Since neither axis is time the lines (which represent linear time) can double back if the % of grads drops over time (eg if lower educated immigrants outstrip new grads)
20.02.2026 13:10 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0@harlingg.bsky.social
Epidemiologist @uclglobalhealth.bsky.social & @ahri-news.bsky.social. Focus on data collection, social networks & health (HIV, mental health, caregiving, vaccines). Mostly in southern Africa.
Since neither axis is time the lines (which represent linear time) can double back if the % of grads drops over time (eg if lower educated immigrants outstrip new grads)
20.02.2026 13:10 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0New post, on how AI is coming for open source software: kucharski.substack.com/p/will-your-...
14.01.2026 19:34 β π 40 π 22 π¬ 3 π 4
Do you want to learn about global mental health? At @uclglobalhealth.bsky.social in London? With global experts like @thewrittenro.bsky.social and Kelly Rose-Clarke?
Here's a 2 minute video about our brand new one-year MSc, do reach out to Rochelle or Kelly learn more!
#globalhealth #mentalhealth
The detailed stats are, as noted, above my paygrade. But great to see there are methods specific to network studies that give us some great estimands at low marginal cost. Exciting times!
And since the journal article is paywalled, here's the arXiv version
I was lucky to chat with Laura Forastiere @yalesph.bsky.social recently - a v nerdy discussion of networks & interventions - and stats that are well above my paygrade
Which sent me off to read her latest methods paper on how to estimate causal effects in cRCTs using egonet contacts as controls
Also, maybe consider modelling network dependencies using ALAAMs or similar.
(I know, I only have one tune these days, but its a cool option when you have true sociocentric data)
For me this begs for longitudinal +/- qual data to see unpack whether this is homphily (knowledgeable people are friends) or influence (friends teaching friends). Or even if nurses at clinics are teaching friends jointly?
So hopefully lots more work to come!
Just read this new paper from Alison Comfort et al, incl @drdrtsai.bsky.social as senior author. Great evidence of clustering of knowlege (about getting your baby tested for HIV if you are living with HIV) on networks!
19.12.2025 12:54 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0
Authors suggest this reversal may be driven by e.g. women who have been attacked by their husbands (who have pro-IPVAW attitudes) then reacting to be more negative
Another great use of ALAAM modelling to unpack social clustering/influence/contagion in a principled way!
Another great paper using social network data from >5000 Ethiopians by @drsarahmyers.bsky.social, @danielredhead.bsky.social et al.
They show how attitudes towards IPV against women cluster socially on gender-homphilous ties. But opposite-gender ties actually predict *reverse* IPVAW attitudes
β¬
The vaccine paper was led by Steven Wilson at University of South Florida - I don't immediately see the authors on here.
And sadly it is behind a paywall, so far as I can tell.
The paper uses Daena Goldsmith's Normative Rhetorical Theory (new to me), with its focus on how your words are interpretted by those hearing them, and how this interpretation is filtered through the tasks, identities and relationships involved (this is my first very surface read of the theory)
19.12.2025 10:32 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
4 key dilemmas raised by respondents:
(a) I want to use facts, but they donβt trust the facts
(b) I want to respect but challenge their views
(c) I want to push hard enough without pushing too hard
(d) I want to respect their right to choose while guiding them to the βrightβ choice
How do people negotiate discussions around vaccines with close contacts, as reported by 100 US residents around Covid
Respondents suggest ways of handling complex conversations:
- Reframing diffs of opinion as caring
- Focusing on personal experince not science
- Build from shared moral viewpoints
A poster reading βI kissed a koala and I like itβ
Excellent marketing for this Kiss the Koala cafe. Terrible public health messaging
14.12.2025 10:56 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0A handy translation guide for non-academic speakers.
13.11.2025 14:19 β π 56 π 15 π¬ 0 π 5
We think this was due to some combination of:
1) insufficient training of interviewers (squarely on me)
2) non-comprehension of reverse-coded questions (low education attainment)
3) non-transferability of scale items to these communities
The scales from elsewhere did not cohere in a very poor rural setting. Respondents appeared not to 'get' the prompts leading to terrible internal validity and test-retest reliability
14.11.2025 06:58 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
Second, work led by (then medical student) Karolin Kirchgaesser. We evaluated if the BIDR scale developed in high-income settings could identify which Burkinabe adolescents are more likely to (intentionally or unintentionally) mis-report in favour of socially desirable answers
Reader, we can not
First up, with David Lindstrom @brownsociology.bsky.social we show that using non-verbal response cards (so interviewers don't know what answer respondents give), increases reporting of sensitive experiences. In this case #trauma & #ptsd in rural Burkinabe teens
Msg: Privacy in interviews matters
π¨ New methods papers π¨
I'm delighted to report we have two papers out this week that try and improve how we collect and analyse survey data
Colleagues are probably bored of me saying it, but an interview is a dyadic process & we should always consider the effect of both parties & their interaction
On Tuesday, we hosted Jane Greve (VIVE β Danish Centre for Social Science Research) for a fascinating seminar on βFamily Spillovers of Dementia.β Using 20 years of Danish register data, she explored how parental dementia affects adult childrenβs lives.
06.11.2025 14:22 β π 2 π 2 π¬ 1 π 0This is all part of our wider mixed-methods investigation of rural informal caregiving:
05.11.2025 14:14 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
In-depth ethnography highlighted that our surveys - one part of a wider quantitative questionnaire, one during the ethnographic process - missed key aspects of health limitations. Esp about functional limitations vs diagnosed disease
Tl; dr We needed to do better scoping these survey questions
π¨ New paper π¨
We have a lovely mixed-methods paper highlighting how method of data collection *strongly* affects what you find
In the context of informal caregiving for older persons in rural South Africa
Work led by Michelle Brear and Lenore Manderson
For anyone interested in social networks and interventions, this new book (out at the end of Nov) by Tom Valente is self-recommending and likely to be the bible for some time to come
#networks #interventions #socialnetworks
Interesting (pre-print) protocol for a study @bristoluni.bsky.social @einsteinmededu.bsky.social & Kenya MOH & AIDS/STI Control Programmestudy to link behaviour & phylogenetics around blood-borne & sexually transmitted infections in Kenya. With the plan of modelling interventions to reduce BBI
14.10.2025 16:13 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I probably skimmed this article too fast, but would have loved to see this work in disucssion with past literature on fixed choice designs
14.10.2025 16:03 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0