This is spot on
10.02.2026 16:21 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0This is spot on
10.02.2026 16:21 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
#BaromètreConfiance
@luc-rouban.bsky.social @damienbol.bsky.social et Bruno Cautrès proposent leur synthèse des résultats de la vague 17 du Baromètre de la confiance politique CEVIPOF dans @lemonde.fr
Demande de protection et recherche d'une dΓ©mocratie qui fonctionne.
www.lemonde.fr/politique/ar...
Has someone studied this? It seems eminently feasible!
07.02.2026 16:28 β π 3 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0I wonder whether there is a study estimating the causal effect of grade scales on strategic choice made by students like extra curricular activities
07.02.2026 16:26 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 1Agree but this ceiling effect only occurs in the final stage of grade inflation. In UK (and other countries like France), there has been grade inflation, but weβre still far from the ceiling. Today, 20% of students get a First (70-80%) but they can still work harder to get a better grade
07.02.2026 16:25 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Yeah but the font is terrible ;)
24.01.2026 15:28 β π 5 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
β Help needed β Please take our 5-minute survey about interpreting research graphs π And please help us share this post with lots of people π€
Take the survey here: supsy.eu.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...
Thank you!!
BJPolS abstract of an academic article discussing how democratic institutions prioritize citizen preferences regarding economic and physical security, with a focus on varied democratic features across thirty countries.
NEW -
Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf
- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Why do citizens who say they support democracy tolerate leaders who dismantle it? Delighted to share my paper βFraming Democracy: How Elite Discourse Shapes Citizens' Understandings of Democracy and Enables Backslidingβ is forthcoming in World Politics...(1/5, link at the end)
19.12.2025 08:11 β π 94 π 33 π¬ 3 π 2
Not exactly a Xmas merrymaking post, but I wrote something on the changing environment for international academics in the Netherlands and how it has changed over the last 10 years: open.substack.com/pub/alexandr...
20.12.2025 09:19 β π 91 π 34 π¬ 8 π 9
π PHD FELLOWSHIP ALERT! π
Iβm hiring 1 PhD fellow for my ERC project ECONENGAGE (@ Gothenburg πΈπͺ)! Starting 09/26! Great PhD community + int'l & supportive environment + FUN city. π°for conferences + workshops! Lots of mentoring & career development opportunities! Deadline Jan 29th. Please apply!
π¨ Postdoc in Comparative Politics/Public Opinion (2 years)
Weβre hiring a 100% Postdoc at the University of Greifswald.
β¨ What makes this job special: Two full years to focus on research (no teaching, no admin overload) embedded into an International Research Training Group
π£π£π£ GREAT, time-sensitive opportunity for senior/mid-career scholars to join us in Madrid at UC3MΒ΄s social sciences department (UC3M-ATRAE Program 2026) on an attractive pay+research funds package π£π£π£
This does NOT happen everyday.
THREAD below if this is of interest 1/n
Super thread. Pour ceux qui veulent une quantification du vote pour les Γ©lections de 2024, on a Γ©crit un papier lΓ dessus pour les RFSP avec @jfdaoust.bsky.social shs.cairn.info/revue-revue-...
16.12.2025 10:50 β π 3 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
Oui La Rage, probablement dans le top. Dans les trucs rΓ©cents, probablement ceci malgrΓ© tout youtu.be/oJ5PfRQB93o?...
13.12.2025 21:35 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
It has to be French. This is often considered as the best 90sβ rap song in France youtu.be/s8mGJbvfw24?...
13.12.2025 21:22 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
This paper is personal. I wrote it on my own (no RA, no fund), and it grew out of my own experience as a teenager in Belgium in the 1990s. I also had the chance to cite my PhD supervisor, AndrΓ©-Paul Frognier, who isnβt in great health and was truly pivotal for me and my career.
End/
Implications:
- Elections do more than picking a winner, they make citizens.
- A reason why the youth is not be super on board with democracy is because they haven't had a chance to experience it fully yet.
- Some governmental instability can be good to renew democratic mood.
6/
Coefficient estimates of regressions estimating the effect of the number of turnovers to which one has been exposed over their lifetime, depending on type of political institutions.
The effect is as strong in presidential, parliamentary, proportional and non-proportional countries. But it's stronger in liberal democracies.
It's also stronger for those who have never experienced anything else than democracy, that is, those who might take democracy for granted.
5/
Coefficient estimates of regressions estimating the effect of the number of turnovers to which one has been exposed over their lifetime, and the number of elections not leading to a turnover, on their support for democracy.
Finding: Cohort analysis shows that being exposed to an extra elections increases support for democracy, but being exposed to an election leading to a turnover even more so.
The effect doesn't fade away and is particularly strong after a long period of incumbency (like after 20 years)
4/
Histogram showing number of elections and turnovers experienced by survey respondents in the dataset.
Data: I merged a range of international survey data (N=350,000) and trace the elections to which respondents have been exposed in their country since they were young. Descriptive statistics are interesting I guess
3/
The argument: I test whether elections experienced by people over their lifetime can boost their support for democracy in the long run. And crucially: elections leading to government turnovers, because they showcase what democracy is about.
2/
Title and abstract of the accepted paper.
Over the moon π. My paper "Renewing Democracy:
How Exposure to Electoral Turnovers Reinforces Citizensβ Democratic Support" is accepted in World Politics. LINK: osf.io/preprints/os....
First paper fully conceived since my second child was born 4 years ago. For those who know, big milestone.
π§΅
1/
π» Great new podcast on political behaviour - the last episode features my @lsegovernment.bsky.social colleague Florian Foos @florianfoos.bsky.social on whether campaigns matter, Mamdaniβs victory and the Dutch elections -
listen here β¬οΈ
linktr.ee/Politically....
Take-aways: (i) support for violence against politicians is low (phew), (ii) largely unrelated to affective polarization, and (iii) we can reduce it with simple and scalable interventions.
A paper that gives us some hope
End/
Results of vignette experiment showing that the interventions decreased milder forms of violence against politicians.
We've also a vignette experiment where we test whether a simple intervention can decrease support for violence: encouraging people to consider politicians' perspective and reminding them about the importance of pluralism. It does for the most pervasive form of violence
5/
Results of conjoint analysis showing that the socio-demographic background of respondents shapes support for violence.
Conjoint shows that support is lower when the politician is a woman (fits stereotypical views), but partisanship don't. Negative correlation disappears when controlling for individual variables. The profile of violent citizens are low-educated young men who dislike all parties
4/
Histogram showing that most people don't support violence against politicians, although support is higher for milder forms line online insult.
Similar to other studies using these types of survey questions, we find that people don't support the most extreme forms of violence (physical assault), but they do support "milder" forms like online insult. Though, overall support is rather low, no more than 10% support.
3/
We rely on latest recommendations (@seanjwestwood.bsky.social and colleagues) and survey citizen support for concrete violence forms against (hypothetical) politicians using a conjoint in France (very high polarization, think about US) and french-speaking Belgium (much much lower).
2/
The image shows the paper's title and abstract.
New WP on political violence in democracies with the fantastic @dianebolet.bsky.social and @bjarneck.bsky.social. Sadly very topical, but with some positive results
osf.io/preprints/so...
1/