Ed Kroc

Definitely the reason I prefer the quasi-likelihood approach for binomial regression.

This follows from first principles. Mean of a Bernoulli is p and var is p(1-p). In the log-reg setting, your estimating the mean via your (generalized) linear combo of predictors and their SEs are functions of the (residual) var. Hence, if the var is off, so too is the mean and vice versa.

There’s one month left to apply for the PhD position on interactions between contaminants and parasites in common terns, co-supervised by @alicecarravieri.bsky.social, Bernd Sures from @unidue.bsky.social and myself. You can do so here: euraxess.ec.europa.eu/jobs/380142

Interested in spatial ecology & One Health in urban gulls?
🧪 Join us at @imares-group.bsky.social @icmcsic.bsky.social as a #JdC postdoc in the #ALLIES project!
📅 Apply by Dec 10
📩 Contact: joan@icm.csic.es
🔗 See the call: acortar.link/yhYLRt
#Postdoc #AppliedEcology #UrbanEcology #OneHealth

Applications for the PhD and MSc programs in statistics at UBC are now open!

📆 Deadline for PhD program is December 1st
📆 Deadline for MSc program is January 5th

The department covers all areas of statistics and we have a lot of momentum in Bayesian computation!

That gorgeous black to white contrast! Reminds me of L. marinus.

I have one but it's much more stats oriented than eco (a little of that too though). Also, I can get my hands on others but need to be discreet. Can I email you?

To be fair, it's "lazy" because it's a theorem that requires a proof but often people just take it as definition. Casella and Berger were famously unhappy with the phrase LOTUS, taking a shot at Ross - who introduced the term - in their Statistical Inference text.

Would be interesting to formally quantify that though.

Yes, Spearman is not immune. It is quite literally a Pearson correlation on the rank data. But the deleterious effects are undoubtedly greatly mitigated because transforming data into ranks makes everything look more uniform, and uniform marginals will span the full theoretical -1 to +1 range.

Look to the rooftops.

It's been 10 years for me and I still can't bring myself to chuck them. Someday!

Lots of little gull floofs at the Tsawwassen ferry terminal this morning.

Haha, yes, that happens to me too! 😆 I think serious statisticians can make good arguments for most paradigms. But when it comes to non-statistician scientists appropriately applying them, I think the Fisherian approach is the most foolproof.

Science, unlike politics, is not about making binary decisions. It's about weighing available evidence and updating plausible beliefs. Those are continuous actions, not discrete.

That's a good post. I still think the Neyman-Pearson framework completely misses how science is typically done. Rarely do we believe a hypothesis by default. We just have one that aligns best with the evidence or absence thereof.

Building height continues to be the strongest predictor of nesting propensity for GWGUs.

Hello, Sechelt. There are two rooftop GW Gull nests in this picture. Can you guess where? Answer below.

In the UK, 2021-2023, 103,497 carcasses of 155 species tested for HPAI. Gannets, Black-headed Gulls, Barnacle Goose most affected. 7500 +ve for HPAI across 80 species. Mortality data to estimate impact.
👉 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Across 13 European countries, only 3 dead Little Terns found in 2022-2023, amongst tens of thousands of breeding birds. Surprising given how other tern species have been impacted.
👉 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Welcome! Looking forward to some gull content. 🌊🐥

Partial Niche Partitioning in Three Sympatric Gull Species Through Foraging Areas and Habitat Selection | doi.org/10.1002/ece3... | Ecology and Evolution | #ornithology #seabirds 🪶

the ivory gull, one of the most fascinating birds of the Far North!
It stays in the Arctic all winter and follows polar bears to feed on the leftovers of their kills — a brilliant and icy survival strategy ❄️🐻‍❄️
#birdart #wildlifeart #sketchbook #seabirds #natureillustration
🌿 #SciArt 🐡

More Arctic gulls! The Sabine’s gull is a beautiful bird I dream to see one day!
This watercolor is part of my “Arctic Larids” poster, available as a print in Maudeux Redbubble shop. #birdart #wildlifeart #sketchbook #sabinesgull #natureillustration #scientificillustration
🌿 #SciArt 🐡

Sketches of mediterranean gull characters. They are enjoying the sun with sunglasses and cocktail. The idea is to illustrate its wintering grounds—far from the cold of Northern Europe ❄️. So the bird is shown in its non-breeding plumage (yes, the black head is just for summer!)

Sketches of mediterranean gull characters. One is flying, an other one on the water and an other one is taking off its sunglasses.

Sketches of mediterranean gull characters. One has a breeding plumage and try to seduce a partner and the other one is looking at it's tags on its legs...

Sketches of the Mediterranean gull... I quite like the one sunbathing 😎
These humorous drawings are based on real biology!
#birdart #characterdesign #natureillustration #sketchbook #wildlifeart #MediterraneanGull #funnybirds #nonbreedingplumage
🌿 #SciArt 🐡 #FieldworkSketches

Vacancy — PhD Position Gull Foraging Ecology in the North Sea - NO-REGRETS Project Are you passionate about animal movement ecology? Interested in studying gull foraging ecology at sea? Apply for this unique PhD opportunity at the Department of Theoretical and Computational Ecology ...

New PhD position in our group! Join us to study gull foraging ecology at sea using GPS and accelerometry data! You will be working here Amsterdam Movement Ecology group under supervision of @judyshamounb.bsky.social, @rooskentie.bsky.social and me. Apply here werkenbij.uva.nl/en/vacancies...

I'm glad to see you and your family are all safe.

Weekend loveliness: retrapping a gull-billed tern carrying a GPS and getting to know a few of the newest colony members.

I always liked Maugham.

Haha, yes, that is a great observation! 😂