's Avatar

@douglasbshaw.bsky.social

Imaginary provost of the make-believe university of human survival; promoting the creation and dissemination of knowledge to prevent nuclear war

1,026 Followers  |  991 Following  |  394 Posts  |  Joined: 08.09.2023
Posts Following

Posts by (@douglasbshaw.bsky.social)

Preview
Why The Navy Should Retire TLAM-N The Tomahawk Land Attack Missile, or TLAM, is named after the Tomahawk β€” a Native American axe. If you have ever seen a Western movie, the tomahawk [...]

I wrote this up in 2009 when there was a debate about whether to retire the nuclear-armed Tomahawk. One reason the Navy supported retirement was the concern of crashing nuclear-armed cruise missiles into countries like Japan and Korea.
www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/2025...

08.03.2026 22:08 β€” πŸ‘ 67    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Using Starship to facilitate one-way suicide missions is perhaps an under discussed concept tho...

06.03.2026 22:28 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a man with glasses and a beard is standing next to another man with a surprised look on his face . ALT: a man with glasses and a beard is standing next to another man with a surprised look on his face .

Authoritarian adversaries weaponizing existing AI while everyone focuses on what future AI might do on its own.

07.03.2026 13:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
06.03.2026 20:36 β€” πŸ‘ 248    πŸ” 27    πŸ’¬ 31    πŸ“Œ 0

I sure hope it’s all in one place neatly packaged and clearly labeled with its correct isotopic composition (spoiler alert: it never is)

06.03.2026 21:28 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
"It is obvious that the immediate destruction of the complete list of 66 cities would have an even more devastating effect on Russia" The earliest postwar American planning for waging a full-scale nuclear war from 1945

This week, for DOOMSDAY MACHINES: A dive into the military imagination of full-scale nuclear war, drawn up while the embers of World War II were still warm… doomsdaymachines.net/p/it-is-obvi...

06.03.2026 16:42 β€” πŸ‘ 38    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Trump Says 'I Guess' Americans Should Worry About Iran Retaliating on U.S. Soil: 'Like I Said, Some People Will Die' In an interview with 'Time,' President Donald Trump acknowledged the possibility that Iran retaliates with attacks on U.S. soil, saying, 'We think about it all the time. We plan for it'

Trump on terrorist attacks in America: β€œLike I said, some people will die. When you go to war, some people will die."

06.03.2026 01:03 β€” πŸ‘ 2748    πŸ” 1021    πŸ’¬ 555    πŸ“Œ 446
Preview
Stand Up for Science 2026 - Boston, MA Boston is joining the Stand Up for Science national day of action! Join us at the Parkman Bandstand for speakers, chants, and actions.

Oppose the Trump team's efforts to gut the science engine of innovation that has improved American (and global) lives and contributed so much to the American economy and American security. I'll be there tomorrow!

www.eventbrite.com/e/stand-up-f...?

06.03.2026 13:18 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Anti-thesis: humans use shape their tools to their need

Synthesis: tools and users co-construct each other

06.03.2026 14:47 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a penguin with a red white and blue headband is holding a stick ALT: a penguin with a red white and blue headband is holding a stick

All tools shape their users.

06.03.2026 14:43 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

The military hegemon in a relatively high trust, open world can no doubt make out quite well for a while, but ultimately the world adjusts to predation

05.03.2026 23:02 β€” πŸ‘ 109    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

The Threads of March

06.03.2026 00:45 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Exclusive | The dark secret behind the furious Bad Bunny Super Bowl controversy that divided America Bad BunnyΒ was targeted by the bad guys!

pagesix.com/2026/03/05/h...

06.03.2026 00:37 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Inside of me there are 2 wolves

06.03.2026 00:24 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Congresswoman going deep into the Colby lore

05.03.2026 18:04 β€” πŸ‘ 48    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 3
Video thumbnail

PAT RYAN: 'Does the US want to be the policeman of the Middle East getting nothing but spending precious lives & trillions.' Rng a bell?

COLBY: Defer to you

R: That was Trump. How about this - 'we simply cannot afford to get enmeshed in a Middle East war'

C: Defer to you

R: That was actually you

05.03.2026 17:27 β€” πŸ‘ 4752    πŸ” 1373    πŸ’¬ 135    πŸ“Œ 81
Preview
three men standing next to each other with the words you keep using that word ALT: three men standing next to each other with the words you keep using that word

Using the word β€œdeterrence” to mean β€œdominance” would be a really stupid way for the world to end.

Deterrence is for when dominance is unavailable

05.03.2026 18:05 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a man wearing a shirt with penguins on it stands in front of a window ALT: a man wearing a shirt with penguins on it stands in front of a window
05.03.2026 17:58 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Deterrence still runs on rat choice, right?

05.03.2026 17:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Gee I wonder why Taiwan would support Ukraine

05.03.2026 17:52 β€” πŸ‘ 375    πŸ” 36    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a woman in a red bodysuit is behind a cage ALT: a woman in a red bodysuit is behind a cage

What if a nuclear deterrence architecture designed for the 20th Century isn’t fit to purpose in the 21st?

05.03.2026 17:42 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

LFG!!!!

05.03.2026 17:02 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
LikeWar – The Weaponization of Social Media

Adversaries who target our people’s β€œinner demons” demand new kinds of countermeasures.

www.likewarbook.com

05.03.2026 15:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ”₯

shame that innovation for deterrence resilience didn’t get a row

03.03.2026 18:53 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a man riding a bike down a street with the words go around written below him ALT: a man riding a bike down a street with the words go around written below him

Innovate left of requirements

03.03.2026 18:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
This image is a promotional poster for an event by New America, featuring W.J. Hennigan and Amy J. Nelson. It includes their photos and mentions a discussion titled "When Nuclear Danger Becomes Background Noise." The event is scheduled for March 4th, at 12 pm ET, online.

This image is a promotional poster for an event by New America, featuring W.J. Hennigan and Amy J. Nelson. It includes their photos and mentions a discussion titled "When Nuclear Danger Becomes Background Noise." The event is scheduled for March 4th, at 12 pm ET, online.

Join @wjhenn.bsky.social of @nytopinion.nytimes.com and New America's @amyjnelsonphd.bsky.social for a virtual conversation about nuclear risk and threat complacency.

πŸ“… Join us: March 4 at 12 pm ET https://go.newamerica.org/when-nuclear-danger-becomes-noise-5

03.03.2026 18:05 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a man is laying on a couch with his hand on his face ALT: a man is laying on a couch with his hand on his face

Treaties are indicators of behavior, not determinants of behavior.

03.03.2026 18:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

French President Emmanuel Macron has just given a truly remarkable speech on France's nuclear policy at a moment of great anxiety in Europe. I wanted to offer an early comment. Welcome to the age of 'Dissuasion AvancΓ©e' in Europe.

New post: panda.substack.com/p/dissuasion...

02.03.2026 15:31 β€” πŸ‘ 136    πŸ” 56    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 6
Preview
Suspect Guilty GIF ALT: Suspect Guilty GIF
01.03.2026 17:38 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
A Year Without USAID and What Comes Next
YouTube video by Council on Foreign Relations A Year Without USAID and What Comes Next

Watching this now.
youtu.be/2N2gDAUw_BU?...

01.03.2026 17:24 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2