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Nathaniel Noe

@nathanielnoe.bsky.social

Attorney | Former Attorney-Adviser at State Department | Pluralist | Liberal in the classical sense

10,156 Followers  |  10,996 Following  |  30 Posts  |  Joined: 31.07.2023  |  1.9789

Latest posts by nathanielnoe.bsky.social on Bluesky

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19.12.2024 18:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 114    ๐Ÿ” 23    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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Haberman: โ€œElon Musk has an enormous amount of influence, at least, in communicating for Donald Trump.โ€

www.mediaite.com/news/maggie-...

19.12.2024 18:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 70    ๐Ÿ” 10    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 15    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
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This looks like a PSA on how to spot elder abuse.

19.12.2024 05:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 55    ๐Ÿ” 13    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

She is vulnerable in a primary because she knows she has to maintain her reputation as a moderate to win the general. You can get away with moving right to win the primary in most states, but not in Maine. This is especially true in a non-Presidential year.

22.11.2024 17:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

John Curtis (newly-elected Senator from Utah) will soon go from unknown to household name. He will be the deciding vote in holding back some of Trumpโ€™s most egregious abuses. He suggested as much on the trail, but his reported โ€œnoโ€ on Matt Gaetz confirms it.

21.11.2024 19:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 247    ๐Ÿ” 60    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
The Way of the Wind - Wikipedia

All his movies are great in the way of satisfying novels that you remember long after. Looking forward to this one (he says his last) coming in March.

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Way...

19.11.2024 19:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thank you! ๐Ÿ’™

18.11.2024 23:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

And note that this question is specifically about the Measles vaccine. Support among Republican voters โ€” especially those who identify as MAGA โ€” for other vaccines is significantly lower.

18.11.2024 19:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 89    ๐Ÿ” 19    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Five years ago, 20% of Republican leaning voters believed parents should not be required to vaccinate their children in order to attend school (even if it might harm other students). By March โ€˜23 it was up to 42%. It is very likely over 50% by now & by all indications still growing. Dangerous trend!

18.11.2024 19:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 241    ๐Ÿ” 105    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 32    ๐Ÿ“Œ 10
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A brutally accurate summary of the next 4-years

15.11.2024 00:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 484    ๐Ÿ” 150    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 14    ๐Ÿ“Œ 11
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A year and a half ago RFK jr was running in the Democratic primary. But it was already clear then where he was headed.

14.11.2024 21:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 59    ๐Ÿ” 12    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

This Biden quote from a year ago is even more relevant now.

07.11.2024 00:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 42    ๐Ÿ” 12    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

โ€ฆif we know one thing about Trumpโ€™s psyche, itโ€™s that he loves nothing more than making a competitor bend the knee to him. So Trump will likely dangle the prospect of DeSantis as VP for at least a news cycle or two. By then, DeSantis may think itโ€™s in his best interest to play along.

08.11.2023 22:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

โ€ฆthatโ€™s good for his future prospects. Trump holding VP out as a carrot makes it less likely DeSantis goes after him (for whatever thatโ€™s worth). So there is potential strategic benefit on both sides. More importantlyโ€ฆ

08.11.2023 22:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

5. There are many who think Trump would never select DeSantis as his running mate. They might be right, but that possibility will be thrown around more often in the coming weeks. DeSantis looks better to the MAGA base if they think Trump is considering him for VP. DeSantis thinksโ€ฆ

08.11.2023 22:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

4. If Haley is the consensus winner, all the momentum & money will shift to her. While itโ€™s likely DeSantis intends to stay in the race through Iowa, that calculus could change as the image of him as the frontrunner who collapsed builds and begins to weigh on his future prospects.

08.11.2023 22:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

โ€ฆwill be in her element. Haley is a much better debater than DeSantis. If DeSantis pushes her too far, thereโ€™s a good chance Haley embarrasses him.

08.11.2023 22:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

3. DeSantis knows Haley is beating him and will focus all his attention on her. He will take this opportunity to roll out his (not at all misogynistic) Haley = Hillary line of attack. But foreign policy will be the main topic of the debate and so Haleyโ€ฆ

08.11.2023 22:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

2. Itโ€™s been obvious for a while that this is a 3-way race for 2nd place. Itโ€™s also obvious thatโ€“in the race for runner-upโ€“Tim Scott is the odd-man out. If he doesnโ€™t perform significantly better tonight than he did at the last two debates, he is done before well before we get to Iowa.

