FPL Under The Radar

Bayshore Half Marathon at Traverse City, Michigan ✅️

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#GW34 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC Data

Source: @fbref.com
- '24/25 Season Data
- Home and away are taken into consideration

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#GW33 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC Data

Source: @fbref.com
- '24/25 Season Data
- Home and away are taken into consideration

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#GW30 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC Data

Source: @fbref.com
- '24/25 Season Data
- Home and away are taken into consideration

Eid Mubarak!

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#GW29 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC Data

Source: @fbref.com
- '24/25 Season Data
- Home and away are taken into consideration

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#GW28 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC Data

Source: @fbref.com
- '24/25 Season Data
- Home and away are taken into consideration

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#GW27 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC Data

Source: @fbref.com

- '24/25 Season Data
- Home and away are taken into consideration

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#GW26 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC Data

Source: @fbref
- '24/25 Season Data
- Home and away are taken into consideration

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@fpl-kante.bsky.social
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#GW24 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC Data

Source: @fbref.com
- '24/25 Season Data
- Home and away are taken into consideration

cc:
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#GW23 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC Data

Source: @fbref.com
- '24/25 Season Data
- Home and away are taken into consideration

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#GW22 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC

Data Source: @fbref.com
- '24/25 Season Data
- Home and away are taken into consideration

It’s worth noting, WHU faced tougher opponents at home in the first half of the season, which skewed their home xGC data.

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#GW21 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC

Source: @fbref.com
- '24/25 Season Data
- Home and away are taken into consideration

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N.B.: Saka omitted from the chart for aesthetics. He is at 0.35 BC/90 and 1.4 BCC/90. He is the only player with more than 1.0 BCC/90.

OPTA defines 'Big Chance' as "A situation where a player should reasonably be expected to score, usually in a one on one scenario or from very close range when the ball has a clear path to goal and there is low to moderate pressure on the shooter." Penalties are always considered big chances.

#FPL Big Chance Involvement

x−axis: Big Chances Per 90 minutes
y−axis: Big Chances Created Per 90 minutes

Data from: @fffix-fpl.bsky.social, for GW1−20 this season. Only players who have played at least 450 minutes so far, and have at least 1 big chance involvement.

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#FPL Accumulated Expected Goal Involvement (xG+xAG) up to GW20. The chart shows all 20 teams' total xGI and players' share in that. Note that LIV and EVE have played 1 game less than others, and this data also doesn't include the NFO vs WOL game.

Data source: @fbref.com

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Attacker (10m or below) Mins/App. vs. nPxGI/90

Data: @ffscoutfpl.bsky.social
- Minimum 8 Starts and 30 Mins/App.
- Maximum 10.0m Cost Midfielders and Forwards
- GW 1-19

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#GW20 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC

Source: @fbref.com
- '24/25 Season Data
- Home/Away are considered

Yes, BRE's away xG has been quite poor this season

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Attacking & Defensive Fixture Difficulty [GW 20-23]

X: Opponent Accumulated xGC from @fbref.com
- '24/25 Season Data
- Home/Away are considered

Y: Total Cleansheet Probability from @fplreview.com

Happy New Year 2025! Here's to an exciting year ahead! 🥂⚽ 📊

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It’s worth noting, though, some teams (e.g., WHU) might face tougher opponents at home in the first half of the season, which could skew their home data to appear worse than their away data.

#GW19 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC

Source: @fbref.com
- '24/25 Season Data
- Home/Away are considered

With half the season complete, we are now focusing solely on this season’s home/away data and disregarding the previous season's information.

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#GW18 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC

Data: @fbref.com
- GW1 '23/24 - GW17 '24/25
- Home/Away are considered, except for the Promoted teams, for which '24/25 season data are averaged

Wishing you Happy Holidays, everyone!

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Attacking Fixture Difficulty in GW 18-20 & GW21-23

Data: @fbref.com
- Home/Away are considered from GW1 of the last season, except for the promoted team

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#GW17 Match-up: Team xG vs. Opponent xGC

Data: @fbref.com
- GW1 '23/24 - GW16 '24/25
- Home/Away are considered, except for the Promoted teams, for which '24/25 season data are averaged

Hardly any teams are in the first quadrant — a delightful GW ahead!🙂

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↘️📡

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@radarfpl.bsky.social’s signature Talisman chart 👇

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home have been poor, their defense has shown improvement under Amorim. In 7 matches across all competitions, their xGC was below 1.0 on 5 occasions

⭕️ The next two fixtures are favorable for WHU and BHA attackers

⭕️Most of the strong teams have favorable defensive and offensive fixtures

⭕️ FUL, CRY, and MUN are some notable teams whose fixtures improve during this period

⭕️ WOL falls into Q4 primarily due to their next two matches against LEI (A) and MUN (H). Although MUN's defensive numbers away from

Attacking & Defensive Fixture Difficulty GW 17-21

X: Opponent Accumulated xGC from @fbref.com
- Home/Away are considered from GW1 of the last season, except for the promoted teams

Y: Total Cleansheet Probability from @fplreview.com

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