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Shana Gadarian

@sgadarian.bsky.social

Professor, Political Science | Syracuse University, Maxwell School | American politics, political psychology | Co-author of Anxious Politics and Pandemic Politics

18,607 Followers  |  4,559 Following  |  4,606 Posts  |  Joined: 09.08.2023
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Posts by Shana Gadarian (@sgadarian.bsky.social)

Man, they are doing the Iraq War but without even a 9/11 pretext.

01.03.2026 01:06 β€” πŸ‘ 316    πŸ” 52    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 0

At some point you wonder not just if insiders using information to place bets, but maybe also reshaping their advice to make those bets profitable.

01.03.2026 00:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1587    πŸ” 441    πŸ’¬ 59    πŸ“Œ 24

Komrade Kristol is firmly on team β€œthese guys suck ass and if anyone is going to be doing regime change wars it’s gonna be *me*”

01.03.2026 00:58 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The President has launched our nation and our great military into a war of choice, risking American lives and resources, ignoring American law, and endangering our allies and partners. It does nothing to help with the urgent problems here at home that Americans face every day.

28.02.2026 16:07 β€” πŸ‘ 20590    πŸ” 6234    πŸ’¬ 1159    πŸ“Œ 308
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Wars of choice kill those who have no choice. "Mistakes" like the reported strike on a girls' school that killed forty civilians are the predictable result of poor planning and execution.

For more on "Mistakes" in War, read this by me and @azmatzahra.bsky.social
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

28.02.2026 13:00 β€” πŸ‘ 150    πŸ” 51    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 5
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Two books worth reading if you haven’t.

28.02.2026 19:21 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

i didn't care for schumer's statement, but if you're going to be angry at him, make sure you're much angrier at thune, who bears this obligation even more strongly than schumer and will absolutely ignore his own duty

28.02.2026 19:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1946    πŸ” 351    πŸ’¬ 53    πŸ“Œ 11
28.02.2026 19:00 β€” πŸ‘ 86    πŸ” 23    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

You can tell how much trump values Iranian civilian lives and their cries for democratic government because of his pattern of not actually coming to their aid when he said he would and then his insistence on killing them for no reason

28.02.2026 18:54 β€” πŸ‘ 337    πŸ” 69    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0
This War Will Destabilize The Entire Mideast Region And Set Off A Global Shockwave Of Anti-Americanism vs. No It Won’t

This War Will Destabilize The Entire Mideast Region And Set Off A Global Shockwave Of Anti-Americanism vs. No It Won’t

I can't fucking believe we're doing this again.

28.02.2026 15:50 β€” πŸ‘ 12368    πŸ” 3012    πŸ’¬ 100    πŸ“Œ 60

This was a premeditated attack with no conceivable emergency: the choice to do this is Congress not President. Waging war on Iran is an obvious violation of the Constitution, no different than enacting tariffs (raising taxes) or defunding USAID (spending programs).

28.02.2026 11:58 β€” πŸ‘ 383    πŸ” 119    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 4

So we are just going to war and the WH has not offered a single plausible explanation about any imminent threat nor even tried to make one up? At least Bush/Cheney had the courtesy to claim, falsely, there was WMD in Iraq.

28.02.2026 00:17 β€” πŸ‘ 817    πŸ” 128    πŸ’¬ 27    πŸ“Œ 8
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Important thread from Jason who has a lot of important work on building and sustaining public support for war.

28.02.2026 12:03 β€” πŸ‘ 45    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Just a basic question: what is the point of this attack? What do they hope to achieve? Because I am pretty sure that unless it is just distraction sauce, they are not going to achieve anything in terms of moving Iran on its policy stances.

28.02.2026 11:20 β€” πŸ‘ 49    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1
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Trump Calls for Overthrow of Iran’s Government

These are maximalist aims. A country is at its most dangerous backed into a corner facing an existential threat, which Trump appears to have unleashed. What is the off-ramp from the escalation ladder here? 2/ www.nytimes.com/2026/02/28/w...

