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David Gerth

@davidgerth5.bsky.social

518 Followers  |  186 Following  |  74 Posts  |  Joined: 20.11.2024  |  1.8082

Latest posts by davidgerth5.bsky.social on Bluesky

But pivoting to AI is not a business strategy. Telling journalists they must use AI is not a business strategy. Partnering with AI companies is a business move, but becoming reliant on revenue from tech giants who are creating a machine that duplicates the work you’ve already created is not a smart or sustainable business move, and therefore it is not a smart business strategy. It is true that AI is changing the internet and is threatening journalists and media outlets. But the only AI-related business strategy that makes any sense whatsoever is one where media companies and journalists go to great pains to show their audiences that they are human beings, and that the work they are doing is worth supporting because it is human work that is vital to their audiences.

But pivoting to AI is not a business strategy. Telling journalists they must use AI is not a business strategy. Partnering with AI companies is a business move, but becoming reliant on revenue from tech giants who are creating a machine that duplicates the work you’ve already created is not a smart or sustainable business move, and therefore it is not a smart business strategy. It is true that AI is changing the internet and is threatening journalists and media outlets. But the only AI-related business strategy that makes any sense whatsoever is one where media companies and journalists go to great pains to show their audiences that they are human beings, and that the work they are doing is worth supporting because it is human work that is vital to their audiences.

Found this @jasonkoebler.bsky.social story about why AI isn’t a viable business model for journalism to be extremely well done and oddly hopeful

www.404media.co/the-medias-p...

15.07.2025 20:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1211    πŸ” 214    πŸ’¬ 33    πŸ“Œ 8

Something I'd be curious to see is a comparison between a model w just a hitter random effect vs model w the underlying data

21.05.2025 19:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

wow, all these Dems looking for the left's Rogan, as if a thrice-weekly, very long sports podcast that loves stats and science BUT ALSO baseball players kissing THOUGH ONLY IF THEY WANT TO isn't right there WOW

20.05.2025 18:24 β€” πŸ‘ 308    πŸ” 24    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 2

underrated worst part of the lottery is Morey getting bailed out. It's like seeing SBF getting pardoned

12.05.2025 23:44 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Take Me Out to the Mudcats An Experience with A-Ball’s Most Exciting Squad

Our recent piece with @downonthefarm.bsky.social spotlights the Carolina Mudcats, who may be MiLB's most exciting team! We take you on a gameday experience with analytical evaluations and the good old' eye test. Read it here: downonthefarm.substack.com/p/take-me-ou...

08.05.2025 20:34 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I keep trying to hammer the point that LLMs do a much better job replacing the work of MBAs and coders than liberal arts majors.

07.05.2025 13:59 β€” πŸ‘ 310    πŸ” 45    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 7
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How to Fit Monotonic Smooths in JAX using Shape Constrained P-Splines Let’s say you have a trend you are trying to model that you know to be monotonically increasing or decreasing; this could be something like default as a function of risk, power usage as a function of ...

I've had instances in the past where GAMs make crazy predictions out of sample and interested to see if this methodology helps that. Here's the article: statmills.com/2025-05-03-m...

07.05.2025 15:03 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Read this nice article on Shape Constrained Additive Models yesterday. Tried it out today on some generated data, comparing a standard GAM to a SCAM with upward trend (correct) and SCAM with downward trend (incorrect). GAM and correct SCAM are similar, with the SCAM being less wiggly.

07.05.2025 15:03 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Two of the offices without senior officials are Houston and Tampa, which, whew, that’s not good.

A slow moving catastrophe that won’t be widely understood until it’s too late.

02.05.2025 14:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1487    πŸ” 293    πŸ’¬ 82    πŸ“Œ 12

And they say you can't make nice graphics without ggplot

30.04.2025 14:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

🚨 The Packers took a first round receiver 🚨

Absolutely love them getting Matthew Golden. Playoff loss showed they needed someone who could take the top of the defense and beat man coverage. Sharp route runner with terrific hands who wins at all three levels.

