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Kevin Collins

@kwcollins.bsky.social

Co-founder, Survey 160. Loves survey and voter participation. Researcher. Democrat. YIMBY. Husband and Dad. Opinion haver and measurer. Outdoors and cooking enthusiast. He/Him

13,700 Followers  |  895 Following  |  31,499 Posts  |  Joined: 27.04.2023
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Posts by Kevin Collins (@kwcollins.bsky.social)

Live and lapply()

07.03.2026 20:35 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

😒

07.03.2026 19:44 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I flagged the credibility of the sourcing for a reason

07.03.2026 19:40 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

(I'm genuinely torn on this. Candor is good, but so is stating democracy as a value)

07.03.2026 18:50 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Is this better or worse than pretending we're not going to war for oil?

07.03.2026 18:49 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1

DC folks: who do you like for the At Large seat in the D Primary?

07.03.2026 18:37 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

If true -- note the sourcing -- it would seem to underline the reasons *not* to build automated weapon systems on top of these language models.

07.03.2026 16:48 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Exemplified by Musk's frequent use of "NPC" to describe adversaries www.foxbusiness.com/media/elon-m...

07.03.2026 13:43 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Notably, this is not an announcement that he is switching parties, or leaving the GOP caucus now (or in the future)

07.03.2026 02:42 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The only word for this is bloodlust

07.03.2026 01:35 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
How to Measure Public Support for Political Violence Abstract. With low but rising levels of violent political threats and violent acts by civilians in the United States, researchers increasingly want to meas

After nearly a decade measuring American public support for political violence, @nathankalmoe.bsky.social and I have published a somewhat comprehensive guide to measuring these attitudes. This includes historical comparisons and responses to common critiques. doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

06.03.2026 17:45 β€” πŸ‘ 151    πŸ” 66    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

It's unfortunate that he cancelled all of those renewable electricity generation projects

06.03.2026 20:34 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The only thing implausible about the numbers is the overly long field period

06.03.2026 20:13 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Hey @wmata.com. When your operators need to announce a delay due to a death by suicide on the tracks, can you have them share the 988 crisis hotline number please, instead of just saying "we had a jumper" ?

06.03.2026 18:26 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I see downgrading to GPT-4.1 is having some consequences

06.03.2026 18:18 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I genuinely wonder when the last time he drove a car (golf carts don't count). Not only has he been a president or ex-president over the course of the decade, he's always been rich, and even when he was young he lived in New York City

06.03.2026 16:11 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

The rally playlist was foreshadowing

06.03.2026 14:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Going to be tough without a development agency left to do the work

06.03.2026 14:18 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Conflict with Iran, oil price shocks, and Stagflation? Trump really can’t leave the late 70s behind can he

06.03.2026 14:17 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The acting commissioner is a career official, who has been acting at least twice before

06.03.2026 14:15 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

On the plus side, BLS is continuing to operate independently (as it should regardless of the party in the White House)

06.03.2026 14:13 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Terrible for the global economy, but great for US oil companies who Trump promised to give whatever they wanted if they gave his campaign $1 billion

www.politico.com/news/2024/05...

06.03.2026 14:09 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump administration evicts former Coast Guard leader from her house with 3 hours notice Trump fired Linda Fagan, the first female Coast Guard commandant, on his second day in office. A Trump official told her she had three hours to leave her house on Tuesday.

So how long are Noem and Lewandowski being given to vacate the Coast Guard commandant house?

I believe Admiral Fagan was evicted on three hours notice www.nbcnews.com/politics/don...

06.03.2026 14:03 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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The Most Chilling Detail in the U.S. Attack on an Iranian Naval Ship The Iranian warship was taking part in an international exercise with many other countriesβ€”including the United States.

This is a chilling crime. A shame on our country. The Iranian ship was unarmed. The US knew this. The sailors were murdered by our navy, and the survivors were left to die at sea.
newrepublic.com/post/207429/...

06.03.2026 12:29 β€” πŸ‘ 9721    πŸ” 4650    πŸ’¬ 554    πŸ“Œ 628

A price shock stemming from drop in supply in oil and natural gas due to a needless war in the Gulf is only going to make the stagflation come sooner

06.03.2026 13:55 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Stagflation is coming … and this has been obvious for months

06.03.2026 13:54 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio

Our lab has a new postdoc position that is ideal for someone interested in a career in data science or statistical consulting and an interest in gender diversity / trans health. apply.interfolio.com/182278

03.03.2026 14:22 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
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The U.S. labor market lost 92,000 jobs in February In February the labor market lost 92,000 jobs, and economists are monitoring for signs that the labor market could be on the rebound.

Breaking news: The U.S. labor market lost 92,000 jobs in February, a striking loss signaling a warning flag for the economy.

06.03.2026 13:48 β€” πŸ‘ 491    πŸ” 171    πŸ’¬ 36    πŸ“Œ 40
Post image Post image

We can't even treat the country level variation as informative (left) because acquiescence bias various across cultural contexts too (example evidence right from the link).

bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

06.03.2026 01:49 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Issue Attention in Public Opinion Polls: Pollsters as Agenda Responders and Agenda Setters You have to enable JavaScript in your browser's settings in order to use the eReader.

Interesting article about polling as agenda setting

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....

06.03.2026 01:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0