Nick Kalinowski

Super excited to share that I have accepted a role within the analytics department with the Denver Nuggets moving forward!

Eternally grateful to everyone here for their support for my content over the years, this is a dream come true for me. Excited to get started!

Gracias por los recuerdos, Sudamérica

Volveré pronto!

Excited to announce the release of my personal website, which contains links to all of my basketball analytics projects in one place, for both NCAA and professional/NBA! Check it out here:

kalidrafts.com

Time for the annual "let's extremely overreact to summer league box scores" part of the offseason

He signed with the Pelicans I believe, but yes I had him as a priority UDFA target for that reason. On the "smaller" side for guards nowadays but he has a +7 wingspan and uses it effectively on defense. Gonna need to keep up that 40+% three point shooting rate into SL if he wants to make the squad

NBA G-League values have been added to the International League BPM database, as well as the following leagues:

Australian NBL1, German NBBL, Argentina (Liga A, Liga Argentina, Liga Desarrollo), Uruguay (LUB), Venezuela, Basketball Africa League, Turkish U19 Super League

Similarly to my International League Box Plus-Minus (BPM) database, I created a spreadsheet depicting the BPM values of every FIBA Youth Competition, going back historically as far as I could find data. Link below!

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Nope, only ran it for this year. Hopefully will do some stuff with historical data soon

International Leagues BPM Values

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

I computed the Box Plus-Minus (BPM) for almost every major international league! The spreadsheet includes over 40 domestic and continental competitions, from Europe, Asia, and South America.

A must-have tool for international hoops fans/scouts/coaches. Link below!

Here are the results from last year, as additional context

It's that time of the year again! Here is where my Machine Learning Big Board stands on the best available prospects from the NCAA ranks in this year's NBA Draft. Rankings are determined by expected performance over a player's rookie contract

Note that this is *not* my opinion

Combine Score website has gotten over 100,000 hits over the past month, which is absolutely crazy. Thank you all so much for the support, this means the world to me

I computed the Box Plus-Minus (BPM) values for most of the early-entry International/G league prospects to the 2025 NBA Draft

Here they are in ranked order. Note that some teams are still playing games. These values are through this morning

Pending last min changes, this is the final draft status of every prospect who declared for the 2025 NBA Draft and was invited to the combine.

Final withdrawal rate: 12/40 (30%). Not much higher than last year; however, the percentage of autoeligible players (38%) is much higher

Draft Data Deep Dive, Part II: Athletic Wings and Second-Round Gems for the Lakers Let’s talk data, models, and other insights on athletic wings, bigs, and low-risk gambles

🚨Lakers fans alert 🚨 New Draft Data Deep Dive with @kalidrafts.bsky.social

Athletic, defensive-minded gems the Lakers could target in the 2nd round. Exactly what this roster is desperate for.
📊 Stats, comps, and Combine models
digginbasketball.substack.com/p/draft-data...

ANGT BPM Rankings

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

The Adidas Next Generation Tournament (ANGT) recently concluded, and I have calculated the Box Plus-Minus (BPM) values for every player who participated.

Here are the top 20 qualified players, and the link below will include all players who appeared in >60 minutes of gametime

Draft Data Deep Dive, Part I: The Cooper Flagg Comparisons You Haven’t Heard Yet Let’s talk data, models, and other insights on the prodigy prospect

🚨Cooper Flagg Data Deep-Dive🚨

Stats, comps, and a detailed Q&A with @kalidrafts.bsky.social‬ on the most hyped prospect in years. With data, models, tons of comps, playmaking, fit in Dallas...👇

digginbasketball.substack.com/p/draft-data...

all the same to me

Today's Athletic Profile Comparison:

Walter Clayton Jr. and Brandon Knight

It's mandatory now, but in past years, not a lot

The full #Rstats shiny webapp includes Player Profiles, Overall Rankings, and a Recruit Points breakdown, which explains the methodology for the score for each player.

Check it out here:

nkal11.shinyapps.io/NCAA_Interna...

The Recruit Points model has a pretty good past success rate at projecting which international players will contribute immediately at various levels. Here are some recent examples, and their respective Recruit Points values:

The full database includes all NCAA-eligible players from the following leagues:

France (Pro A, Pro B, NM1, Espoirs), Spain (ACB, PFEB, SFEB), Italy (A, A2), Germany, ABA (Sr and Jr), Turkey (BSL, TBL), Lithuania (LKL, NKL), Greece (A1, A2), BNXT, NBL, SKL, Premijer Liga, KLS, & more!

College coaches and fans, with the recent flood of international prospects into the NCAA, I aimed to create a system to compare the best eligible players from the major European leagues against one another

Introducing: The Recruit Points model, a 7-category statistical approach to rank intl players

Update: Maluach and Bryant are in, Karaban will return to UConn.

Have not heard/seen anything on Faye and Zikarsky

NBA Draft Early Entry Deadline is tonight at 11:59 PM EST, with no official word on the following players:

-Khaman Maluach
-Alex Karaban
-Carter Bryant
-Mouhamed Faye
-Rocco Zikarsky

Seems like the South Sudanese visa restrictions may prevent Maluach from being able to enter

Appreciate that!

GitHub - nkal22/ncaa_hoops_pbp: Package to Extract Play-by-Play Data for NCAA Men's and Women's Basketball Package to Extract Play-by-Play Data for NCAA Men's and Women's Basketball - nkal22/ncaa_hoops_pbp

These scripts pull play-by-play data directly from the NCAA website, get the lineups that were in the game for both teams for all events, and can even compute on-off statistics for any player or group of players.

Instructions on my GitHub:

github.com/nkal22/ncaa_...