14:54 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Our Sports Analytics Team is heading to #SSAC26!

Join us for a hands-on workshop on Bayesian Spatial Modeling of #NHL goaltending. From shot difficulty to rink-wide scoring probability, see #PyMC in action!

👇 dub.link/qMEf0Ni

#SportsAnalytics #BayesianModeling #Hockey

03.03.2026 14:51 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Improving AI Agent Performance with Domain-Specific Skills | PyMC Benchmark Study A controlled benchmark comparing base LLM performance to skill-augmented AI agents for Bayesian modeling. Domain skills significantly improve convergence, model specification, and reliability.

We gave Claude a 15-page PyMC best-practices cheat sheet.
Pass rates jumped from 60% → 93%.

Hardest tasks saw the biggest gains:
• Stochastic volatility: 0% → 67%
• Runtime: 19 min → <3 min
and more ..

👉Benchmark: dub.link/KZxxZfQ
👉 Get the skill: hub.decision.ai/skills/pymc-...

#BayesianModeling

26.02.2026 14:27 — 👍 7    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 1
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Your next focus group might be synthetic🤖

Traditional Research is slow, expensive, and limits testing. Synthetic consumers help you simulate feedback and iterate faster.

We put together a practical guide on #SyntheticConsumers : dub.link/jczwvFL

#MarketResearch #AI

23.02.2026 14:30 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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We’ve been building agentic data science systems; the hardest part isn’t execution, it’s knowing if an agent’s conclusions can be trusted.

Join our webinar on Feb 25 with #PyMC Labs to learn how we catch failures & build trust

👉 dub.link/SUHEjct

#AgenticDataScience #MMM

18.02.2026 15:13 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Predicting Swinging Strikes with Bayesian Additive Regression Trees Learn how Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) model MLB whiff rates using Statcast pitch physics, quantifying pitch quality with uncertainty.

How do #MLB teams evaluate pitchers behind the scenes? ⚾

We use Bayesian Additive Regression Trees to isolate pitcher skill from defense and park effects.

See why BART outperforms XGBoost for building pitch quality metrics 👉 dub.link/McvDt9S

#Baseball #SportsAnalytics

16.02.2026 14:12 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1
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#Bayesian causal inference is about generative mechanisms, not just correlations.

Learn how to encode causal assumptions and simulate counterfactuals in our Applied Bayesian Regression Modeling course.

Registration still open 👇
dub.link/PKrUYFP

#PyMC #CausalInference

11.02.2026 13:18 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Bayesian regression shouldn’t stop at good fit and nice plots.

Our Applied Bayesian Regression Modeling course shows how to build models that drive real decisions using #PyMC & #Bambi

👉 Learn more & enroll: dub.link/x1K1vz4

#AppliedRegression #Analytics #DecisionMaking

09.02.2026 14:16 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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PyMC-Marketing just hit 1M downloads on GitHub 🙌

Huge thanks to the open-source community; this is just the beginning.

Explore the repo 👉 dub.link/KB2XwIK

#PyMCMarketing #OpenSource #MarketingScience #MMM

09.02.2026 13:46 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Stop testing AI agents like software.
Start testing them like Data Scientists.

Learn how we build scientific guardrails for agent reliability. Register for our Feb 25 webinar 👇

dub.link/p9IiuT1

#GenAI #AgenticAI #AIEngineering #BayesianModeling #PyMC #MLOps

04.02.2026 13:47 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Stop burning budget on ad creatives that haven’t been tested. A/B test your ads against synthetic U.S. consumers before you launch!

Less guesswork. Lower risk.

👉 Test your creatives: dub.link/oFT1mle

#AdTesting #MarketingScience #SyntheticConsumers

02.02.2026 14:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Learn Bayesian regression modeling from the people building #PyMC, #Bambi & #CausalPy.

4 weeks. Live sessions. Real-world use cases.

👉 Registration now open: dub.link/2CDdYLK

#BayesianStatistics #Baysian

02.02.2026 14:14 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Bayesian #MarketingAnalytics isn’t about complicated math. It’s about making decisions under uncertainty.

Our #PyMC Labs’ 5-step MMM workflow shows how to go from raw data → probabilistic decisions → real-world action.

👉 Join the course: dub.link/zxxlnd6

#MMM #Bayesian

29.01.2026 15:49 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Agentic Data Science isn’t about syntax; it’s about reasoning under uncertainty.

On Feb 25, we will break down how we engineer trust into modelling agents at #PyMC_Labs

👉 Signup here: dub.link/M02HlTF

#AgenticAI #DataScience #AgenticDataScience

29.01.2026 14:37 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Bayesian MMM as a decision engine 🧠

Causal funnels with PyMC-Marketing, optimized with PyTensor, and explored via marimo with interactive counterfactuals.

Full walkthrough by Teemu Säilynoja 👇
dub.link/I4o42dP

#PyMC #MMM #MarketingAnalytics

28.01.2026 13:43 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Creative A/B testing shouldn’t take weeks.

We just launched Synthetic Consumers, for instant research-grade feedback on what actually resonates with audiences.

