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InfoMullet

@infomullet.bsky.social

TLDRUpFront, Full Context in the Back. Creating context for the wicked mess systems that surround us. Become a Mulleteer and support the InfoMullet! http://patreon.com/infomullet My research, webinars, podcasts etc.: https://linktr.ee/timothyclancy

158 Followers  |  55 Following  |  183 Posts  |  Joined: 17.11.2023  |  2.0425

Latest posts by infomullet.bsky.social on Bluesky

Both #Musk and #Trump are Stalinists. Neither believe in free speech, a free market, or a free Ukraine.

11.03.2025 13:58 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Welp. That probably could've gone better.

28.02.2025 18:49 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Source for ruling: thehill.com/regulation/c...

28.02.2025 02:01 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

See link below for most recent Lane Picker COPS update
and pinned post on why we're tracking these as part of Phase 2 spoiling counters:

bsky.app/profile/info...

28.02.2025 01:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Ruling reversing OPM firing of probationary workers in key case.

"(OPM) does not have any authority whatsoever, under any statute in the history of the universe, to hire and fire employees within another agency...The agencies could thumb their nose at OPM if they wanted to."

#AltGov

28.02.2025 01:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Rational Security: The β€œLeftover Chicken Kyiv” Edition
YouTube video by Lawfare Rational Security: The β€œLeftover Chicken Kyiv” Edition

Anastasiia Lapatina at 1:07:18 with the motto for 2025: "Why can't they [Trump admin] do this with the Russians? I would so much prefer them to treat the bad guys badly and to treat difficult guys [illegal immigrants] lawfully."

youtu.be/lC4zZRi55kE?...

27.02.2025 13:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

1 case dismissed on the merits
2 cases dimissed for standing or jurisdiction
(not all case statuses are listed so sum of case statuses != sum of cases) 6/6

26.02.2025 15:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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12 temporary restraining orders (TRO) granted, halting Presidential actions until PI can be ruled on
4 TRO’s denied and the case continues
12 preliminary injunctions (PI) granted, halting Presidential action until the case is concluded
1 PI denied, and the case continues 5/6

26.02.2025 15:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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83 current legal actions tracked representing 90 original cases
47 cases proceeding with no ruling yet
1 consent decree managing a Presidential action
1 administrative stay granted halting Presidential action until TRO or PI can be ruled on 4/6

26.02.2025 15:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Actions subject to a temporary restraining orders (drk green) are halted for a few days, while preliminary injunctions (lt green) are halted until the trial concludes. Actions still in effect (bright red) will most likely require backfill local provision of services or support. 3/6

26.02.2025 15:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The COPS aligns with Phase 2 Spoiling Counters of the phase-based forecast scenario (see pinned post), where already existing well-funded organizations use lawsuits to slow #Presidential overreach while everyone else uses a Fabian strategy to build capacity. 2/6

26.02.2025 15:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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This visual provides a common operating picture (COPS) of all current legal actions against #Trump actions. The purpose is to help people understand what is being countered and where they can help or what β€œlane” they can pick. 1/6

26.02.2025 15:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Low-key nostalgic for that Biden administration. Sure, he may very well have been senile, but I don't recall the entire Federal government getting paralyzed over 5-bullet emails....

25.02.2025 16:34 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Dictator's Dilemma:
infomullet.com/2020/03/31/d...

CLD of Kilcullen's Accidental Guerilla Theory:
youtu.be/j06z0LJmXWM 31/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Theory of an Emerging-State Actor: The Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) Case † This paper proposes a new theory of non-state actors who engage in irregular warfare to seize territory and govern openly, called emerging-state actors. Emerging-state actors arise in periods of irreg...

π‘¨π’…π’…π’Šπ’•π’Šπ’π’π’‚π’ 𝑺𝒐𝒖𝒓𝒄𝒆𝒔:
Emerging State Actor Hypothesis: www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/6/...

Root Causes of Radicalization: incose.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1...

