Giacomo Grassi's Avatar

Giacomo Grassi

@giacgrassi.bsky.social

Scientist @EU_Commission's Joint Research Centre. Forests, carbon and climate in the science/policy interface. Member #IPCC task force Bureau #AR7. Views mine.

776 Followers  |  99 Following  |  112 Posts  |  Joined: 18.11.2024  |  2.3561

Latest posts by giacgrassi.bsky.social on Bluesky

4/ The captain doesn’t know the iceberg’s depth or how the hull would react. Similarly, temperature projections are uncertain. But uncertainty isn’t ignorance and shouldn’t excuse inaction. It should drive us to act on what we can control: the ship’s turning radius—our greenhouse gas emissions.

23.11.2025 18:06 — 👍 22    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0

3/ The ship hasn’t completed its turn (orange: emissions still rising), but change has begun. Compared to ten years ago, the worst risks (red) are less likely. Recent pledges lower risk further (yellow), yet we remain in dangerous waters. To reach safer zones, the turn must accelerate (green).

23.11.2025 18:05 — 👍 15    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0

2/ Imagine a transatlantic liner at full speed: that’s the global economy. Emissions set its course. Scientists spot a huge iceberg and raise the alarm. After long discussions, just like at climate conferences, the danger is acknowledged and the collective decision is made to steer the ship ...

23.11.2025 18:03 — 👍 15    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0
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With a mixed-results at COP30 - i.e. good intentions but no concrete plans for the “transition away from fossil fuels” - don’t give up.

Let’s remember the progress made since the Paris Agreement and the options ahead of us. That’s the message of the image below

23.11.2025 17:58 — 👍 88    🔁 42    💬 2    📌 4
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📣 PRESS RELEASE

#IPCC is calling for the nominations of authors for the Methodology Report on Carbon Dioxide Removal Technologies, Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage

Read the PR 👉 www.ipcc.ch/2025/11/19/c...

Submissions close 12 December 2025

🧵 1/3

19.11.2025 16:22 — 👍 9    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0
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#IPCC agrees on the scientific content of the remaining methodology report in the seventh assessment cycle and 2026 workplan for the three key climate reports in Lima, 🇵🇪 Peru.

🔗 www.ipcc.ch/2025/10/31/p...

📸 ENB - IISD - Anastasia Rodopoulou

31.10.2025 15:33 — 👍 17    🔁 5    💬 1    📌 0
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PresaDiretta 2025/26 - Missione Terra, quel che resta dei ghiacci - 12/10/2025 - Video - RaiPlay Biomass, il satellite che studia la materia vivente presente nelle foreste. Cryosat, il satellite che da 15 anni monitora la fusione dei ghiacciai: grazie ai suoi dati, il progetto Glambie che riunisc...

Che la causa del cambiamento climatico siamo noi è in realtà una buona notizia.

Spiego il perché nella parte finale (min 17:30) di questa bella puntata di Presa Diretta.

www.raiplay.it/video/2025/1...

13.10.2025 18:04 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Quando la scienza si piega alla politica: il negazionismo climatico nel rapporto del Dipartimento dell’Energia USA Il 23 luglio 2025, il Dipartimento dell’Energia (DOE) degli Stati Uniti ha pubblicato un documento intitolato A Critical Review of Impacts of Greenhouse Gas E

#USpolitics
#AGWdeniers

@giacgrassi.bsky.social‬ e @caserinik.bsky.social fanno a polpette il rapporto dei 5 negaioli per il DOE. Sono stati più veloci del solito, ma gli argomenti di quei "mercanti di dubbi... sono già stati più volte confutati anche su Climalteranti."

06.08.2025 12:17 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

thanks to the great team of co-authors, including Michel den Elzen, Zuelclady M.F. Araujo Gutierrez, Will Lamb, Nicklas Forsell, Joana B. Melo, Simone Rossi, Malte Meinshausen, Sandro Federici, Matthew GIDDEN, Kimon Keramidas, Anu Korosuo

04.08.2025 10:08 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

🤔 However, land use remains a blind spot in tracking progress under the #ParisAgreement, mainly due to inconsistencies between global models and country-reported data.

💡 It is crucial that future #GlobalStocktakes include comparisons between modeled and country-provided net land-use emissions.

2/

04.08.2025 10:03 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Land remains a blind spot in tracking progress under the Paris Agreement due to lack of data comparability Communications Earth & Environment - Discrepancies exist between data used in countries’ greenhouse gas inventories and modelled benchmarks for the Paris agreement, according to an...

What is the contribution of land use to countries' climate pledges?

🖋️ A new paper led by Rosa Roman-Cuesta explores this question and offers a way forward.

🌲 The study finds that land use makes up a quarter of global 2030 mitigation pledges — mostly reliant on external support.

rdcu.be/eydhU

1/

04.08.2025 10:01 — 👍 10    🔁 4    💬 2    📌 0
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Securing the forest carbon sink for the European Union’s climate ambition Nature - Actionable research recommendations are outlined to improve the monitoring and modelling of forest resources and their carbon sink, and to better inform forest management decisions and the...

read-only text here rdcu.be/eyycF

01.08.2025 13:18 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Securing the forest carbon sink for the European Union’s climate ambition Nature - Actionable research recommendations are outlined to improve the monitoring and modelling of forest resources and their carbon sink, and to better inform forest management decisions and the...

rdcu.be/eyycF

01.08.2025 13:17 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Securing the forest carbon sink for the European Union’s climate ambition Nature - Actionable research recommendations are outlined to improve the monitoring and modelling of forest resources and their carbon sink, and to better inform forest management decisions and the...

rdcu.be/eyycF

01.08.2025 13:17 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

which is your email?

