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Chris Butler

@chrisbutlerpol.bsky.social

Postdoc at University of Antwerp researching how politicians perceive of, and respond to public opinion and how their backgrounds affect this. Previously worked in political campaigns.

1,501 Followers  |  534 Following  |  253 Posts  |  Joined: 21.09.2023
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Posts by Chris Butler (@chrisbutlerpol.bsky.social)

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"We called London a war zone and moved to Dubai by mistake"

03.03.2026 08:16 β€” πŸ‘ 5137    πŸ” 1281    πŸ’¬ 79    πŸ“Œ 38
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For anyone who wants to geek out on comparing parties' selection procedures, we also detail the extent to which different parties allow members to get involved

02.03.2026 15:40 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Our findings tentatively suggest that involving members more in candidate selection does not harm female candidates’ prospects but may harm those of ethnic minority and working-class aspirants who are more likely to be selected under centralised selection procedures.

02.03.2026 15:40 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Pleased to see this work with @rozemarijnvandijk.bsky.social @martamiori.bsky.social & @robfordmancs.bsky.social published: We look at the effects of involving party members in candidate selection at the 2019 UK general election: eur03.safelinks.protection.outlook.com?url=https%3A...

02.03.2026 15:40 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Just spent an hour on the streets witnessing and hearing about the Iranian community here in London, and quite striking how their reaction differs to liberal commentators on BlueSky

28.02.2026 22:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

They are shouting Miga - Make Iran great again

28.02.2026 22:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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28.02.2026 21:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Quite a few American flags being waved too

28.02.2026 21:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Finchley has a large Iranian Christian community and they’ve taken over the high street in joyous celebration

28.02.2026 21:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I also had this come out in 2025 :)

Immigrants Against Immigration: British Ethnic Minority Brexit Voter Attitudes to Immigration - cup.org/3WPrz1S

27.02.2026 09:31 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Surely 1) Reform with either combination after will cause the most repercussions?

26.02.2026 20:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Means is another example of the trust trap.

25.02.2026 17:36 β€” πŸ‘ 465    πŸ” 146    πŸ’¬ 16    πŸ“Œ 5

It's a 10/10 plot twist. If it's true, it's incredible. If Lindsay Hoyle was just believing some random gossip, it's incredible. If he just hates Mandelson, it's incredible

25.02.2026 11:52 β€” πŸ‘ 29    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

In what is sadly still a relevant and timely piece, @drjennings.bsky.social, Gerry Stoker and I spoke to those who have served at the ehart of UK governments to understand how they reconcile with low political trust, depressingly finding little motivation to take action to remedy it

24.02.2026 12:06 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

These findings of right wing bias in perceptions have also recently been disputed here: adamzelizer.com/wp-content/u...

24.02.2026 10:06 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

To be fair, that paper found that politicians’ perceptions of immigration were relatively more accurate than the right wing bias in their perceptions of public opinion on economic and social issues.

24.02.2026 10:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
A book cover, featuring an image of an incomplete bridge, bearing the title 'The Unfulfilled Electoral Potential of West European Liberal Parties', and the author's name, 'Alexander Davenport'.

A book cover, featuring an image of an incomplete bridge, bearing the title 'The Unfulfilled Electoral Potential of West European Liberal Parties', and the author's name, 'Alexander Davenport'.

Excited to announce that my new book, 'The Unfulfilled Electoral Potential of West European Liberal Parties', is available in both online and print formats with Oxford University Press as of today! academic.oup.com/book/62000 Below is a brief summary of the arguments:

19.02.2026 12:10 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 3

Absolutely - hope they don’t just stop at the misconduct in public office

19.02.2026 12:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Looks like he's been arrested for misconduct in public office rather than for sex trafficking?

19.02.2026 11:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

When I worked at the University of Manchester, we once received a recommendation that we shouldn't pile books or papers on our desks because it was a fire hazard....

18.02.2026 16:08 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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IN NEW ISSUE: How do UK political elites reconcile with a low trust environment? @chrisbutlerpol.bsky.social, @drjennings.bsky.social & Gerry Stoker examine this question in @polstudies.bsky.social: buff.ly/3E6DkuS (OPEN ACCESS)

@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social #polsky

11.02.2026 22:25 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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It is so embarrassing that it has taken nearly a decade for a British minister to say this, a statement of the absolute bloody obvious

11.02.2026 07:40 β€” πŸ‘ 4980    πŸ” 1289    πŸ’¬ 169    πŸ“Œ 64
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Lib Dems call for β€˜anti-growth’ Treasury to be split up – UK politics live Liberal Democrats call for Treasury to be replaced with big growth department, and smaller spending department

Lib Dems call for 'anti-growth Treasury' to be split up, and replaced with big growth department, and smaller spending department - www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...

11.02.2026 10:39 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 3

Perhaps it’s a defection gone wrong?

11.02.2026 09:21 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I wonder what Reform canvassers say to people they encounter during the day in Gorton who are working from home?

09.02.2026 20:15 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Sir Keir Starmer suggests he sacked Richard Leonard as Scottish Labour leader SIR Keir Starmer has suggested he sacked Richard Leonard as Scottish Labour leader.

What's also notable about the Sarwar intervention is that Starmer and his office worked to push aside previous Scottish Labour leader Richard Leonard www.heraldscotland.com/politics/234...

09.02.2026 14:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Founding Myth of Morgan McSweeney Reports of Keir Starmer's chief adviser's supposed campaigning genius do not appear to match up with the facts

Wrote this last year on the myth of Morgan McSweeney's supposed campaigning genius

www.adambienkov.co.uk/p/the-foundi...

08.02.2026 14:30 β€” πŸ‘ 83    πŸ” 23    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 2
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Calling all cliches: Wielding the knife The roots of β€˜He who wields the the knife never wears the crown’.

thelionandunicorn.com/2016/07/02/c...

06.02.2026 11:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Calling all cliches: Wielding the knife The roots of β€˜He who wields the the knife never wears the crown’.

I couldn't think of one, so just wondered where the heuristic arose from. This article attributes it to Heseltine but points out that Thatcher knived Heath in the back & emerged victorious. I'm not sure that how much Heseltine's early resignation really damaged his 1990 campaign?

06.02.2026 11:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

@philipjcowley.bsky.social I’ve been wondering about this Westminster β€˜rule’ that the first over the line never wields the crown. Is it really the case that serious contenders for leadership have lost out because they were the first to break ranks? I thought you of anyone might know of examples

06.02.2026 11:16 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0