Fintan Smith (Mac Gabhann)'s Avatar

Fintan Smith (Mac Gabhann)

@fintan-smith.bsky.social

Previously: Polling things at Labour Together | Now: Data Scientist at The Labour Party | Too often confused with a dog called Fenton | Repost / like != endorsement. He / him.

517 Followers  |  490 Following  |  18 Posts  |  Joined: 09.08.2024  |  2.1466

Latest posts by fintan-smith.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Welcome to slot-machine Britain! Our cover this week is on First Past the Post, the voting system that turns multi-party politics into a lottery.

Featuring our new modelling of British elections: www.economist.com/interactive/...

04.12.2025 16:14 β€” πŸ‘ 60    πŸ” 27    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 11
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The Green party: We should tax wealth!

Also the Green Party: No! Not like that!

The eternal story

03.12.2025 09:45 β€” πŸ‘ 92    πŸ” 34    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1

If it were steel works we would have a government bailout plan, yet losing thousands of jobs at unis is met with a shrug. & unlike steelworks universities were profitable when they had foreign students.
You are killing the golden goose… one of our best exports…

HOW IS THIS HELPING GROWTH?!

03.12.2025 08:14 β€” πŸ‘ 423    πŸ” 149    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 6

The whole interview is worth listening to and is a fair car crash.

But this is worth noting this segment given that some have said he's stepping away from MMT. Claiming we don't need to borrow more money, because we can print more.

02.12.2025 16:33 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 2

All this budget news, claims, counter claims is confusing, but two things of consequence.

1. We're all talking about that, not any financial benefits (or losses) of the budget.

2. Yet more focus on the very weird few weeks and politics of it all. Starting to feel dangerously like a norm.

01.12.2025 13:09 β€” πŸ‘ 261    πŸ” 49    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 5
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Donate to Help us help Moses build new sanitary toilets in Kibera, organized by Miriam Ronzoni Moses is an activist who has dedicated much of his life to impr… Miriam Ronzoni needs your support for Help us help Moses build new sanitary toilets in Kibera

Christmas is approaching, the season of giving, and this December I have decided to make a gift of my dignity by bravely/foolishly joining in a festive season challenge. Every day this month I will (attempt to) do 100 press-ups, to raise money for this fine cause: www.gofundme.com/f/help-us-he...

01.12.2025 10:07 β€” πŸ‘ 26    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2
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The publishers of the Oxford English Dictionary have declared "rage bait" their word of the year, but just 35% of Britons are confident they know what the word means

Confident know what it means: 35%
Vaguely know what it means: 22%
Have heard it, but don't know what it means: 9%
Not heard it: 34%

01.12.2025 17:02 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Nus Ghani MP - the Deputy Speaker - moved to the UK as a small child. She has been elected by the voters in Wealden in 2015, 2017, 2019 and 2024

More outright racism from the regular GB News & Talk TV contributor Lucy White - who previously called (on GB News) for all Muslims to leave Britain

26.11.2025 21:54 β€” πŸ‘ 580    πŸ” 195    πŸ’¬ 29    πŸ“Œ 11
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The minimum wage is not a cure all β€” we’re asking too much of business Politicians spend too much time uttering cheap rhetoric about cheap labour

My column in today’s FT: the vision since 2016 has been that the lever British governments pull to fight poverty is to increase the minimum wage. Time for government to start pulling its weight again too:

25.11.2025 12:26 β€” πŸ‘ 78    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 6
Excerpt from a BBC article: ""We usually work, 10, 11 or 12 hours a day," says a 49-year-old woman from Jiangxi unwilling to give her name. "On Sundays we work around three hours less."

She is in an alleyway, where a dozen people are huddled around a row of bulletin boards.

They are reading the job ads on the board, while examining the stitching on a pair of chinos draped over it.

This is Shein's supply chain. The factories are contracted to make clothes on order - some small, some big. If the chinos are a hit, orders will ramp up and so must production. Factories then hire temporary workers to meet the demand their permanent staff cannot fulfil.

The migrant worker from Jiangxi is looking for a short-term contract - and the chinos are an option.

"We earn so little. The cost of living is now so high," she says, adding that she hopes to make enough to send back to her two children who are living with their grandparents.

"We get paid per piece," she explains. "It depends how difficult the item is. Something simple like a t-shirt is one-two yuan [less than a dollar] per piece and I can make around a dozen in an hour.""

Excerpt from a BBC article: ""We usually work, 10, 11 or 12 hours a day," says a 49-year-old woman from Jiangxi unwilling to give her name. "On Sundays we work around three hours less." She is in an alleyway, where a dozen people are huddled around a row of bulletin boards. They are reading the job ads on the board, while examining the stitching on a pair of chinos draped over it. This is Shein's supply chain. The factories are contracted to make clothes on order - some small, some big. If the chinos are a hit, orders will ramp up and so must production. Factories then hire temporary workers to meet the demand their permanent staff cannot fulfil. The migrant worker from Jiangxi is looking for a short-term contract - and the chinos are an option. "We earn so little. The cost of living is now so high," she says, adding that she hopes to make enough to send back to her two children who are living with their grandparents. "We get paid per piece," she explains. "It depends how difficult the item is. Something simple like a t-shirt is one-two yuan [less than a dollar] per piece and I can make around a dozen in an hour.""

The people who make Shein's clothes labor for ten to twelve hours per day (in violation of China's labor laws), some up to seven days a week, and earn as little as 15 to 30 cents per t-shirt.

