Kevin Collins

Soup season is not done yet.

More like "Bored of Peace", I guess

Checks out en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1985_MO...

I think that the decision to start trying to sell the war *after* starting it will quickly prove to be a poor decision, from a public opinion and electoral perspective

No Kings also means No Shahs

All you need is access to inside, perhaps highly classified, information! Don't have that? Well, consider paying hundreds of thousands of dollars to join Donald Trump's private clubs (or even more clubs, like the one run by his son)

Only because the latter would imply the former isn’t true.

Is it possible he is that stupid? Or just that he thinks his audience is

I genuinely can’t tell if he thinks the death of a head of state is the same as regime change

Okay that part will sound familiar

The range of plausible outcomes in this primary is incredibly wide

Republicans are pro tariff? They’re led by that guy from the apprentice who was in the tabloids for all the affairs? Bill Kristol is trying to abolish part of the security state? Dubya is a painter?

Someone who went into a coma 20ish years ago and woke up today would find out politics incomprehensible

I’m going to need another @lawfaremedia.org explainer on war powers resolutions … sigh. I always get confused in how that works

Iraq?

Of the "Axis of Evil", only the regime that has not been attacked by the United States is the one that actually acquired nuclear capacity. Given that incentive structure, I have to think that this attack on Iran will motivate, not deter, future proliferation efforts by hostile regimes

What is happening with Lafayette? I haven’t really heard much about that

If you are designing military operations based on feelings rather than principles, try therapy

Operation Epic Fury might as well be called Operation Big Mad

Or benefit from rally around the flag effects when Iran strikes back

I understand what you meant. Just saying, a lot of us who have paid passing attention to the news over the last quarter century know this story well

"We" is doing a lot of work here.

If anyone has problems understanding why this won't work, ask yourself "How many Americans would Iran have to kill before the Trump administration would decide to step down"? If you answered "There is no upper limit", congratulations, you have identified the problem.

Huh.

I know it’s old fashioned to care about law. But these strikes against Iran, initiating a (so far, at least) regional war, are illegal.

🚨 New WP w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social on OSF

doi.org/10.31235/osf...

We usually think that social identities precede preferences

We show the reverse is also true: people update their social identities to match their immigration preferences

Focus: class identity in 🇬🇧 + Christian identity in 🇮🇹

An Unpopular, Doomed, Bloody War People will die and nothing will be accomplished

My thoughts

open.substack.com/pub/musgrave...

As a professional military strategist, I just wanted to make sure everyone has a full understanding of the American strategy in Iran, thank you for your attention to this matter

the current position of the US government is that NVIDIA should be allowed to sell chips directly to China but banned from using Claude, because the latter is a larger national security risk. that is the level of absolute insanity coming out of the White House & Pentagon nowadays

Especially when there are many photos of another First Lady, Melania Trump, with Epstein