Craig Gilbert

Gilbert: How Wisconsin liberals have made spring elections a nightmare for Republicans The April 1 Wisconsin Supreme Court election was a powerful signal of the transformation of judicial politics in the state.

my look at the Trump Era forces that have led to liberal dominance of big court elections in Wisconsin, and how the April election math and political map has changed for Dems and Reps (including the big role Milwaukee is suddenly playing in these contests):
bit.ly/4lD717X

Gilbert: Wisconsin's super-charged Supreme Court election delivers sobering signs for GOP Wisconsin's Supreme Court race underscored recurring challenges for Republicans in the Trump era.

my take on the Wisc. election, where the unexpected combo of 10-pt lib/Dem victory AND the kind of insane November-style turnout GOP was hoping for (50% of voting age pop - more than US midterm turnout in '22) gave it added political significance
bit.ly/4jgnVr5

Gilbert: What makes Wisconsin's nationalized Supreme Court race a unique political test The Wisconsin Supreme Court race is not only the most expensive and partisan. It is the first time both sides have nationalized the race.

I don't thinkyou can turn a Wisconsin court race into an actual "referendum" on Trump, but this race is a test of how much you can nationalize a state judicial election, and a test of how much Trump/Musk can mobilize voters on BOTH sides in a normally lower-turnout election:
bit.ly/4kUHxTg

Gilbert: Donald Trump registers record intensity of pro-and-con public opinion in Wisconsin The newest Marquette Law School poll of Wisconsin voters places Donald Trump as a historically polarizing figure.

Donald Trump is polarizing the public to a degree never before seen in 13 years of Wisconsin polling by Marquette Law (80-plus surveys). My look at latest WI poll:
bit.ly/3Xw83rQ

In new WI Marquette poll, Trump is at 48% approve 51% disapprove. No “honeymoon,” as in natl polling.
Trump’s approval never got up to 50% in his first term in WI, based on 24 Marquette polls, and this continues that pattern. His 48% matches peak from 1st term, but below his 49.6% of WI vote

Gilbert: What the Wisconsin Supreme Court race may say about the nation's most competitive state This spring's race for a seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court will speak to the political landscape in the nation's most competitive state.

My look at the looming April election showdown over the Wisconsin Supreme Court, a big battleground state election in the early months of the Trump presidency. Beginning with this race, WI has an April Supreme Court election every year from now until 2030: bit.ly/3CIJReF

Gilbert: The Wisconsin polling data that should trouble Democrats and cheer Republicans Wisconsin is known as a 50-50 state, but Republicans have steadily gained an edge in partisan identification, according to Marquette polling.

My look at an underappreciated trend: WI's partisan makeup has shifted in a GOP direction over the past decade (based on yrs of polling data) from a 6-pt Dem edge to a 3-4 pt Rep edge, even as Dems continue to win their share (or more) of big elections in this battleground state
bit.ly/49US2k9