Contingencies of Violent Radicalization:
www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/9/... 30/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Worse, all the time they spend degrading their capabilities is time *not* spent on organizing local resources to backstop the problems and also accumulate the frictions. This planning forecast shows where they can show up and prepare, and when/where they can join in for maximum effectiveness. 29/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Most people now, TBH, are accumulating stressors that degrade their ability to sustain and don’t know what to do. Watch for how frequently people report "getting exhausted" or "fatigued" and noping out. 28/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

KEY TAKEAWAY ACROSS ALL FIVE PHASES: Individuals must plan and organizing to sustain for the long term and accelerate the accumulation of transactional frictions to reach that threshold tipping point at Phase 4. 27/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Notable exceptions are in areas of absolutely core Presidential unitary power (e.g. foreign relations, military actions, Federal law enforcement or where Congress regrettably has ceded authority etc.) 26/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

𝑷𝒉𝒂𝒔𝒆 5: π‘­π’Šπ’™ & 𝑯𝒐𝒍𝒅. When Trump loses or doesn’t think he’s popular he shifts between rages and listlessness. Going forward from the crisis with a few exceptions, the Trump administration is one of a list of 'things not achieved' quickly becoming internal blaming and fingerpointing. 25/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The key goal of mass mobilization is to both counter the immediate crisis with civil actions and deter escalation by the sheer size of response. Strategy Source: www.amazon.com/Civil-Resist... 24/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

If the crisis phase occurs, this is when Chenoweth’s civil resistance is employed. Groups that have been preparing for civil resistance since the beginning can now join in. People who haven’t been preparing but just want to β€œshow up and do something” will also probably join in here. 23/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

In 2020 these were the BLM protests. During this crisis, Trump may take a severe action to impose some form of Federal control over all levels. Similar to his attempt to invoke Insurrection Act, in JUN 20 but was rebuffed DoD leadership which backed him off. Or it may look different. 22/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

π‘ͺ𝑹𝑰𝑺𝑰𝑺 (𝒀𝒆𝒂𝒓 3-4) When Trumps frustration at a stalled agenda mounts, in his third staff rotation, and with additive complexity closing in, a domestic crisis will occur. This will be emergent, not forecast in advance, or plan intentionally, but it will be obvious when it happens. 21/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
InfoMullet: Principles of Unrestricted Warfare TLDRUpFront: As China continues to exert pressure on multiple fronts its important to understand a tenet of their strategic doctrine. "Unrestricted Warfare" advances a state-actor strategy of asymmetr

Strategy Source: infomullet.com/2020/07/29/u... 20/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Trying to move forward programs, navigate scandals, maintain lawsuits, adjust to new personnel paralyzes forward momentum on the agenda. New groups that have prepared for this can begin stepping up and opening new axises of countering, relieving the larger groups from carrying all the weight. 19/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

𝑷𝒉𝒂𝒔𝒆 4: π‘°π’π’˜π’‚π’“π’… π‘¨π’…π’…π’Šπ’•π’Šπ’—π’† π‘ͺπ’π’Žπ’‘π’π’†π’™π’Šπ’•π’š. (𝒀𝒆𝒂𝒓 2-3) Often after a disappointing midterm that flips House or Senate, combining internal and external transactional frictions a threshold gets tripped and additive complexity, which the WH benefitted from in the beginning, gets flipped against it. 18/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Wedge strategy (diplomacy) - Wikipedia

New groups should continue building and organizing capability, delivering local services. It’s frustrating to keep preparing, but your time is coming. Strategy Source: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wedge_s... 17/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Especially on novel issues of untested areas, which many will be with the Trump approach of expansive and reinterpreted Federal authority, there may have to be several district rulings before SCOTUS finds it ripe.16/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

It can take years for an injuncted order in Jan-Feb of a new administration to work through State and Federal district, appeal courts -with a few accelerating to SCOTUS. 15/31

24.02.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

@infomullet is following 20 prominent accounts