François Heisbourg

Iran's regime is still intact - the coming days will show if it can hold out Iran's surviving leaders are in crisis mode, battling to project security as US and Israel strikes continue.

Iran's regime is still intact - the coming days will show if it can hold out

Crowds in the Iranian town of Galleh Dar toppled a monument dedicated to the Islamic Republic's founder, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, as flames rose from the roundabout and onlookers cheered.

The death of Khamenei has exposed a deep fault line in a country: reut.rs/4r4GYYK

Iranian drone or missile strikes have hit US military facilities at Erbil International Airport in Iraq, with secondary detonations heard and visible. #Iran

France moves heavy metal to the Gulf

Indeed. And defence of SLOCS is a primary mission of rhe Maeine Narionale

Our military and cultural facilities (Louvre) are neighbours

900 French military and civilian personnel at our Abu Dhabi facilties

Comment cela va t-il se passer par rapport à nos accords de défense ?

Guerre d'Ukraine - Semaine 9 | 2026

Pour information, les zones infiltrées sont désormais comptabilisées à part, donc non visibles sur cette synthèse

🇺🇦
Gains + 9.37 km² 🟨
Pertes - 23.99 km² 🟦

🇷🇺
Gains + 49.54 km² 🟥
Pertes - 14.7 km² ⬛️

#UkraineRussianWar #GuerreEnUkraine

Quelqu'un a des nouvelles des influenceurs qui font des vidéo "Dubaï c'est génial, on vie en top sécurité #lafrancecetronul" ?

Tsahal spox

Good question. There exists an unambiguous defence guarantee. If UAE seeks additional French force deployments, it is in a position to claim them. Not clear to me whether rhe details are currently unclassified, so I won't discuss them.

French-llanguage spox Olivier Rafovicz says missile was a "heavy " ie 20 tons and a 1-1.5 ron warhead. Given the scale of the damage, I assume the high end of the estimate. Tally of 9 killed is alas not final

French naval base hit st Abu Dhabi. Apparently no casualties

An Iranian missile has killed 8 people and wounded 27 in Beit Shemesh near Jerusalem, striking a shelter directly and destroying 8 homes. Contact has been lost with 20 people trapped under rubble, Israeli media reported. #Iran

❗️A vessel was struck by an unknown projectile above the waterline 50 nautical miles north of Muscat, Oman, UKMTO reported. A fire in the engine room has been brought under control. Vessels are advised to transit with caution. #Iran

Dubai's international airport, its landmark Burj Al Arab hotel and man-made Palm Jumeirah Island all suffered damage as Iran's retaliatory strikes on neighboring Gulf states in response to US and Israeli strikes on the Islamic Republic widened reut.rs/4u7xrTK

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1467

1. Tempo of Iran war operations begs question of draw-down of US air defence ammo at the expense of 🇺🇦

2. Budanov: 🇷🇺 says It may accept security guarantees as offered by US

3. 70 Shahed, 13 leakers. 1 Iskander-M

Russia would accept security guarantees for Ukraine, Budanov says "At past negotiations, the Russian side directly said that they would accept the security guarantees offered to Ukraine by the U.S.," the head of the President's Office, Kyrylo Budanov, said on Feb. 2...

⚡️Russia would accept security guarantees for Ukraine, Budanov says.

"At past negotiations, the Russian side directly said that they would accept the security guarantees offered to Ukraine by the U.S.," the head of the President's Office, Kyrylo Budanov, said on Feb. 28.

Question of the iday is whether Iran will go headless chicken in terms of war fighting. I think not but who knows?

Rues vides, magasins fermés, explosions: les habitants de Téhéran, terrés chez eux après de nouvelles frappes américano-israéliennes contre l'Iran, ont été appelés à quitter la ville.

➡️ u.afp.com/Su5X

➡️ Le commandement militaire américain pour le Moyen-Orient a annoncé que les forces américaines s'étaient "défendues avec succès", et qu’aucune victime américaine n’était à déplorer.

Not too sure about that. My understanding is that Russia bought many Shaheds and then produced many more. But rhe 100 number I use applies to one day of Russian use vs Ukraine not one month. And Iran must have multiples of 100

Tanker, not tank...sorry

Yes...

Fairmont The Palm Hotel in Dubai was hit by an Iranian Shahed one-way attack drone, injuring four people according to the Dubai Media Office. bsky.app/profile/spec...

Old still of a Bayandor-class patrol frigate under ISR surveillance.

Bayandor-class patrol frigate IRIS Naghdi

Google Earth imagery of a suspected Bayandor-class patrol frigate (measuring 273')

Vantortech imagery of a burning ship at Konarak.

Two Bayandor-class patrol frigates (corvettes) seen adjacent to burning ship at Konarak.

Bayandors measuring ~273' long seen frequently on Google Earth. Whatever is burning may be wider (could just be angle). Will be difficult to make out what this was until the smoke clears.

Looks like it's drone time. Gulf countries are poorly equipped to face them (not Ukraine quality defences) and it remains to be seen if rhe US bases in rhe region will cope better

At least, he can drive to Muscat