PaCE Project

PaCE Research Fellow Dr Chien Lu presenting "Structured Pixels: Satellite Imagery as the Cause in Causal Effect Estimation" at Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. #hicss2026 #GeoAI

PaCE Research Fellow Dr Chien Lu presenting his work in Taiwan this week at National Taipei University of Technology and at College of Public Health, National Taiwan University.

PaCE Project Research Fellow Dr Jungmin Han is to present his work "Domestic Support for Rapprochement between International Rivals: Evidence from South Korea" on Thursday 9 October, at 4pm in the TRiSS Seminar Room in Trinity College.

For more information see: www.tcd.ie/Asian/events/

Come and work with us!

PaCE is recruiting two research fellows to join the project - for more information, check out the PaCE website and TCD Vacancies page.

www.forecastlab.org
my.corehr.com/pls/trrecrui...

Application deadline 25 August 2025!

Huge congrats to @tcdpoliticalsci.bsky.social Professor Thomas Chadefaux and Dr Tim Bodt from @langslitscultures.bsky.social who have secured @erc.europa.eu funding to investigate the potential of AI to address challenges in conflict forecasting and language preservation.

www.tcd.ie/news_events/...

Read more at: www.tcd.ie/news_events/...

Exciting news - Prof. Thomas Chadefaux awarded a Proof of Concept grant by the ERC. AICAP (Artificial Intelligence for Conflict Analysis and Prediction) will analyse real-time geopolitical, economic, and behavioural data to forecast patterns in conflict development. #TrinityResearch #erc.europa.eu

PaCE Project PhD candidate Thomas Schincariol presenting his paper at the recent 2025 Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference in Barcelona.

Test

📊 Check out the last Cameroon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo

Test

📊 Check out the last Sudan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo

Test

📊 Check out the last Benin's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo

Test

📊 Check out the last Nigeria's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly increasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo

Research Fellow Dr Jungmin Han is one of the speakers this evening at a public seminar in the UCD Centre for Asia-Pacific Research. The topic: Reunification Identities: Unifying Korean Reunification with a Global World - "Mind the Gap".

Test

📊 Check out the last Sudan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo

Test

📊 Check out the last Pakistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo

Test

📊 Check out the last Israel's fatalities pattern that mostly led to an increasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo

Test

📊 Check out the last Afghanistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo

Test

📊 Check out the last Lebanon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo

Test

📊 Check out the last India's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo

Test

📊 Check out the last Pakistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo

Test

📊 Check out the last Cameroon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo

Test

📊 Check out the last Somalia's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly increasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo

Our monthly global risk predication map report is published today - if you want to sign up to get it in your in-box every month, the link to subscribe is on our website:
www.forecastlab.org/predictionmap

Here is a preview!

Delighted to share the publication of "Dynamic Synthetic Controls: Accounting for Varying Speeds in Comparative Case Studies" in the journal Political Analysis, authored by PaCE colleagues Jian Cao and Thomas Chadefaux.
Available at:
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...