08.11.2023 22:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Some notes on tonightโ€™s debate:

1. Despite the fact that we are only 2 months away from the Iowa Caucus, this debate has less buzz than any Primary debate Iโ€™ve ever seen. I canโ€™t find anyone in the real world who even knows itโ€™s happening.

08.11.2023 22:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Sadly confirmed. From @yasharali.bsky.social

โ€œUpdate on the death of Paul Kessler, the elderly Jewish man who died today.
The Ventura County Sheriffโ€™s Office says the medical examiner has ruled his death a homicide.โ€

07.11.2023 04:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
ynet - ืžื‘ื–ืงื™ื ืžื‘ื–ืงื™ ื—ื“ืฉื•ืช ืžื”ืืจืฅ ื•ืžื”ืขื•ืœื. ืžื‘ื–ืงื™ื ื‘ื ื•ืฉืื™ ืกืคื•ืจื˜, ืคื•ืœื™ื˜ื™ืงื”, ืชืจื‘ื•ืช, ื‘ืจื™ืื•ืช ื•ืขื•ื“ - ื›ืœ ืžื” ืฉืขืœ ืกื“ืจ ื”ื™ื•ื. ืขืงื‘ื• ืืชืจ ื”ืžื‘ื–๏ฟฝ...

..an elderly supporter of Israel, lay on the floor bleeding &was rushed to a hospital. Today he was pronounced dead due to a cerebral hemorrhage. The Los Angeles Police Department confirmed the details of the case, but declined to provide further details at this time.โ€
www.ynet.co.il/news/categor...

07.11.2023 00:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

From a reputable source (translated from Hebrew):

โ€œIn Los Angeles, a suspected pro-Palestinian protestor beat a pro-Israel protester to death with a megaphone. According to people present at the scene, a verbal confrontation developed between the two that suddenly escalated. The protester, anโ€ฆ 1/

07.11.2023 00:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

For an offhand quote, there is a great deal of both wisdom and knowledge of history in this quote. Itโ€™s one of the most perspicacious things iโ€™ve heard a President say in a long time.

03.11.2023 01:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 54    ๐Ÿ” 26    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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A forced opportunity for both Parties to define who they are. Will any Democrats vote to censure Tlaib? Will any Republicans vote to censure MTG? Will 77 Republicans - the number needed for a 2/3 majority - vote to expel Santos?

From @andrewsolender.bsky.social :

26.10.2023 22:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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This list of Speaker Mike Johnsonโ€™s beliefs & โ€œachievementsโ€ is a collection of the worst possible policy positions Republicans could highlight going into 2024. These 4 assertions are catastrophic in swing districts. And they all have the added advantage (for Dems) of being true.

25.10.2023 17:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

โ€ฆvoted or tended to vote Republican & now feel completely foreign in the GOP. Itโ€™s not just the policy stances. Itโ€™s the quick & utter abandonment of principles and character. All traces of empathy, thoughtfulness, and love demonized and replaced with anger and resentment. 3/

24.10.2023 14:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

โ€ฆresentful individualsโ€™ and a collection of institutions intent on keeping them that way.โ€

You donโ€™t see words like โ€œconsiderateโ€ and โ€œloveโ€ used much in political analyses, but this quote captures the core sentiment and core fear of so many who onceโ€ฆ 2/

24.10.2023 14:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

From Mckay Coppinsโ€™ insightful & well-written new book on Mitt Romney. Romney describing the recent trajectory of the GOP:

โ€œโ€ฆthe party was โ€˜shedding thoughtful people, considerate people, people who love othersโ€™ at an unsustainable rate. What remained was a core of โ€˜angry,โ€ฆ 1/3

24.10.2023 14:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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Huge deal not yet being talked about. If Jordan becomes Speaker, there will be no more funding for Ukraine. GOP House will block all funding going forward. This is awful in itself, and will also go a long way toward ending whatโ€™s left of what we once called the Republican Party.

04.10.2023 15:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

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