@juancangulo.bsky.social
Profesor en Ibero CDMX. Applied Microeconomist. Development and Political Economy. Eng,Esp. https://sites.google.com/view/juancangulo
P.S. I will be presenting this paper at #LACEA conference this year in Recife!
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#LACEA2025 @lacea2025.bsky.social
We underscore the importance of the timing, tone, and content of the information.
While it does not change the behavior of recurrent consumers, it may for new ones!
Full paper here:
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
#ThatsAllFolks
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But, we find that regular buyers of avocados are not affected by the exposure to information...negative or positive!
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Yet, not all the news headline give the same result. It depends on the topic of the negative news headline.
Our respondents reacted more with the news relating avocados with criminal groups than with the environmental damages.
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We find that positive news increase the WTP; and negative, decreases it.
However! The driving force is the latest piece of news they receive. A positive information followed by a negative decreases the WTP, and a negative followed by a positive increases the WTP.
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Some participants were presented with 1 news headline and some with 2 in total. This created 9 possible treatment arms in our design, while it allows us to compare both between- and within-subjects change in their willingness to pay (WTP).
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We presented 1 of 3 possible news headline to some participants and none to others, and we asked them whether they were willing to pay $ X dollars for a bag of 4 avocados.
After their answer, we presented a 2nd different headline and asked again using the same price.
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🆕 Working Paper
In this paper with Aldo Gutierrez, we asked how exposure to multiple, sometimes conflicting sources of information change the willingness to pay for a bag of #avocados.
Follow this threats to know what we find!
#EconSky #EconMexico #EconTwitter
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Feliz de presentar mi último paper en el ColMex y de compartir con colegas todo el día... con simulacro incluído!
#Economía #EconTwitter #EconMexico
Recientemente escribí sobre el crimen organizado y la violencia en #Mexico en los últimos 25 años. Aún hay retos pendientes de los que hablo en el artículo.
#EconMexico #EconTwitter #EconSky
www.cronica.com.mx/nacional/202...
Hey #PoliSky
If you are attending #APSA #APSA2025, check my coauthor Juan David Gelvez and our latest piece of research he is going to be presenting!
Happy to share today with some Friends of #ITAM and of #PoliticalEconomy
16.08.2025 15:08 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Good way to start the week and the month.
Our paper (with Aldo Gutierrez-Mendieta) has been accepted at #LACEA.
See you all in Recife!
#LACEA2025 #EconSky #EconTwitter
My practical tips for designing, implementing, and analyzing powerful experiments. In today's blog I summarize a new paper I've written for a special issue on power calculations. A key message is that it does not make sense to talk of “the” power of an experiment. blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...
28.07.2025 15:02 — 👍 22 🔁 12 💬 0 📌 1
My department at Leuphana University offers 6 fully funded PhD scholarships (incl. research funding) for three years.
If you are interested in studying democratic resilience (particularly party competition and elections 🤓) and you have a strong methodolgical background: Apply!
shorturl.at/kcTbG
“Nongkrong” is Indonesian slang for hanging out.
It means relaxing with friends, with no specific agenda.
If you search for “Nongkrong”, you’ll get a bunch of cafes.
Predicated on a culture of permissibility, where women can loiter with male & female friends 😀☕️
Recientemente escribí sobre el uso de técnicas de machine learning y sobre las ejecuciones extrajudiciales en #México
Parte de este escrito está basado en una reciente investigación publicada en @nature.com
Puedes leer la nota acá 👉 blog.economia.ibero.mx/cuando-el-us...
🆕 Meritocracy in the civil service: Lessons from Pakistan
Today on VoxDev, Shan Aman-Rana (University of Virginia) investigates whether merit can prevail in corrupt bureaucracies: voxdev.org/topic/instit...
Feliz de presentar en el Banco de México parte de mi investigación y compartir con colegas todo el día
#Banxico #Economia #EconTwitter #EconMexico
#IBERO
I had a great time presenting at the @canadianeconoassoc.bsky.social conference and got the chance to meet amazing scholars, plus we got nice feedback for the paper!
#CEA2025 #EconTwitter #EconSky
In Montréal to present my latest paper, joint with my friend Aldo, at the Canadian Economic Conference (@canadianeconoassoc.bsky.social)
Stick around for Saturday's "Weird and Wonderful / Bizarre et merveilleux" session!
#EconTwitter #EconSky
#CEA2025
I had an amazing time presenting my work at RIDGE about avocados and conflict in Mexico. I'm thankful to @jvargas.bsky.social for the amazing comments and ways to move forward
20.05.2025 00:24 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Thrilled to present my work at LACEA and @alcaponeconf.bsky.social 's economics of crime workshop! Plus, I get to share with @jvargas.bsky.social and @santiagotobon.bsky.social , two great researchers and friends that help me shape my own research
15.05.2025 17:19 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1Este artículo esta basado en una investigación que usa modelos de machine learning para predecir violencia militar y de policía
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Feliz de ver mi artículo de opinión en La Cronica de Hoy.
Esta vez escribo sobre predicción de violaciones de derechos humanos en México para entender las dinámicas del conflicto en México.
www.cronica.com.mx/opinion/2025...
Just before presenting at @mpsa.bsky.social on how information about the conflict and the environmental consequences of avocado production affect our consumption choices.
#MPSA #MPSA2025
Happy to be in Chicago for #MPSA2025. It is always good to be back in the windy city and see old friends 😃
02.04.2025 22:17 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
"El tiempo de las amazonas" es una gran novela que tuve la suerte de leer. Super recomendada ahora que se aproxima la #FILBo2025, al igual que otros autores Colombianos que he leído en los últimos meses. Si ven libros de Marvel Moreno, comprenlos!
#BookSky
While international drug trafficking dominates discussions, urban criminal groups controlling local markets and politics are equally serious. @harrissocial.bsky.social's @chrisblattman.bsky.social examines crime in Chicago, Medellín, and San Salvador, offering policy solutions. ow.ly/9xhI50Vqucn
28.03.2025 15:04 — 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Had an amazing two days in Bogota + a lovely visit at @uniades - see the view from my borrowed office, in sun + in rain! (And my delicious evening cocktail)
28.03.2025 20:57 — 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