Test more. Decide faster. Improve ROI.

👉 Try it here: dub.link/fKdMNGr
#productLaunch #MarketingTech #MarketResearch

27.01.2026 15:04 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Contributing to CausalPy: A Comprehensive Guide for Python Developers Enjoy the videos and music you love, upload original content, and share it all with friends, family, and the world on YouTube.

Want to build the future of decision intelligence?

Join #PyMC Labs in contributing to #CausalPy; open-source, Bayesian-powered causal inference for real-world problems.

🚀Watch onboarding: dub.link/3hk7lU0
🧩GitHub: github.com/pymc-labs/Ca...

#CausalInference #OpenSource

27.01.2026 13:36 — 👍 5    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Overconfident CLV models are quietly costing your marketing team millions. 📉

Learn directly from the team behind #PyMC in our #Bayesian Marketing Analytics course.

Quantify uncertainty & make smarter decisions.

🔗Register now: dub.link/gb2YOyp

#MarketingAnalytics #CLV

26.01.2026 15:42 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Mastering Media Saturation: New Technical Guide for PyMC-Marketing

Visualize diminishing returns and optimize budget allocation with our new technical guide.

👉 Check for the full notebook and the underlying implementation here: dub.link/UaF3IZm

#MMM #Bayesian #PyMC

26.01.2026 14:09 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Struggling to turn marketing data into confident decisions?

Our new Bayesian Marketing Analytics course helps you optimize budgets, model uncertainty, simulate scenarios & act on insights.

Registration open now 👉 dub.link/3AmKMh6

#MarketingAnalytics #Bayesian

22.01.2026 17:08 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Stop wasting marketing budget on broken attribution!

Our Bayesian Marketing Analytics Course with Tim McWilliams, Colt Allen, Carlos Agostini & Ben Vincent helps you master marketing ROI.

👉 Register now: dub.link/zggZctl

#Bayesian #MarketingStrategy #PyMC

15.01.2026 13:53 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Agentic Causal Inference is here! 🙌

By connecting cursor to marimo via MCP, Gemini 3 Pro can execute and iterate on CausalPy models in real-time. From automated sensitivity analysis to Bayesian transparency!

👉Watch: ggl.link/Ifw0lVt

#CausalPy #AgenticAI

14.01.2026 13:33 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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🚨 Final Call: Master Bayesian Modeling with the creators of #PyMC!

Learn from @allendowney.bsky.social , Chris Fonnesbeck & Vianey Leos Barajas in this 4-week course.

🗓 Starts: Monday, Jan 12
⏳ Reg Closes: Tomorrow!

Register: dub.link/cLOwlUm

#Bayesian

08.01.2026 16:34 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Decisions without uncertainty are gambles.

Final week to join our Applied #Bayesian Modeling course starting Jan 12. Master the workflow with @allendowney.bsky.social , Chris Fonnesbeck, and Vianey Leos Barajas.

👉 Sign up today: dub.link/WTOSi6n

#PyMC #DataScience

06.01.2026 15:36 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 1
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Introducing: The Bayesian Marketing Analytics Course by PyMC Labs.

Stop guessing if your ROI is real or just market noise. Master uncertainty-aware decision rules and causal inference in a course led by #PyMC lead practitioners.

Join our February cohort: dub.link/AHtL0NY

05.01.2026 14:03 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Most New Year resolutions focus on adding tools. In 2026, the real gap is trust. Move beyond "another model" and master the science of uncertainty.

Join our Applied #Bayesian Modeling Course on Jan 12 to build systems stakeholders rely on.

Register here: dub.link/y7LTPNO

31.12.2025 15:32 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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What is the best way to master #Bayesian methods?
Ask our students!

Chris Hires says the feedback loop with @allendowney.bsky.social , Chris Fonnesbeck, & Vianey Leos Barajas is a game changer for meeting modeling goals.

Stop guessing, start building.
Jan cohort: dub.link/fYUT3jk

29.12.2025 17:06 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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PyMC-Marketing hits 1,000 stars on GitHub!

From an ambitious 2023 project to a global Marketing measurement standard. Replacing black box models with #Bayesian rigor.

A massive thank you to our community and the #PyMC Labs team for building this robust ecosystem together.

19.12.2025 18:21 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Bayesian Spatial Modeling for Evaluating Hockey Goaltending Performance Discover how Bayesian spatial modeling provides a more accurate and nuanced evaluation of hockey goaltender performance. Learn how spatial shot data and probabilistic methods reveal deeper insights in...

Hockey goaltending stats are noisy. We used #Bayesian spatial models to separate skill from luck, creating a fairer framework for scouting.

See how Gaussian Processes clarify performance and improve decision-making.

👉 dub.link/TBq8CKy

#SportsAnalytics #PyMC #Bayesian

17.12.2025 14:44 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Registration is now open for the Jan 2026 Applied #Bayesian Modeling Workshop!

Hands-on guidance from #PyMC Labs experts, practical Bayesian modeling you can use right away. Starting Jan 12.

Seats are limited → dub.link/ds6cgc7

15.12.2025 13:49 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0