28.02.2026 11:54 β€” πŸ‘ 343    πŸ” 69    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 7

In 1789, Thomas Jefferson writing to James Madison, extolled the Constitution for instituting β€œone effectual check on the Dog of war by transferring the power of letting him loose from the Executive to the Legislative body.”

28.02.2026 11:28 β€” πŸ‘ 436    πŸ” 173    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 10

Iran is an evil regime and deserves to fall. But that's not a good argument for launching a war of regime change without Congress and against the will of the American people.

28.02.2026 07:52 β€” πŸ‘ 1698    πŸ” 308    πŸ’¬ 69    πŸ“Œ 16

Welp

28.02.2026 07:29 β€” πŸ‘ 15650    πŸ” 4477    πŸ’¬ 620    πŸ“Œ 162

The question is why? Why would American lives be lost? For what purpose? Please articulate this imminent national security threat to the US clearly so you didn’t have a choice, but to start a war with a country you are in full negotiations with?

28.02.2026 08:18 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Iran launches missiles at Israel, IDF says.

The Israel Defence Forces said it has identified missiles launched from Iran towards the State of Israel.

It comes as the Associated Press reports explosions have been heard in northern Israel.

28.02.2026 08:19 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

There was a much stronger legal case for Iraq 2003, even if you believe that case was weak

28.02.2026 07:47 β€” πŸ‘ 186    πŸ” 20    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 5

So let’s think about this.

A private company refused - on principle - to yield to the government’s demands.

The government then cancelled its contracts with the company and has set about destroying it

27.02.2026 23:55 β€” πŸ‘ 4902    πŸ” 1564    πŸ’¬ 235    πŸ“Œ 89
β€œAs a final message to our warriors, the Ivy League faculty lounges may loathe you, the so-called elite of academia may mock your patriotism and disdain your sacrifice, but never forget that we the War Department have your back.”

β€œAs a final message to our warriors, the Ivy League faculty lounges may loathe you, the so-called elite of academia may mock your patriotism and disdain your sacrifice, but never forget that we the War Department have your back.”

First of all -- fuck you, Pete. None of this is happening in the faculty lounges of your fever dreams.

Second, I've taught military personnel in our PhD programs and if you think slamming the door to Harvard and Princeton in their faces is "having their back" you're even dumber than you sound.

27.02.2026 22:12 β€” πŸ‘ 2453    πŸ” 376    πŸ’¬ 64    πŸ“Œ 35

At all three places where I taught, veterans and military students are admired for their service, their ability to get their academic work done quickly and extremely well, and for often balancing family and school.

Not *once* have I ever heard a faculty member disparage a military student.

28.02.2026 01:02 β€” πŸ‘ 113    πŸ” 21    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 5
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Trump, seeking executive power over elections, is urged to declare emergency Activists who say they are in coordination with the White House are circulating a draft executive order that would unlock extraordinary presidential power over voting.

Today @washingtonpost.com reported activists are urging Trump to declare an emergency based on claims of Chinese interference in the 2020 election and use emergency powers to dramatically alter election rules. Trump has no power to run elections, even in an emergency. 🧡

27.02.2026 00:47 β€” πŸ‘ 41    πŸ” 26    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2
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An Exceptional Failure of Democratic Accountability: How American Institutions Protected Power While Global Democracies Upheld Justice How Elite Deference Eroded America's Rule of Law, Defying the Global Norm.

Here is the comparative data.

27.02.2026 01:50 β€” πŸ‘ 107    πŸ” 42    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

imo the threat posed by CBS News and CNN getting absorbed by pro-regime billionaires isn't that they're going to produce right-wing slop that convinces people to be right-wing, it's the dismantling of newsrooms capable of doing investigative reporting on the administration. Fewer eyes on the street.

27.02.2026 00:40 β€” πŸ‘ 7129    πŸ” 1723    πŸ’¬ 142    πŸ“Œ 100

Very interesting study. On the conclusion, I'll warn that low-effort mail-to-web surveys may not be the answer. In experimenting with these in the past, they can also produce poor estimates, particularly for Black voters. Incentives and/or live-caller surveys have been more effective

26.02.2026 21:51 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0