20.11.2025 00:07 β€” πŸ‘ 9759    πŸ” 3557    πŸ’¬ 149    πŸ“Œ 181

I am very much team β€˜you need to reduce the salience of asylum’ - but fixing a manifestly broken system has got to be some part of that surely.

There’s aspects of what was announced yesterday I’m not sure will work, but there’s not enough people on here engaging with the problem itself imo

18.11.2025 12:24 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Thought the plan was to smash the smuggling gangs not emulate them.

17.11.2025 07:43 β€” πŸ‘ 159    πŸ” 52    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 1

This is true in Britain also. Many such cases! Twitter weirdos are just that - weirdos! Stop treating them as the voice of a generation!

14.11.2025 23:37 β€” πŸ‘ 83    πŸ” 18    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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A month ago I looked at what I called Labour's midlife crisis- an obsession with chasing socially conservative Reform-curious voters and ignoring groups of disaffected voters with social attitudes much closer to Labour voters. But some people thought there was method in their madness. Was there? 1/n

12.11.2025 15:01 β€” πŸ‘ 100    πŸ” 33    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 13

Voters *already* think Labour have broken their tax promises

14.11.2025 08:59 β€” πŸ‘ 40    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Most British young men reject the far right - UK in a changing Europe Emilia Belknap and Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte explain their analysis on the demographics of Reform UK voters in the UK. They argue that while the dominant narrative is that young men are the most likely to turn to the party, the evidence does not support this.

"The most common response among men aged 18-25, as with their female peers, is to state that they would never consider voting for Reform."

Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte & Emilia Belknap argue that most British young men reject the right

https://ukandeu.ac.uk/most-british-young-men-reject-the-far-right/

01.11.2025 16:25 β€” πŸ‘ 182    πŸ” 69    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 7
The 2025 state of the climate report: A planet on the brink

The 2025 state of the climate report: A planet on the brink

🚨 Earth's vital signs are flashing red.

🌑️ 2024 was the hottest year in recorded history.

Read the latest Climate report from @williamripple.bsky.social and Christopher Wolf's team, published in BioScience.

oxford.ly/47i6K5j

31.10.2025 20:00 β€” πŸ‘ 44    πŸ” 32    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 3
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Green party voters are the only voter group where a plurality say they have achieved less in life than they expected to when they were younger.

Happiness = reality - expectations!

24.10.2025 16:03 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Which means they may not be differentially mobilising voters on the right as dramatically as is assumed. Left parties still struggle to mobilise, and I constantly think of Remain voters in 2016, but the 'Reform threat' is going to be a powerful signal for them (unlike expecting Leave to lose).

24.10.2025 07:44 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Particularly notable that Reform was beaten in a high turnout election. At May's locals they seem to have benefitted from turning out people who did not vote in 2024 - looks like we're now seeing a similar turnout among more progressive voters, motivated to beat them.

24.10.2025 07:46 β€” πŸ‘ 30    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

People keep telling me the UK is so over and they're going to move to Dubai and, like, fine. Go on then. Would you like directions to the airport?

11.10.2025 06:56 β€” πŸ‘ 494    πŸ” 53    πŸ’¬ 34    πŸ“Œ 6
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Data is available upon request … but only in the form of one hundred non sequential 3.5” floppy disks containing a segmented zip file, inside of which are confusingly named files that can only be opened using the 1996 application StatView for Apple Mackintosh. Enclose a cashiers check for postage.

26.09.2025 17:46 β€” πŸ‘ 44    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 3

All reminiscent of liberals’ paralysis pre-2016. Complacency + dismissive contempt for Farage + dislike of incumbents + embarrassment in defending the status quo.

22.09.2025 08:31 β€” πŸ‘ 93    πŸ” 31    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 1

I'm not sure this should be a 'true question' for liberals at all! Irrespective of public opinion, the liberal defends minority rights.

22.09.2025 09:28 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Feel like we should bring back the old twitter follow friday to boost good people on here who maybe didn't get an initial boost from the starter packs.

So follow @psurridge.bsky.social and @profjanegreen.bsky.social - two excellent and thoughtful political scientists.

19.09.2025 12:16 β€” πŸ‘ 375    πŸ” 96    πŸ’¬ 27    πŸ“Œ 8

Constantly amazed at the desperation to make β€œyoung men love Reform a thing”, despite all evidence to contrary

14.09.2025 06:33 β€” πŸ‘ 721    πŸ” 54    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 4

I don't disagree with the first two sentences, but I think in general there's been far too much movement from 'not really noticing the problem' to 'despair'. Let's experiment with 'people and organisations try and enforce the norm' and then see if it is actually hard for it to be re-bottled.

01.09.2025 23:18 β€” πŸ‘ 694    πŸ” 133    πŸ’¬ 27    πŸ“Œ 23

The story of the weekend looks like about 3000+ people protesting asylum, 2000+ counterprotestors while 210k people do parkrun

23.08.2025 12:51 β€” πŸ‘ 525    πŸ” 156    πŸ’¬ 16    πŸ“Œ 22

I suppose this is the point when I should say again that:

the amount of money the videogames industry brings into the UK economy every year is *more than double* the value of the fishing and steel industries *combined*

what this country is really good at is producing culture

17.08.2025 07:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1505    πŸ” 422    πŸ’¬ 29    πŸ“Œ 10

This would be a strong entry in normal years, but unfortunately for Maurice, the bar for β€œvapid and useless suggestions to the UK’s soluble problems” is now set at β€œremigration”. Good luck in next year’s tournament, Mo!

16.08.2025 09:46 β€” πŸ‘ 346    πŸ” 45    πŸ’¬ 41    πŸ“Œ 2

@fintan-smith is following 20 prominent accounts