01.08.2025 10:19 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0
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Securing the forest carbon sink for the European Union’s climate ambition - Nature Actionable research recommendations are outlined to improve the monitoring and modelling of forest resources and their carbon sink, and to better inform forest management decisions and the European Gr...

Why is the European forest carbon sink declining?
How science can help reversing this trend?

A perspective paper in Nature discusses these questions, highlighting the importance to better monitor forest resources and their resilience.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

31.07.2025 20:46 — 👍 21    🔁 9    💬 4    📌 2
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Improving land-use emission estimates under the Paris Agreement Nature Sustainability - Climate science and national emissions reporting communities have historically used different definitions and methods for anthropogenic land-based carbon removals. As the...

Full-text view-only HERE: rdcu.be/el87m

15.05.2025 13:17 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Improving land-use emission estimates under the Paris Agreement Nature Sustainability - Climate science and national emissions reporting communities have historically used different definitions and methods for anthropogenic land-based carbon removals. As the...

Full-text view-only: rdcu.be/el87m

15.05.2025 10:30 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Thanks to the stellar co-authors, including @glenpeters.bsky.social , @pepcanadell.bsky.social , @gidden.bsky.social and others, and to all participants of the IPCC Expert Meeting.

7/7

15.05.2025 10:26 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

This is relevant for forest-rich nations, where “natural” sinks often play a major role in net-zero pledges.
Policymakers need to grasp these implications and adjust their climate ambition accordingly

6/7

15.05.2025 10:18 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

We also urge the scientific community to generate these inventory-aligned estimates and scenarios, and to explore the implications.

Key takeaways: under inventory definitions, the remaining carbon budget is smaller—and reaching net-zero CO₂ alone is not enough to stop warming.

5/7

15.05.2025 10:15 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Drawing on prior studies and IPCC Expert Meetings, the IPCC has recently decided that its 7th Assessment Report will present land-use CO₂ estimates and scenarios that align with national inventory definitions.

Our Comment explains why this is a crucial step forward.

4/7

15.05.2025 10:11 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

These differing definitions are like two languages: each valid in its own context, but hard to compare without proper translation.

Reconciling them is key for aligning global models, national inventories, and Earth observation — ultimately building trust in land-use emission estimates.

3/7

15.05.2025 10:10 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Climate science and national reporting use different definitions for anthropogenic land-use CO₂ fluxes.

This disconnect has led to a 7 billion-tonne annual gap in CO₂ estimates from land use—equivalent to 20% of global fossil CO₂ emissions—causing confusion among scientists and policymakers

2/7

15.05.2025 10:09 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Improving land-use emission estimates under the Paris Agreement - Nature Sustainability Climate science and national emissions reporting communities have historically used different definitions and methods for anthropogenic land-based carbon removals. As the mitigation agenda accelerates...

📣 New Comment on Improving land-use emission estimates under the Paris Agreement in Nature Sustainability www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Land carbon removals are key on the path to net-zero.
Yet, confusion exists on what “anthropogenic” land-use C fluxes are.

#LULUCF #IPCC #ParisAgreement

1/7

15.05.2025 10:09 — 👍 12    🔁 9    💬 2    📌 0
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On 6–7 May 2025, a JRC-EEA workshop on Land Use Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) gathered in Ispra (IT) over 50 GHG inventory experts, scientists and policymakers.

We discussed challenges in GHG reporting and the decline of forest carbon sinks in Europe.

Agenda/presentations: lnkd.in/dkJNxSWE

15.05.2025 06:19 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 1
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Revised and updated geospatial monitoring of 21st century forest carbon fluxes Abstract. Earth observation data are increasingly used to estimate the magnitude and geographic distribution of greenhouse gas (GHG) fluxes and reduce overall uncertainty in the global carbon budget, ...

🧐 Confused about different estimates of land-use CO2 emissions?

🌲A new paper led by David Gibbs enhances comparability between satellite-based forest carbon flux maps and National greenhouse gas inventories.

➡️ Paper: lnkd.in/dU5-bv4P
➡️ Story: bit.ly/43qX2Mv
➡️ Country-level data: bit.ly/3XvBSJf

27.03.2025 09:31 — 👍 21    🔁 9    💬 0    📌 0

This is outrageous. Stupidity at work.

It’s a sign of ideological hostility to everything that involves a multilateral dialogue and cooperation.

If you ignore climate change, climate change will not ignore you.

21.02.2025 09:06 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Publications - IPCC-TFI

And for those wanting a deep dive into the complex issue of different definitions of anthropogenic vs natural carbon fluxes, here is the final report and presentations made at the #IPCC expert meeting on reconciling land use emissions, held last July
www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/public/mtdoc...

15.02.2025 16:15 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

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