My favorite pick of the draft so far.

25.04.2025 02:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1637    πŸ” 149    πŸ’¬ 67    πŸ“Œ 49

double digit roi for sure, wish i could throw that in my 401k

25.04.2025 00:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Congrats!

21.04.2025 22:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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As a Mets rookie makes his long-shot MLB debut, the scout who signed him is beating his own odds Justin Hagenman was a 23rd round pick in 2018. The Dodgers scout who signed him, Jonah Rosenthal, is recovering from a stroke in December.

As a Mets rookie makes his long-shot MLB debut, the scout who signed him is beating his own odds. With @TimBritton. www.nytimes.com/athletic/628...

17.04.2025 01:14 β€” πŸ‘ 32    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

@lukeepplin.bsky.social, just finished up "Our Team." Excellent work, I found all four angles to be fascinating and it was well written

16.04.2025 20:13 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Saberseminar Abstract Submission Form Thank you for considering presenting your work at Sabermetrics, Scouting, and the Science of Baseball 2025. Because of your efforts, we have grown to be a national meeting known for showcasing new, or...

Submitted an abstract for Saber Seminar! If you have an idea and could present it in Chicago this summer, here's the form for submission: forms.gle/687GBSbyw5tB... Saber Seminar is an excellent place to have your work seen by front offices.

10.04.2025 19:04 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

i miss the early internet. people were like β€œyou gotta see this dude. this cat sure is long.” and they were right. it was really long. it never shoulda gotten any more complicated than that.

04.04.2025 21:10 β€” πŸ‘ 42678    πŸ” 6714    πŸ’¬ 675    πŸ“Œ 316

This was a cool article even though I haven't seen Severance

04.04.2025 20:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I find OOP to be weird (skill issue) in general, especially in R, but completed my first HW assignment using R6 classes and have to say I'm impressed how fast it is

04.04.2025 15:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Have you looked at how the dead zone has evolved over time? I've been meaning to look at how many pitchers fit the 2018 era of dead zone

31.03.2025 17:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This was a fun read

31.03.2025 17:15 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

the best teams are winning in march madness? i can't believe it

30.03.2025 03:34 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Very disappointed that USC doesn't have names on their jerseys. I wanted to see Martin-Grudzielanek fit onto the back of one

28.03.2025 21:38 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Subscribe to Baseball Prospectus Access to premium articles, fantasy tools, prospect lists and more.

I sometimes struggle to sell BP because it's hard to encapsulate all we do. But this thread shows you the range and depth of coverage you'll get as a subscriber, every weekday. It's good, it's affordable, and often you'll find something you didn't know you needed. I hope you'll give us a try.

27.03.2025 17:04 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

As we wait for first pitch, I hope you'll consider a FanGraphs Membership. Being a Member comes with a bunch of great benefits, and it's the best way to both experience the site and support our work. We can't wait to watch this season with you!

27.03.2025 16:59 β€” πŸ‘ 94    πŸ” 40    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 6
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The FanGraphs 2025 Staff Predictions Allow us to make a series of informed and possibly incorrect predictions about the 2025 season.

The FanGraphs 2025 Staff Predictions

27.03.2025 12:01 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 4

During that stupid Grimace gimmic i was going to McDonalds a ton but no stomach issues. Took some time off, went back twice in the past two weeks and got sick both times

27.03.2025 04:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Slight skew in the distribution of eigenvalues for normal symmetric matrices I've just started tinkering with random matrix theory, and to do so I've been performing some simulations in R. Something I've noticed is that the distribution of eigenvalues shows slight skew from...

I am a random matrix hobbyist, got a nice answer on this question I asked about the skew of eigenvalues for a symmetric random matrix with standard normal entries. mathoverflow.net/questions/48...

26.03.2025 16:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

don't you have a tractor auction to pay attention to?

24.03.2025 16:39 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

@davidgerth5 is following 20 prominent accounts